ac
ro
macroeconomics
m
McConnell
Brue
Flynn
Macroeconomics
PRINCIPLES, PROBLEMS, AND POLICIES
THE MCGRAW-HILL SERIES: ECONOMICS
ESSENTIALS OF ECONOMICS
Brue, McConnell, and Flynn
Essentials of Economics
Third Edition
Mandel
M: Economics, The Basics
Third Edition
Schiller and Gebhardt
Essentials of Economics
Tenth Edition
PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS
Asarta and Butters
Connect Master: Economics
First Edition
Colander
Economics, Microeconomics, and
Macroeconomics
Tenth Edition
Frank, Bernanke, Antonovics, and Heffetz
Principles of Economics, Principles of
Microeconomics, Principles of
Macroeconomics
Sixth Edition
Frank, Bernanke, Antonovics, and Heffetz
Streamlined Editions: Principles of
Economics, Principles of
Microeconomics, Principles of
Macroeconomics
Third Edition
Karlan and Morduch
Economics, Microeconomics, and
Macroeconomics
Second Edition
McConnell, Brue, and Flynn
Economics, Microeconomics, and
Macroeconomics
Twenty-First Edition
ECONOMICS OF SOCIAL
ISSUES
Guell
Issues in Economics Today
Seventh Edition
Register and Grimes
Economics of Social Issues
Twenty-First Edition
ECONOMETRICS
Gujarati and Porter
Basic Econometrics
Fifth Edition
Hilmer and Hilmer
Practical Econometrics
First Edition
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS
Baye and Prince
Managerial Economics and Business
Strategy
Ninth Edition
Brickley, Smith, and Zimmerman
Managerial Economics and
Organizational Architecture
Sixth Edition
Cecchetti and Schoenholtz
Money, Banking, and Financial Markets
Fifth Edition
URBAN ECONOMICS
O’Sullivan
Urban Economics
Eighth Edition
LABOR ECONOMICS
Borjas
Labor Economics
Seventh Edition
McConnell, Brue, and Macpherson
Contemporary Labor Economics
Eleventh Edition
PUBLIC FINANCE
Rosen and Gayer
Public Finance
Tenth Edition
ENVIRONMENTAL
ECONOMICS
Thomas and Maurice
Managerial Economics
Twelfth Edition
Field and Field
Environmental Economics: An
Introduction
Seventh Edition
INTERMEDIATE ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
Bernheim and Whinston
Microeconomics
Second Edition
Dornbusch, Fischer, and Startz
Macroeconomics
Twelfth Edition
Samuelson and Nordhaus
Economics, Microeconomics, and
Macroeconomics
Nineteenth Edition
Frank
Microeconomics and Behavior
Ninth Edition
Schiller and Gebhardt
The Economy Today, The Micro Economy
Today, and The Macro
Economy Today
Fourteenth Edition
ADVANCED ECONOMICS
Slavin
Economics, Microeconomics, and
Macroeconomics
Eleventh Edition
MONEY AND BANKING
Romer
Advanced Macroeconomics
Fourth Edition
Appleyard and Field
International Economics
Ninth Edition
Pugel
International Economics
Sixteenth Edition
THE FOUR VERSIONS OF MCCONNELL, BRUE, FLYNN
Chapter*
Economics
Microeconomics
Macroeconomics
Essentials of
Economics
1. Limits, Alternatives, and Choices
x
x
x
x
2. The Market System and the Circular Flow
x
x
x
x
3. Demand, Supply, and Market Equilibrium
x
x
x
x
4. Market Failures: Public Goods and Externalities
x
x
x
x
5. Government’s Role and Government Failure
x
x
x
x
6. Elasticity
x
x
7. Utility Maximization
x
x
8. Behavioral Economics
x
x
9. Businesses and the Costs of Production
x
x
x
x
10. Pure Competition in the Short Run
x
x
x
11. Pure Competition in the Long Run
x
x
x
12. Pure Monopoly
x
x
x
13. Monopolistic Competition
x
x
x
14. Oligopoly and Strategic Behavior
x
x
x
15. Technology, R&D, and Efficiency
x
x
16. The Demand for Resources
x
x
17. Wage Determination
x
x
18. Rent, Interest, and Profit
x
x
19. Natural Resource and Energy Economics
x
x
20. Public Finance: Expenditures and Taxes
x
x
21. Antitrust Policy and Regulation
x
x
22. Agriculture: Economics and Policy
x
x
23. Income Inequality, Poverty, and Discrimination
x
x
24. Health Care
x
x
25. Immigration
x
x
