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PepsiCo, Inc.: Cost of Capital
“At PepsiCo Inc., cola was king, but it is quietly being dethroned.”
It was this lead sentence of a front-page article in the Wall Street Journal that had caught Michael McCartt’s
eye on June 13, 1991, exactly one week ago.1 The timing of the article could not have been more appropriate,
because McCartt had just received a call from PepsiCo on the morning of June 13 to schedule an interview for
a position on the company’s treasury staff. As McCartt read the article, he decided that, because of PepsiCo’s
diversification, he would focus during the interview on the concept of PepsiCo’s cost of capital, so he could
display the analytical abilities and knowledge of financial concepts he had just honed in business school. He
had spent the past week reading PepsiCo’s annual reports and gathering information on its competitors in
preparation for the interview tomorrow afternoon in New York.
McCartt’s research had revealed some interesting facts about PepsiCo. For example, he had been surprised
to learn that PepsiCo had invested more than 40% of its capital spending over the last two years in fast-food
restaurants, opening them at the rate of three per day, and that during the 1991 fiscal year, the restaurant group
was expected to surpass beverages as the company’s biggest revenue producer among its three business
segments (see Exhibit 1 for a financial summary by business segment). Snack foods, PepsiCo’s third line of
business, was the biggest profit generator of the three business segments. These findings had raised a central
question that McCartt wanted to be prepared to answer for the interview: How should PepsiCo’s investment
dollars be allocated among the three divisions (i.e., what criteria should be used in a diversified company like
PepsiCo to evaluate potential investments)?
PepsiCo History
In its 1990 annual report, PepsiCo described itself as “first and foremost a growth company. Our primary
corporate objective is to maximize the value of our shareholders’ investments through a strategy of rapid sales
growth, close control of costs, and astute investment of our financial resources.”
The company was originally incorporated in 1919 under the name of Loft, Inc. The name was changed to the
Pepsi-Cola Co. in 1941 after Loft merged with its Pepsi-Cola subsidiary, which it had acquired some three years
earlier. The current name, PepsiCo, was adopted in 1965 after Pepsi-Cola merged with Frito-Lay. Under the name
1 Michael J. McCarthy, “Added Fizz: Pepsi Is Going Better with Its Fast Foods and Frito-Lay Snacks,” Wall Street Journal, June 13, 1991. This is a
public-sourced case. Unless otherwise cited, all data and quotations are from publicly available company documents.
This public-sourced case was prepared by David Thornhill under the supervision of Professor Kenneth Eades. It was written as a basis for class discussion
rather than to illustrate effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright 1991 by the University of Virginia Darden School
Foundation, Charlottesville, VA. All rights reserved. To order copies, send an email to sales@dardenbusinesspublishing.com. No part of this publication may be
reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, used in a spreadsheet, or transmitted in any form or by any means—electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise—without
the permission of the Darden School Foundation. Our goal is to publish materials of the highest quality, so please submit any errata to
editorial@dardenbusinesspublishing.com.
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of PepsiCo, the company made several significant acquisitions. In November 1977, the Pizza Hut chain was
acquired as a PepsiCo subsidiary, as was Taco Bell some seven months later. In July 1986, PepsiCo purchased Seven
Up International for $246 million in cash, and three months and $841 million later, Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC)
joined the corporate fold. In 1988 and 1989, the cash outlays continued as two bottling operations, Grand
Metropolitan and General Cinema, were bought for $705 million and $1.77 billion, respectively. PepsiCo expanded
internationally in 1989 with the purchase of Smiths Crisps Ltd. and Walkers Crisps Holding Ltd., the leading snackfood companies in the United Kingdom, and in 1990 with the acquisition of Mexico’s number-one cookie
manufacturer, Gamesa.
The resulting conglomerate was a leader in all three of its business segments. As noted by Wayne Calloway,
chairman and CEO of PepsiCo, the soft-drink division generated more revenue than General Mills, Inc.; the
restaurant group was bigger than Campbell Soup Co.; and the snack-food business approximated Kellogg Co.
