Question Description
A firm uses trend projection and seasonal factors to simulate sales for a given time period. It assigns "0" if sales fall, "1" if sales are steady, "2" if sales rise moderately, and "3" if sales rise a lot. The simulator generates the following output.
0 1 1 2 2 0 1 1 2 3 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 3 1 2 2 2 0 3 1 0 2 1 2 1
Estimate the probability that sales will rise at least moderately.

Final Answer

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There are 31 simulated sales in the sample and 16 have a value of 2 or 3.
16/31 = 0.516
The answer is 0.516