26. An Introduction to Macroeconomics
x
x
x
x
27. Measuring Domestic Output and National Income
x
x
x
28. Economic Growth
x
x
x
29. Business Cycles, Unemployment, and Inflation
x
x
x
30. Basic Macroeconomic Relationships
x
x
31. The Aggregate Expenditures Model
x
x
32. Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
x
x
x
33. Fiscal Policy, Deficits, and Debt
x
x
x
x
34. Money, Banking, and Financial Institutions
x
x
35. Money Creation
x
x
36. Interest Rates and Monetary Policy
x
x
37. Financial Economics
x
x
38. Extending the Analysis of Aggregate Supply
x
x
39. Current Issues in Macro Theory and Policy
x
40. International Trade
x
x
x
x
41. The Balance of Payments, Exchange Rates, and Trade Deficits
x
x
x
x
42. The Economics of Developing Countries
x
x
x
*Chapter numbers refer to Economics: Principles, Problems, and Policies.
A red “X” indicates chapters that combine or consolidate content from two or more Economics chapters.
x
x
Twenty-First Edition
Macroeconomics
PRINCIPLES, PROBLEMS, AND POLICIES
Campbell R. McConnell
University of Nebraska
Stanley L. Brue
Pacific Lutheran University
Sean M. Flynn
Scripps College
MACROECONOMICS: PRINCIPLES, PROBLEMS, AND POLICIES, TWENTY-FIRST EDITION
Published by McGraw-Hill Education, 2 Penn Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Copyright © 2018 by McGraw-Hill
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limited to, in any network or other electronic storage or transmission, or broadcast for distance learning.
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This book is printed on acid-free paper.
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978-1-259-91575-8 (instructor’s edition)
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Names: McConnell, Campbell R., author. | Brue, Stanley L., 1945- author. |
Flynn, Sean Masaki, author.
Title: Macroeconomics : principles, problems, and policies / Campbell R.
McConnell, University of Nebraska, Stanley L. Brue, Pacific Lutheran
University, Sean M. Flynn, Scripps College.
Description: Twenty First Edition. | Dubuque : McGraw-Hill Education, [2018]
| Revised edition of Macroeconomics, 2015.
Identifiers: LCCN 2016044903| ISBN 9781259915673 (student edition : alk.
paper) | ISBN 1259915670 (student edition : alk. paper)
Subjects: LCSH: Macroeconomics.
Classification: LCC HB172.5 .M3743 2018 | DDC 339—dc23 LC record available at
https://lccn.loc.gov/2016044903
The Internet addresses listed in the text were accurate at the time of publication. The inclusion of a
website does not indicate an endorsement by the authors or McGraw-Hill Education, and
McGraw-Hill Education does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented at these sites.
mheducation.com/highered
To Mem and to Terri and Craig, and to past instructors
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
CAMPBELL R. MCCONNELL earned his Ph.D. from the University of
Iowa after receiving degrees from Cornell College and the University of
Illinois. He taught at the University of Nebraska–Lincoln from 1953 until
his retirement in 1990. He is also coauthor of Contemporary Labor
Economics, eleventh edition, and Essentials of Economics, third edition,
and has edited readers for the principles and labor economics courses. He
is a recipient of both the University of Nebraska Distinguished Teaching
Award and the James A. Lake Academic Freedom Award and is past president of the Midwest Economics Association. Professor McConnell was
awarded an honorary Doctor of Laws degree from Cornell College in
1973 and received its Distinguished Achievement Award in 1994. His primary areas of interest are labor economics and economic education. He has
an extensive collection of jazz recordings and enjoys reading jazz history.