“PepsiCo doesn’t have one flagship, it has three flagships,” stated Calloway, “and people would kill to have one of
our flagships.”2 Indeed, PepsiCo could boast of having eight different brands—Doritos, Ruffles, KFC Original
Recipe, Pizza Hut Pan Pizza, Pepsi, Diet Pepsi, Mountain Dew, and Seven Up—that achieved over $1 billion in
retail sales each year. Of its other brands, 25 achieved at least $100 million in annual retail sales.
The financial success of PepsiCo is detailed in Exhibits 2, 3, and 4. Between 1985 and 1990, company sales
increased at a compound rate of 19%, and income from continuing operations at a compound rate of 21%. In the
beverage segment, PepsiCo had Pepsi Cola, the largest-selling food product of any type in US supermarkets and a
$13 billion brand worldwide. In the global market, Pepsi Cola was joined on the list of the top 10 selling brands by
Diet Pepsi, Caffeine Free Diet Pepsi, and Mountain Dew. With its latest bottling acquisitions, PepsiCo was running
the nation’s largest network of soft-drink bottling plants. As for the snack-food division, Frito-Lay had the largest
share of the US chip market and was more than four times the size of its nearest competitor. With the purchase of
Smiths Crisps and Walkers Crisps, PepsiCo Foods International became the leading chip company in Europe. It
was in the restaurant segment, however, that the size and scope of PepsiCo’s accomplishments may have been the
most impressive.
PepsiCo was running the largest restaurant system in the world, with close to 18,500 units, and the three
categories of food served by PepsiCo restaurants (pizza, chicken, and Mexican food) were among the fastestgrowing segments of the quick-service market. PepsiCo’s worldwide sales were greater than $17 billion, and the
number of its US restaurants was growing at more than twice the industry average. Pizza Hut not only had a 24%
share of the US market as of 1990, but it was also represented in 54 countries internationally and was the leading
pizza chain in 46 of those markets. Taco Bell was the leading Mexican-food chain domestically and was just
beginning to expand internationally. KFC opened its 3,000th restaurant outside the United States in 1989, making
it the largest restaurant chain overseas and the number-one quick-service chicken restaurant in the world.
Financial Strategy
Some industry analysts believed that Pepsi had obtained Frito-Lay in 1965 partly because chips go well with
cola, and had obtained the restaurant franchises as a means of getting new fountain outlets. Over the years,
however, the company’s focus had clearly shifted. The Wall Street Journal article asserted that CEO Calloway
was not on any sort of “global beverage quest,”3 but was more interested in building a consumer-products
company with the best possible return on equity. PepsiCo’s emphasis on performance was clearly stated in the
1990 annual report: “PepsiCo’s principal objective is to increase the value of its shareholders’ investments
2
3
McCarthy.
McCarthy.
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through integrated operating, investing and financing strategies that maximize cash returns on investments and
optimize the cost of capital.”
Although PepsiCo’s stock price had increased substantially over the past several years, the aggressive
investment strategy had also resulted in an increased amount of debt on the books. Regarding the debt
financing, PepsiCo management said:
We support these investments with financial policies that strive to fund our businesses at the lowest
possible cost, while giving us the flexibility to pursue growth. Every company faces the question of
how much debt is appropriate. PepsiCo’s philosophy hasn’t changed much over the years, despite
leveraged buyouts and the ups and downs of the bond market. We carefully set a corporate leverage
target, or a ratio of our net debt4 plus market value of equity. Over time, we strive to achieve a ratio of
20% to 25%. We use market value as a yardstick, rather than the traditional book value, because the
market standard reflects the tremendous value of our intangible assets—especially our brands’
reputations—while also taking into account our strong potential for growth. Our leveraged target is
set with an eye toward maintaining flexibility, which means we can exceed our target occasionally to
take advantage of attractive investment opportunities.
