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Running head: HOMEWORK ASSIGNMENT 9
Homework Assignment 9
HOMEWORK ASSIGNMENT 9
Suppose that there are two (2) candidates (i.e., Jones and Johns) in the upcoming presidential
election. Sara notes that she has discussed the presidential election candidates with 40 friends,
and 27 said that they are voting for candidate Jones. Sara is therefore convinced that candidate
Jones will win the election because Jones gets more than 50% of votes.
Answer the following questions in the space provided below:
1. Based on what you now know about statistical inference, is Sara’s conclusion a logical
conclusion? Why or why not. What inference test should she use?
Based on what I know about statistical inference, Sara’s conclusion is not a logical one as
she makes it based on the 67.5% of her sample that said they were voting for Jones. This means
the proportion supporting Johns is the remaining 32.5%. This could be inaccurate because the
margin of error is large given the small sample size of 40 friends. Another reason that this is not
a logical conclusion is that her sample may have been skewed. It only comprised of her friends
hence their responses could have been biased. Also, the frie...
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