STANLEY L. BRUE did his undergraduate work at Augustana College
(South Dakota) and received its Distinguished Achievement Award in
1991. He received his Ph.D. from the University of Nebraska–Lincoln. He
is retired from a long career at Pacific Lutheran University, where he was
honored as a recipient of the Burlington Northern Faculty Achievement
Award. Professor Brue has also received the national Leavey Award for
excellence in economic education. He has served as national president and
chair of the Board of Trustees of Omicron Delta Epsilon International
Economics Honorary. He is coauthor of Economic Scenes, fifth edition
(Prentice-Hall); Contemporary Labor Economics, eleventh edition;
Essentials of Economics, third edition; and The Evolution of Economic
Thought, eighth edition (Cengage Learning). For relaxation, he enjoys international travel, attending sporting events, and going on fishing trips.
SEAN M. FLYNN did his undergraduate work at the University of
Southern California before completing his Ph.D. at U.C. Berkeley, where
he served as the Head Graduate Student Instructor for the Department of
Economics after receiving the Outstanding Graduate Student Instructor
Award. He teaches at Scripps College (of the Claremont Colleges) and is
the author of Economics for Dummies, second edition (Wiley), and coauthor of Essentials of Economics, third edition. His research interests
include finance, behavioral economics, and health economics. An accomplished martial artist, he has represented the United States in international
aikido tournaments and is the author of Understanding Shodokan Aikido
(Shodokan Press). Other hobbies include running, traveling, and enjoying
ethnic food.
viii
KEY GRAPHS
1.2
The Production Possibilities Curve
11
2.2
The Circular Flow Diagram
38
3.6
Equilibrium Price and Quantity
57
10.2
Consumption and Saving Schedules
203
10.5
The Investment Demand Curve
210
11.2
Equilibrium GDP in a Private Closed Economy
225
11.7
Recessionary and Inflationary Expenditure Gaps
235
12.7
The Equilibrium Price Level and Equilibrium Real GDP
254
16.1
The Demand for Money, the Supply of Money, and the
Equilibrium Interest Rate
325
16.4
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP
340
16.5
The AD-AS Theory of the Price Level, Real Output, and
Stabilization Policy
346
20.2
Trading Possibilities Lines and the Gains from Trade
417
21.1
The Market for Foreign Currency (Pounds)
441
ix
PREFACE
What’s New and Improved?
One of the benefits of writing a successful text is the opportunity to revise—to delete the outdated and install the new, to
rewrite misleading or ambiguous statements, to introduce
more relevant illustrations, to improve the organizational
structure, and to enhance the learning aids.
We trust that you will agree that we have used this opportunity wisely and fully. Some of the more significant
changes include the following.
Separate Presentations of
Monopolistic Competition
and Oligopoly
In response to instructor feedback, we have split the material on monopolistic competition and oligopoly that had together comprised a single chapter in previous editions into
two separate chapters. The separated chapters have been
made modular so that skipping either or covering both will
be equally viable options for instructors. This should be particularly helpful to instructors who want to spend more time
on oligopoly.
Welcome to the 21st edition of Economics, the best-selling
economics textbook in the world. An estimated 15 million
students have used Economics or its companion editions,
Macroeconomics and Microeconomics. Economics has
been adapted into Australian and Canadian editions and
translated into Italian, Russian, Chinese, French, Spanish,
Portuguese, and other languages. We are pleased that
Economics continues to meet the market test: nearly one
out of five U.S. students in principles courses used the
20th edition.
Fundamental Objectives
We have three main goals for Economics:
∙ Help the beginning student master the principles
essential for understanding the economizing problem,
specific economic issues, and policy alternatives.
∙ Help the student understand and apply the economic
perspective and reason accurately and objectively about
economic matters.
∙ Promote a lasting student interest in economics and the
economy.
x
Onboarding of Web Chapters
and COI Material
Economics is everywhere, so the 21st edition continues our
commitment to providing instructors with accessible and intuitive coverage of a wide variety of economic subject areas.