The Cost of Capital
According to PepsiCo management, “The cost of capital is a weighting of the cost of debt and equity, with
the latter representing a measure of expected returns to investors in PepsiCo’s stock. PepsiCo estimates its
current cost of capital to be approximately 11%.” It was this statement that McCartt had decided to use as the
centerpiece of his interview strategy. He had learned in business school that the true cost of capital depended
on how the capital was put to use. For instance, the Wall Street Journal article stated that PepsiCo’s restaurants
were a lot “trickier” to manage than soft drinks. They commanded lower margins and were more fragmented,
more capital intensive, and more vulnerable to shifts in consumer spending. McCartt concluded that
investments in the restaurant division should be evaluated by using not the corporate weighted-average cost of
capital (WACC), but a higher cost of capital.
He recalled reading an article by Russell Fuller and Halbert Kerr5 that outlined how to estimate the cost of
capital of a division in a multidivision firm. Essentially, each division was matched with a publicly traded
company having a single line of business that was as similar as possible to the division’s. The cost of capital of
such a so-called “pure-play” company served as the best guess of the division’s cost of capital. McCartt knew
finding perfect pure-plays would be impossible, but he had succeeded in putting together a list of companies
with publicly traded stocks that competed in the same business segments as PepsiCo (Exhibit 5).
McCartt assumed that PepsiCo was calculating its cost of equity by using the capital-asset pricing model,
the formula for which is given in Equation 1:
Ke = Rf + β(Rm – Rf)
(1).
To choose the appropriate risk-free rate, Rf, he looked up the Treasury bond yields in the Wall Street Journal for
December 31, 1990, the date of the latest financial information he had for PepsiCo (Exhibit 6). The market
risk premium, Rm – Rf, was more difficult to determine, but once he gathered the information in Exhibit 7, he
4 PepsiCo measured financial leverage net of its large offshore short-term investment portfolios. Because these investments were not required to
support the day-to-day operations of the company, PepsiCo considered the funds available to retire debt.
5 Russell J. Fuller and Halbert S. Kerr, “Estimating the Divisional Cost of Capital: An Analysis of the Pure-Play Technique,” Journal of Finance, December
1981.
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believed he could decide the appropriate risk premium. The betas, β, of the pure-play comparable companies
are reported in Exhibit 8. Although the pure-plays exhibited a wide range of financial leverage, Fuller and Kerr
had reported that unadjusted pure-play betas were better approximations of the division betas than were
adjusted betas. McCartt therefore decided not to worry about adjusting betas for financial leverage.
Once he had determined the costs of equity for PepsiCo’s three divisions, McCartt intended to calculate
their respective hurdle rates using the WACC formula in Equation 2,
WACC = Kd × (1 − τ) × D/(D + E) + Ke × E/(D + E)
(2),
where Kd is the firm’s cost of debt, τ is the corporate tax rate, D is the amount of debt, and E is the amount of
equity. His research had revealed that PepsiCo’s effective marginal tax rate was 38%, which reflected the
combined effects of federal, state, and local taxes, and that its cost of publicly traded debt on December 31,
1990, was 9.6%. After computing each business segment’s WACC, McCartt wanted to weight the three costs
of capital to see if they summed to 11%, the number given in the annual report. If the individual costs of capital
did not prove to be consistent with the corporate cost of capital, McCartt would have difficulty presenting his
findings convincingly to his interviewers.
McCartt could not remember reading any other company’s annual report that touched on as many financial
concepts as PepsiCo’s did: shareholder value creation, the cost of capital, market valuation of equity, targetdebt ratios, and more. The more he read, the more he could understand why PepsiCo had recently been named
one of Fortune magazine’s most admired corporations in America, and the more determined he was to make
the best of his job interview.
