Required Chapter 4 in Operations Management: Sustainability and Supply Chain Management Drugova, T., Pozo, V., & Curtis, K. (2018). Forecasting organic wheat prices: Do conventional prices play a role?. Journal of Food Distribution Research, 49(1), 48-55.  Goodwin, P. (2018). How to respond to a forecasting sceptic. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, (48), 13-16.  Bührig, P., & Wohlrabe, K. (2016). Forecasting revisions of German industrial production. Applied Economics Letters, 23(15), 1062-1064. doi:10.1080/13504851.2015.1133890  Recommended  Pavelková, D., Homolka, L., Vychytilová, J., Ngo, V. M., Bach, L. T., & Dehning, B. (2018). Passenger car sales projections: Measuring the accuracy of a sales forecasting model 1. Ekonomicky Casopis, 66(3), 227-249.  Proaño, C. R. (2017). Detecting and predicting economic accelerations, recessions, and normal growth periods in real-time. Journal of Forecasting, 36(1), 26-42. doi:10.1002/for.2412  Chiroma, H., Zavareh, A. A., Baba, M. S., Abubakar, A. I., Ya'u Gital, A., & Zambuk, F. U. (2015). Intelligent decision support systems for oil price forecasting. International Journal of Information Science & Management, 47-59. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Haruna_Chiroma/publication/279517640_Intelligent_Decision_Support_Systems_for_Oil_Price_Forecasting/links/5594968508ae793d13798fe7/Intelligent-Decision-Support-Systems-for-Oil-Price-Forecasting.pdf          Module 3: Critical Thinking          Points 100  Submitting a file upload  Critical Thinking Assignment (100 Points) Important! Read First Choose one of the following two assignments to complete this week. Do  not do both assignments. Identify your assignment choice in the title  of your submission. Common Instructions for both Options #1 and #2: Operations Management Forecasting Access the Pearson MyOMLab per the instructions located in the  Course Information folder, titled: MyOMLab Student Guide. Carefully  review the simulation’s introductory information and instructions as the  results will influence your grade by 10%. After completing the  simulation, capture a screen image of your final simulation results,  which are to be included in your critical thinking operations management  assignment as an appendix item. The operations management forecasting assignment content must include the following: Introduction: Explain the purpose or thesis of the  paper, and explain how the body of the paper is arranged to support the  purpose of the paper. Provide a brief definition of operations management forecasting and  identify why it is important in an organization’s operations. Provide a brief overview of the forecasting simulation. Describe your strategy for performing the forecasting simulation. Describe at least three operations management forecasting methods,  principles, or techniques experienced in the forecasting simulation. Itemize at least three lessons learned from the forecasting simulation. Conclusion: Present a recap of key points and summary of main emphasis without repeating verbatim and exclusive of new information. References: Support your paper with your textbook and  at least three scholarly, peer-reviewed references. Use current sources,  not older than five years. The CSU-Global Library is a good place to  find these references. Appendix: Forecasting simulation results. The appendix  page should be its own page after your reference page, with the header:  Appendix—with your screenshot pasted below. Submit your Critical Thinking assignment document(s) to the module  submissions area established for this purpose. Per the assignment  rubric, a portion of your evaluation is based on your simulation  results. Option #1: Operations Management Forecasting Paper   This Critical Thinking assignment option consists of two activities: Performing the Pearson MyOMLab Forecasting Simulation, examining the  results, and identifying lessons learned. Please adhere to the detailed  instructions contained in the Common Instructions for both Options #1 and #2: Operations Management Forecasting   A written operations management forecasting paper. Your report will require a structure that includes a strong title,  followed by an introductory paragraph which generates interest and  includes a thesis and mapping of what is to come. Each of the sections should use appropriate APA headings, including a conclusion section. Make sure that the body sections address each of the previous bullets. Submission Requirements: Your well-written paper should be three to four pages in length not including the required cover and references pages. Format your paper according to the CSU-Global Guide to Writing & APA (Links to an external site.). Option #2: Operations Management Forecasting Presentation   This Critical Thinking assignment option consists of two activities: Performing the Pearson MyOMLab Forecasting Simulation, examining the  results, and identify lessons learned. Please adhere to the detailed  instructions contained in the Common Instructions for both Options #1 and #2: Operations Management Forecasting above. Creating a written operations management forecasting presentation. Submission Requirements: Your multimedia-rich operations management forecasting presentation  must contain logically-cohesive flow, including audio, video, and  graphical content. The length of the presentation, in addition to the title and  reference portions, should be 10 to 12 slides (must include speaker  notes), or five to seven minutes of narrated presentation (must include a  transcript). Please present your content clearly, concisely, and cohesively. The presentation may be submitted as a completely self-contained file  (e.g., PowerPoint, Prezi, Screencast-o-matic, Knovio, or Loom) or as a  link to a hosted internet site.