To that end, we are happy to report that we have been able to
pull material that appeared only online in previous editions
into the printed book. That includes what were previously
two full-length Web Chapters as well as a large fraction of the
material that had been posted online as Content Options for
Instructors (COIs).
“The Economics of Developing Countries,” is now
Chapter 22. The online material that was not brought into the
book was COI1, “The United States in the Global Economy.”
That content largely duplicated material that appeared in
other chapters and was not much used, so it will no longer be
supported either online or in print.
Modernized Presentation of Fixed
Exchange Rates and Currency Interventions
For this new edition, we have reorganized and rewritten large
parts of Chapter 21 (The Balance of Payments, Exchange
ere designed for our ancesThus, we often have diffiand decisions that involve
d the future. Two of the maand time inconsistency.
edness, refers to a defect of
s appear fuzzy, out of focus,
omists use the word myopia
s have a hard time conceptuwith the present, the future
rd to see.
e very good at weighing curin order to make immediate
seem “future blind” when it
uture costs or future benefits.
luating possibilities that will
months into the future.
myopia is that when people
omething that will generate
hat won’t yield benefits for a
strong tendency to favor the
ample, imagine that Terence
nd on a vacation next month
ears.
ve great difficulty imagining
at he will be able to enjoy in
On the other hand, it is very
un he could have next month
a result, he will be strongly
ey next month. With myopia
g-term option, the short-term
active.
stick with a diet or follow an
e immediate and clearly vists or hanging out, the future
ercising consistently are just
to be very attractive.
Preface xi
Rates, and Trade Deficits). The key revision has to do with our
presentation of fixed exchange rates. We now show with
greater clarity that under a fixed exchange rate regime,
changes in the balance of payments generate automatic
changes in both foreign exchange reserves and the domestic
money supply that then have to be dealt with by a nation’s
central bank. Our new presentation uses China as an example
of these forces and how they often lead to “sterilization”
actions on the part of the central banks that are engaged in
currency pegs. Our new presentation also clarifies the relationship between trade deficits and foreign exchange reserves
under a currency peg.
We have also inserted additional examples into our presentation of flexible exchange rates and have introduced a
new Last Word on optimal currency areas to give students
insight into some of the European Monetary Union’s current
problems and how they relate to the fact that a monetary
union is equivalent to simultaneous multilateral currency
pegs. For instructors who wish to give a larger historical perspective, we have created a brief appendix that covers the
gold standard era as well as the Bretton Woods period. This
material was previously available in Content Options for
Instructors 1 (COI2).
New “Consider This” and
“Last Word” Pieces
LAST WORD
Antitrust Online
The Internet Has Presented Antitrust Authorities with Both Old and New Causes for Concern.
The Airline Tariff Publishing case was the first important example
of how digital communication platforms could be used by businesses to engage in price-fixing. In the late 1980s, U.S. airlines began to post both current and future prices for airline tickets on a
centralized computer system known as the Airline Tariff Publishing
Company. The system was set up so that travel agents could comparison shop for their clients. But the airlines used the system’s ability to list start dates and end dates for ticket purchases as a way of
colluding.
As an example, suppose that American Airlines and Delta
Airlines had both been charging $200 for a one-way ticket between
New York and Chicago. American could then post a higher price of
$250 for the route with the stipulation that nobody could start buying tickets at that price until the next month. Delta could then respond by also saying that it would start selling tickets at the higher
price next month. In that way, the two airlines could tacitly coordinate their price setting ahead of time so as to collude on a major
price increase.
The antitrust authorities at the U.S. Department of Justice stopped
this practice in 1994 by getting the airlines to agree to the behavioral
remedy that any fare changes would have to become immediately
available to consumers. Airlines could no longer use suggested future
prices as a way of signaling each other about how to collude.
The monopoly power gained during the 1990s and early 2000s
by online giants such as Microsoft and Google has also led to business practices that have raised the ire of antitrust authorities.
Microsoft, for example, was fined $2.7 billion after being convicted
in 2000 of using the near-monopoly (95 percent market share) dominance of its Windows operating system software to coerce computer makers into favoring Microsoft’s Internet Explorer web
browser over rival browsers such as Netscape Navigator.