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Exhibit 1
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PepsiCo, Inc.: Cost of Capital
Financial Summary by Business Segment
(in millions of US dollars)
Snack Foods
Net sales
Operating profit
Identifiable assets
Depreciation
Capital expenditures
1990
1989
1988
1987
$5,054.0
934.4
3,892.4
232.5
381.6
$4,215.0
805.2
3,310.0
189.3
257.9
$3,514.3
632.2
1,608.0
156.8
172.6
$3,202.0
547.6
1,632.5
154.1
195.6
6,523.0
767.6
6,465.2
338.1
334.1
5,776.7
676.2
6,198.1
306.3
267.8
4,638.2
455.3
3,994.1
195.7
198.4
3,975.6
409.6
2,779.8
166.5
202.0
6,225.7
522.4
3,448.9
306.5
460.6
5,250.7
414.3
3,070.6
269.9
424.6
4,380.7
340.3
3,061.0
271.3
344.2
3,840.5
319.4
2,782.9
237.1
370.8
(557.0)
3,336.9
6.9
21.9
(545.2)
2,548.0
6.5
9.2
(300.6)
2,472.2
5.5
14.9
(331.0)
1,827.5
5.3
6.6
17,802.7
1,667.4
17,143.4
884.0
$1,198.2
15,242.4
1,350.5
15,126.7
772.0
$959.5
12,533.2
1,127.2
11,135.3
629.3
$730.1
11,018.1
945.6
9,022.7
563.0
$775.0
Soft Drinks
Net sales
Operating profit
Identifiable assets
Depreciation
Capital expenditures
Restaurants
Net sales
Operating profit
Identifiable assets
Depreciation
Capital expenditures
Corporate
Corporate expenses
Identifiable assets
Depreciation
Capital expenditures
Totals
Net sales
Operating profit
Identifiable assets
Depreciation
Capital expenditures
Source: Unless otherwise noted, all exhibits created by authors using publicly available company data.
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Exhibit 2
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PepsiCo, Inc.: Cost of Capital
Consolidated Statements of Income
(in millions, except per-share amounts)
1990
1989
$17,802.7
$15,242.4
8,609.9
6,829.9
189.1
688.5
(182.1)
16,135.3
7,467.7
5,841.4
150.4
609.6
(177.2)
13,891.9
1,667.4
1,350.5
576.8
449.1
1,090.6
901.4
(13.7)
-----
$1,076.9
$901.4
Income (charge) per share
Continuing operations
Discontinued operation
Net income per share
$1.37
−0.02
$1.35
$1.13
---$1.13
Average shares outstanding
798.7
796.0
Net sales
Costs and expenses
Cost of sales
Selling, administrative, and other
Amortization of goodwill
Interest expense
Interest income
Income from continuing operations
before income taxes
Provision for income taxes
Income from continuing operations
Discontinued operation charge
Net income
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Exhibit 3
PepsiCo, Inc.: Cost of Capital
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Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions, except per-share amounts)
Assets
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
Short-term investments
Accounts receivable
Inventories
Prepaid expenses and other current
Total current assets
1990
1989
$170.8
1,644.9
1,414.7
585.8
265.2
4,081.4
$76.2
1,457.7
1,239.7
546.1
231.1
3,550.8
1,505.9
5,710.9
5,845.2
17,143.4
970.8
5,130.2
5,474.9
15,126.7
Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity
Current liabilities:
Short-term borrowings
Accounts payable
Income taxes payable
Other current liabilities
Total current liabilities
1,626.5
1,116.3
443.7
1,584.0
4,770.5
866.3
1,054.5
313.7
1,457.3
3,691.8
Long-term debt
Deferred income taxes
Other liabilities
5,899.6
942.8
626.3
6,076.5
856.9
610.4
14.4
365.0
4,753.0
(383.2)
5,515.6
(611.4)
4,904.2
4.8
333.5
3,978.4
(66.2)
4,382.9
(491.8)
3,891.1
$17,143.4
$15,126.7
Investments in affiliates
Property, plant, and equipment (PP&E), net
Goodwill and other intangibles
Total assets
Shareholders’ equity:
Capital stock @ par
Capital in excess of par
Retained earnings
Currency translation adjustment
Less: Treasury stock
Total shareholders’ equity
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
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Exhibit 4
PepsiCo, Inc.: Cost of Capital
Selected Financial Data
(in millions except per-share amounts)
Summary of Operations:
Net sales
Cost of sales and operating expenses
Gross profit
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
$17,802.7
$15,242.4
$12,533.2
$11,018.1
$9,017.1
$7,584.5
$7,058.6
$6,568.6
$6,232.4
$5,873.3
15,628.9
13,459.5
11,184.0
9,890.5
8,187.9
6,802.4
6,479.3
5,995.7
5,684.7
5,278.8
2,173.8
1,782.9
1,349.2
1,127.6
829.2
782.1
579.3
572.9
547.7
594.5
Interest expense
688.5
609.6
344.2
294.6
261.4
195.2
204.9
175.0
163.5
147.7
Interest income
182.5
177.2
122.2
112.6
122.7
96.4
86.1
53.6
49.1
35.8
1,667.4
1,350.5
1,127.2
945.6
690.5
683.3
460.5
451.5
433.3
482.6
576.8
449.1
365.0
340.5
226.7
256.7
180.5
169.5
229.7
213.7
Earnings from continuing operations before taxes
Provision for income taxes
Income from continuing operations
Net income
1,090.6
901.4
762.2
605.1
463.8
426.6
280.0
282.0
203.6
268.9
$1,076.9
$901.4
$762.2
$594.8
$457.8
$543.7
$212.5
$284.1
$224.3
$297.5
$1.37
$1.13
$0.97
$0.77
$0.59
$0.51
$0.33
$0.33
$0.24
$0.32
1.35
1.13
0.97
0.76
0.58
0.65
0.25
0.33
0.27
0.36
$0.38
$0.32
$0.27
$0.22
$0.21
$0.20
$0.19
$0.18
$0.18
$0.16
Data Per Common Share:
Income per share from continuing operations
Net income per share
Cash dividends declared per share
Average shares and equivalents outstanding
798.7
796.00
790.4
798.3
786.5
842.1
862.4
859.3
854.1
837.5
Year-End Position:
Total assets
$17,143.4
$15,126.7
$11,135.3
$9,022.7
$8,027.1
$5,889.3
Total debt
7,526.1
6,942.8
4,107.0
3,225.0
2,865.3
Shareholders’ equity
4,904.2
3,891.1
3,161.0
2,508.6
2,059.1
Book value per share
6.22
4.92
4.01
3.21
$26.00
$21.38
$13.13
$11.25
Market price per share
Shares outstanding
788.4
791.1
788.4
781.2
$4,876.9
$4,446.3
$4,052.2
$3,960.2
1,506.1
948.9
1,073.9
1,033.5
1,214.0
1,837.7
1,853.4
1,794.2
1,650.5
1,556.3
2.64
2.33
2.19
2.13
1.96
1.89
$8.75
$7.88
$4.63
$4.25
$3.75
$4.13
781
789.4
845.2
842
840.4
824.4
Cash-Flow Data:
Net cash generated by continuing operations
Acquisitions and investments in affiliates
$2,110.0
$1,885.9
$1,894.5
$1,334.5
$1,212.2
$817.3
$981.5
$670.2
$661.5
$515.0
630.6
3,296.6
1,415.5
371.5
1,679.9
160.0
-----
-----
130.3
-----
Purchases of PP&E for cash
1,180.1
943.8
725.8
770.5
858.5
770.3
555.8
503.4
447.4
414.4
Cash dividends paid
$293.9
$241.9
$199.0
$172.0
$160.4
$161.1
$154.6
$151.3
$142.5
$126.2
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Exhibit 5
PepsiCo, Inc.: Cost of Capital
Description of Snack-Food, Beverage, and Restaurant Companies
PepsiCo, Inc.
The world’s second-largest producer of
soft drinks; controls more than 1,000
bottlers throughout the world. Major
soft-drink products include PepsiCola,
Diet Pepsi, and Mountain Dew.
Operations include: Specialty snack
foods: Frito-Lay (major product
offerings include Doritos, Ruffles, and
Lay’s), Walkers Crisps, Smiths Crisps;
Quick-service restaurants: Pizza Hut,
Kentucky Fried Chicken, and Taco Bell.
A&W Brands
Manufactures, markets, and sells softdrink concentrates to licensed bottlers
under the A&W Root Beer, A&W
Cream Soda, Squirt, Country Time
Lemonade, and Vernors trademarks.