More recently, Google was indicted in 2015 by European Union
antitrust officials for allegedly using its 90 percent share of the market for Internet searches in Europe to favor its Google Shopping
price-comparison service over price-comparison services run by rival firms. For example, if a person in Germany types “prices for
used iPhones” into Google’s search bar, the top of the search results
page will feature images of several used iPhones for sale on Google
Shopping. By contrast, anyone wanting comparison prices for used
iPhones that are listed on other price-comparison sites will have to
click on links further down on the search-results page to get to those
other sites and their respective lists of used iPhone prices. Google
faces up to €6.6 billion in fines if convicted.
© grzegorz knec/Alamy Stock Photo
The most recent threat to competition spawned by the Internet is
the rise of collusion via pieces of software that use pricing algorithms (automatically applied rules for setting prices) to constantly
adjust a company’s the online prices in response to seeing what rival
firms are charging for similar products. The problem for regulators
is that the pricing algorithms of different firms could end up interacting in ways that collusively raise prices for consumers. This is
especially true for pieces of software that use artificial intelligence
to learn how to achieve preset goals. Two such pieces of software
could each be programmed to try to maximize profits and, as they
interacted with each other, “realize” that the best way to do so is by
coordinating rather than competing.
That possibility is especially challenging because, given the way
antitrust laws are currently written, firms can be prosecuted for collusion only if they make an anticompetitive “agreement” with each
other. If the algorithms come to collude on their own, there is no
such agreement to prosecute. In fact, the behavior of the two pieces
of software could just as easily be interpreted as independent parallel conduct rather than coordination since they don’t even directly
communicate with each other. And, in addition, should asking a
piece of software to try to figure out how to maximize profits be illegal just by itself?
These issues are still very much up in the air but being faced
squarely by U.S. regulators, who made their first prosecution against
the collusive use of algorithmic pricing software in 2015 and who
established the Office of Technology Research and Investigation as
part of the Federal Trade Commission’s Bureau of Consumer
Protection that same year.
a pplications or case studies that are placed near the end of
each chapter. For example, the “Last Word” section for
Chapter 1 (Limits, Alternatives, and Choices) examines
pitfalls to sound e conomic reasoning, while the “Last
Word” section for Chapter 4 (Market Failures: Public
Goods and Externalities) examines cap-and-trade versus
carbon taxes as policy responses to excessive carbon dioxide emissions. There are 6 new “Last Word” sections in
this edition.
If you are unfamiliar with Economics, we encourage you
to thumb through the chapters to take a quick look at these
highly visible features.
433
Our “Consider This” boxes are used to provide analogies,
examples, or stories that help drive home central economic
ideas in a student-oriented, real-world manner. For instance,
a “Consider This” box titled “McHits and McMisses” ill
ustrates consumer s overeignty through a listing of successful
and unsuccessful products. How businesses exploit price
discrimination is
CONSIDER THIS . . .
driven home in a
A Bright Idea
In sunny areas, a solar
“Consider This” box
panel can make up for
the cost of its installation
that explains why ballin just a few years by
greatly reducing or even
parks charge different
eliminating a household’s
electricity
bill.
After
admission prices for
Source: © Federico Rostagno/
Shutterstock.com
those years of payback
adults and children but
are finished, there will be
almost nothing but benefits because the solar panel will
only one set of prices
continue to provide free electricity at only modest maintenance costs. Consequently, nearly every household in sunny
at their concession
areas could rationally profit from installing solar panels.
Unfortunately, myopia discourages most people from
stands. These brief viwanting to reap the net benefits. Because people are myopic, they focus too strongly on the upfront costs of installing
gnettes, each accomsolar panels while at the same time discounting the longrun benefits from being able to generate their own electricpanied by a photo,
ity. The result is major inefficiency as most homeowners
end up foregoing solar panels.
illustrate key points in
A company called Solar City has figured out a way to
work with rather than against people’s myopia. It does so by
a lively, colorful, and
offering leasing and financing options that eliminate the
need for consumers to pay for the upfront costs of installeasy-to-remember
ing a solar system. Instead, Solar City pays for the upfront
costs and then makes its money by splitting the resulting
way. We have added 7
savings on monthly electricity bills with consumers.