The company’s brands have the leading
US market share in the root beer, cream
soda, citrus/grapefruit, and lemonade
categories.
Coca-Cola
The world’s largest soft-drink company.
Distributes its major brands through
bottlers throughout the world. Foreign
operations accounted for about 55% of
total sales and 75% of profits in 1989.
Food division produces and markets
over 100 items including citrus
concentrates. 49% owner of Coca-Cola
Enterprises.
Coca-Cola Bottling
Golden Enterprises, Inc.
Coca-Cola Enterprises
Goodmark Food Inc.
One of the largest independent bottlers,
with franchises covering 10–12 million
people in the Southeast. Has exclusive
franchises under which it produces
Coca-Cola, Coca-Cola Classic, and all
other Coca-Cola soft drinks as well as
Dr. Pepper, Canada Dry, Schweppes,
Welch’s, Barq’s root beer, and Lipton
tea in selected markets.
The world’s largest soft-drink bottling
company.
Flowers Foods, Inc.
Fifth-largest producer of bakery and
snack-food goods in the United States.
Brand names include: Nature’s Own,
Cobblestone Mill, Evangeline Maid,
Holsum, Dandee, and Beebo. Produces
fresh and frozen breads, buns, and
specialty rolls, cakes and pies, and frozen
vegetables and fruits.
General Mills
Processes and markets consumer foods,
including Big G cereals, Betty Crocker
desserts, Gold Medal flour, Gorton’s
seafood, and Yoplait yogurt. Operates
785 restaurants in the United States,
Canada, and Japan: Red Lobster, Olive
Garden.
Page 9 of 12
Holding company for Golden Flake
Snack Foods, Inc. (Golden Flake and
Super Snack brands), Steel City Bolt and
Screw, Inc. (specialized metal fasteners),
Nall & Associates, Inc. (manufacturer’s
representatives), and the Sloan Major
Agency, Inc. (advertising). Snack-food
operations account for over 95% of
sales and profits.
National Pizza Corp.
Largest franchisee of PepsiCo’s Pizza
Hut chain. As of March 1990, operated
354 Pizza Hut restaurants and delivery
kitchens. Restaurants offer full table
service and feature pizza, Italian pies,
pasta, sandwiches, a salad bar, and, in
most units, beer. Acquired Skipper’s
restaurants in October 1989.
Ryan’s Family Steak House
Engaged in producing and marketing
meat snack products, including Slim
Jim, Beef Jerky, pickled meats, and pork
skins. Also engaged in producing and
marketing grain and potato products,
including cheese curls, Andy Capp
pretzels, and various other snack foods.
Develops, operates, and franchises
family-style steak house restaurants
featuring cafeteria-style entry; selfservice food bar (the “MegaBar”), soup
bar, and ice cream bar; and dinner table
service. As of January 1991, had 126
company-owned and 33 franchised
restaurants.
Lance, Inc.
TCBY
Manufactures snack foods and bakery
products and distributes them through
its own sales organization and through
brokers to retailers and institutional
customers.
McDonald’s Corp.
Licenses and operates a chain of over
11,400 fast-food restaurants throughout
the United States, Canada, and overseas
under the name of McDonald’s. Outlets
serve standardized menu built around
hamburgers.
“The Country’s Best Yogurt” is the
largest franchisor of soft-serve frozen
yogurt stores in the United States.
TCBY also sells equipment for use in
TCBY stores. As of November 30,
1990, had 1,845 stores, of which 1,677
were franchised.
Wendy’s Internatioal, Inc.
Licenses and operates the nation’s thirdlargest chain of quick-service hamburger
restaurants. Has 3,727 units (71%
franchised).