This arrangement actually benefits from myopia because
new “Consider This”
consumers get to focus on instant savings rather than initial
costs. The same strategy can also be used to promote other
boxes in this edition.
investments that would normally be discouraged by myopia,
Our “Last Word”
such as installing energy-efficient furnaces, air conditioners, and appliances.
pieces are lengthier
mcc23224_ch21_420-436.indd 433
normally do. But when your alarm goes off the next morning
at that earlier time, you loath the concept, throw the alarm
across the room, and go back to sleep. That switch in your
12/22/16 2:04 PM
New Discussions of Unconventional
Monetary Policy and Interest-Rate
Normalization
Our macroeconomics chapters on monetary policy have been
rewritten in many places to reflect the historically unprecedented monetary policy regimes that have been instituted by
central banks since the Financial Crisis. Thus, for instance,
we have included material that will allow students to comprehend the negative interest rates that are now common in
Europe. Also necessary was a revised treatment of the federal
funds rate to reflect the fact that monetary policy has been
implemented in recent years in the United States by means of
open-market interventions aimed at quantitative easing rather
than open-market interventions aimed at lowering the federal
funds rate, which has been stuck near the zero lower bound
since the Great Recession.
We have also been sure to include intuitive coverage of
the monetary policy tools that the Federal Reserve says it will
be using in coming years to “normalize” monetary policy and
raise short-term interest rates in the context of massive excess
bank reserves. To that end, we have truncated our coverage of
the federal funds market because the Fed has stated that it
xii Preface
intends to normalize via the repo market and the interest rate
that it pays banks on excess reserves (IOER). We cover those
mechanisms in detail and explain how the Fed intends to use
them in coming years.
Tested Content for Peer Instruction
Economics has been at the forefront of pedagogical innovation since our first edition, when we debuted the first separate
student study guide and the first explanations next to each
figure so that students could understand what was going on
without having to hunt around in the main text for an explanation. Successive editions have brought additional firsts, from
being the first with prepared overhead slides to being the first
with SmartBook and adaptive-learning technology.
While technology has made learning with Economics
more efficient for the individual student, we wanted to offer
new methods to enhance the effectiveness of the classroom experience as well. We are consequently proud that we are now
going to be the first textbook to offer Peer Instruction materials
that are highly effective, comprehensive, and classroom-tested.
Peer Instruction was pioneered by Eric Mazur of Harvard
University’s Physics Department. It is a student-focused, interactive teaching method that has been shown to massively
increase the depth of student understanding across a wide
variety of disciplines. It works by having students, in groups,
ponder and discuss questions about challenging scenarios
before their instructor steps in to clear up any lingering
misconceptions. Along the way, students first answer each
question individually before voting as a team after a discussion. Those two answers—individual, then group—provided
the evidence for the effectiveness of Peer Instruction.
As explained by Harvard psychologist Stephen Pinker,
the group discussions lead to a deeper and more intuitive understanding of concepts and theories than can usually be
achieved with lecture-based instruction. That is the case because beginners are often better than experts at explaining
challenging ideas to other beginners. The problem with
experts—that is, instructors like you and me—is that the process of becoming an expert rewires the brain so that the expert can no longer think like a beginner. Our own expertise
makes it difficult to see where students are getting confused
and it is consequently very useful to unleash the power of
Peer Instruction to help beginners tackle new material.
The effectiveness of Peer Instruction depends, however,
on the quality of the questions and scenarios that students are
asked to ponder. Developing good questions and effective
scenarios is highly time intensive and often a matter of experimentation; you just don’t know how well a question or
scenario will work until you try it. It is not a surprise, then,
that today’s busy instructors often shy away from Peer
Instruction because of the high start-up costs and the time
required to develop truly effective questions and scenarios.
Fortunately for you, we did all the work. Author Sean
Flynn and Todd Fitch of the University of San Francisco have
field-tested hundreds of questions and scenarios for effectiveness. So with this 21st edition of McConnell, we are ready to
offer a fully supported set of Peer Instruction material tied
directly to each of the learning objectives in Economics. The
questions and scenarios, as well as resources to help organize
a Peer Instruction classroom can be found in Connect.
If you have ever been in a situation in which more experienced students helped to teach newer students, you have seen
the power of Peer Instruction. Our new materials bring us
back to that paradigm. So while we are first once again with
Peer Instruction in economics, credit belongs to the pioneering work of dedicated teachers like Eric Mazur and Stephen
Pinker for making this method available across disciplines.
Full Support for Flipped Classroom
Teaching Strategies
We have also designed our new Peer Instruction materials to
facilitate flipped-classroom teaching strategies, wherein
students learn basic material at home, before lecture, before
being challenged in class to reach higher levels of understanding. In K–12 math programs, for example, students
study short videos on new content at home before coming to
class to work problems. That sequence of learning activities
assures that an instructor is present at the stage where students encounter the most difficulties, namely, when they attempt to apply the material. By contrast, the traditional
(non-flipped) method for teaching elementary math presents
new content in class before sending students home to work
problems by themselves. That sequence leaves students without expert help when they are most vulnerable to misunderstandings and errors.
We have designed our new Peer Instruction materials to
facilitate the flipped-classroom method by leveraging the
adaptive learning materials that are already available in our
Connect online learning platform. In particular, students can
be assigned new material before lecture via SmartBook,
which is an adaptive-learning technology that tutors students
through the basic concepts and skills presented in each section of the book. We also recommend that students work before class on end-of-chapter problems and LearnSmart
(which also come with adaptive feedback thanks to Connect).
Those pre-class activities will allow students to master the
lower levels of Bloom’s Taxonomy of learning objectives—
things like remembering and understanding—before they come
to class. They will then be ready to attack the higher levels of
Bloom’s Taxonomy—things like applying, analyzing, and
evaluating. That’s where our new Peer Instruction material
comes in. Students who have each already worked their way
through the lower levels of Bloom’s Taxonomy come together
in class under the instruction of an expert—their teacher—to
Preface xiii
work in unison on the higher levels of understanding that are
the ultimate goal of economics instruction.
We are consequently happy to be offering students and
instructors yet another first, namely, the first high-quality,
proven, flipped-classroom package available for principles of
economics classes. Not every instructor will choose to use
this material, but we are confident that those who do will
wish that it had arrived much sooner. For those instructors
who are new to either Peer Instruction or the flipped-classroom method, we will be offering extensive complimentary
training and support via online seminars and message boards.
If you are eager to try these new methods, we will be happy
to help you get going and keep going.
Current Discussions and Examples
The 21st edition of Economics refers to and discusses many
current topics. Examples include surpluses and shortages of
tickets at the Olympics; the myriad impacts of ethanol subsidies; creative destruction; applications of behavioral economics; applications of game theory; the most rapidly expanding
and disappearing U.S. jobs; oil and gasoline prices; cap-andtrade systems and carbon taxes; occupational licensing; state
lotteries; consumption versus income inequality; the impact of
electronic medical records on health care costs; the surprising
fall in illegal immigration after the 2007–2009 recession; conditional and unconditional cash transfers; the difficulty of targeting fiscal stimulus; the rapid rise in college tuition; the
slow recovery from the Great Recession; ballooning federal
budget deficits and public debt; the long-run funding shortfalls in Social Security and Medicare; the effect of rising
dependency ratios on economic growth; innovative Federal
Reserve policies, including quantitative easing, the zero interest rate policy, and explicit inflation targets; the massive excess reserves in the banking system; the jump in the size of the
Fed’s balance sheet; the effect of the zero interest rate policy
on savers; regulation of “too big to fail” banks; trade adjustment assistance; the European Union and the eurozone;
changes in exchange rates; and many other current topics.
Chapter-by-Chapter Changes
Each chapter of Macroeconomics, 21st edition, contains updated data reflecting the current economy, revised Learning
Objectives, and reorganized and expanded end-of-chapter
content. Every chapter also contains one or more Quick
Review boxes to help students review and solidify content as
they are reading along.