DardenBusinessPublishing:254065
Page 10
UVA-F-0981
Exhibit 6
PepsiCo, Inc.: Cost of Capital
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Prevailing Interest Rates and Yields as of December 31, 1990
US Government Interest Rates:
Maturity
Rate
26 weeks
1 year
10 years
30 years
6.57%
6.88
8.16
8.30%
Money Rates:
Prime rate
6-month certificate of deposit
9.75%
7.47%
Moody’s Corporate Bond Yield Averages by Rating Class:
Moody’s Rating
Rate
Aaa
Aa
A
Baa
9.05%
9.39
9.64
10.43%
Page 10 of 12
DardenBusinessPublishing:254065
Page 11
UVA-F-0981
Exhibit 7
PepsiCo, Inc.: Cost of Capital
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Report of Average Annual Returns, 1926–90
Series
Geometric
Mean1
Arithmetic
Mean1
Standard
Deviation
S&P 500
10.1%
12.1%
20.8%
Small company
stocks
11.6
17.1
35.4
Long-term
corporate bonds
5.2
5.5
8.4
Long-term
government bonds
4.5
4.9
8.5
US Treasury bills
3.7%
3.7%
3.4%
___________________
1 The arithmetic mean is computed as the sum of the single-year returns from 1926 through 1990 divided by the number of returns (65). The geometric
mean accounts for the compound-interest effect such that, when the interest is compounded over 65 years, the final wealth that results is the same as if
an investor had invested successively each year to earn a sequence of 65 single-year returns. For example, if an investor earned −20% and +40% over
two years, the arithmetic average return would be +10%. The geometric average return (ρ) would be 5.83%—computed as
(1 – .2) × (1 + .4) = (1 + ρ)2.
Source: Roger Ibbotson and Rex Sinquefield, Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation, 1991 Yearbook (Ibbotson Associates, Inc., 1991).
Page 11 of 12
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Page 12
UVA-F-0981
Exhibit 8
PepsiCo, Inc.: Cost of Capital
Financial Information on Snack-Food, Beverage, and Restaurant Companies (December 29, 1990)
Company
A&W Brands
Coca-Cola
Coca-Cola Bottling
Coca-Cola Enterprises
Flowers, Inc.
General Mills
Golden Ent., Inc.
Goodmark Foods
Lance, Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
National Pizza
PepsiCo
Ryan’s Family Steak House
TCBY
Wendy’s
(000s)
$119,000
10,236,000
431,000
4,034,000
835,000
7,153,000
129,000
139,000
446,000
6,396,000
275,000
17,803,000
273,000
151,000
$1,011,000
(000s)
Price
per
Share
Market
Book
(000s)
(000s)
(000s)
(000s)
(000s)
Estimated
Cost of
Debt
___
9,098
688,239
9,181
114,835
34,425
165,100
12,668
4,302
31,252
359,100
13,849
788,400
52,637
26,162
96,821
$34.75
46.50
19.00
15.50
13.75
49.00
7.25
9.75
21.00
29.13
17.50
26.00
5.63
7.63
$6.38
$7.62
5.65
18.31
11.99
6.27
6.74
4.00
7.02
7.42
11.64
5.88
6.22
2.89
4.06
$4.62
0
$535,861
237,564
1,960,164
91,563
879,000
0
19,873
0
4,428,700
66,397
5,899,600
0
18,973
$123,307
0
$97,272
1,222
576,630
4,857
129,000
0
4,013
0
64,700
628
0
0
2,893
$8,242
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
$6,851
0
0
0
$44,754
$22,345
1,903,611
0
0
0
23,000
2,892
0
0
299,000
0
1,626,500
$26,600
0
0
$22,345
2,536,744
238,786
2,536,794
96,420
1,031,000
2,892
23,886
0
4,792,400
73,876
7,526,100
26,600
21,866
$176,303
10.00%
9.50
12.00
10.00
10.00
9.60
10.00
10.00
10.00
9.50
10.00
9.64
10.00
10.00
12.18%
Number
of Shares
Sales
Beta
1.50
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.90
1.05
0.55
1.49
0.70
1.00
1.00
1.10
1.10
1.15
1.10
Long-term
Debt
Current
Portion
Capital
Leases
Notes
Payable
Sources: S&P Compustat, Value Line Survey (betas), Lotus One Source (Coca-Cola Bottling and Goodmark Foods betas). Estimated Cost of Debt based on author estimates.
Page 12 of 12
Total Debt
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