Chapter-specific updates include:
Chapter 1: Limits, Alternatives, and Choices features two
refreshed Consider This pieces as well as revised new examples and working improvements to clarify the main concepts.
Chapter 2: The Market System and the Circular Flow contains updated examples and a brief new introduction to the
concept of residual claimant.
Chapter 3: Demand, Supply, and Market Equilibrium includes a new Last Word on how student lending raises college
tuition as well as data updates and updated examples.
Chapter 4: Market Failures: Public Goods and
Externalities features updated examples and a new Key Word
on Pigovian taxes.
Chapter 5: Government’s Role and Government Failure has
a new Consider This on government agencies violating government laws, several new examples, and wording revisions
for increased clarity.
Chapter 6: An Introduction to Macroeconomics incorporates data updates, wording improvements, and several new
examples.
Chapter 7: Measuring Domestic Output and National
Income features extensive data updates and a short new section discussing the importance of paying attention to intermediate economic activity as measured by gross output.
Chapter 8: Economic Growth contains data updates, new examples, and a new discussion of the slowdown in productivity growth that has occurred since the Great Recession.
Chapter 9: Business Cycles, Unemployment, and Inflation
features both a new Consider This on deflationary spirals as
well as an extended discussion of negative interest rates.
Chapter 10: Basic Macroeconomic Relationships features
data updates and a new Last Word that humorously illustrates
the multiplier concept in the same parody style that was used
in the Last Word piece that this all-new story replaces.
Chapter 11: The Aggregate Expenditures Model contains
data updates and minor wording improvements.
Chapter 12: Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
incorporates updates to both data and examples.
Chapter 13: Fiscal Policy, Deficits, and Debt uses extensive
data updates to reflect the current U.S. fiscal situation and
place it in an international context.
Chapter 14: Money, Banking, and Financial Institutions
features a new Last Word on central bank bailouts for insolvent as well as illiquid financial institutions, a policy derided
by some as “extend and pretend.”
Chapter 15: Money Creation incorporates a few data updates
as well as a new section explaining the demise of the federal
funds market after the Financial Crisis of 2007–2008.
Chapter 16: Interest Rates and Monetary Policy features
new material on the unorthodox monetary policy of the last
10 years. Coverage of the federal funds market has been
slashed, reflecting the fact that the massive excess reserves in
the banking system mean that the Fed now uses open-market
operations for quantitative easing rather than adjustments to
xiv Preface
the federal funds rate (which is constantly forced toward zero
by those massive excess bank reserves). We also give an indepth explanation of the Federal Reserve’s plan to normalize
monetary policy by using reverse repos and the rate of interest on excess reserves (IOER) to raise short-term interest
rates in the coming years. To aid comprehension of how
repos and reverse repos work, we have also added a new
Consider This piece.
Chapter 17: Financial Economics has extensive data updates and a new Consider This on how increased institutional
stock ownership may have exacerbated the principal-agent
problem and thereby engendered a greater amount of selfserving behavior on the part of corporate managers.
Chapter 18: Extending the Analysis of Aggregate Supply incorporates data updates and new material that updates our discussion of the empirical validity of the Phillips Curve by
including the most recent data on inflation and unemployment.
Chapter 19: Current Issues in Macro Theory and Policy
contains a new section explaining the Federal Reserve’s
2-percent inflation target as well as a new Last Word describing Market Monetarism.
Chapter 20: International Trade contains new examples and
data updates.
Chapter 21: The Balance of Payments, Exchange Rates,
and Trade Deficits is heavily revised for this edition. There
is an entirely new presentation of fixed exchange rates and
how the balance of payments under a fixed exchange rate
determines the direction of change of both foreign exchange
reserves as well as the domestic money supply. This presentation is illustrated with a new Consider This on China’s
currency peg as well as a new Last Word on whether common currencies (which are implicit pegs) are a good idea.
This chapter also has a new appendix that includes the material on previous (pre-Bretton Woods) exchange rate systems that was previously presented in Content Options for
Instructors 2 (COI2).
Chapter 22: The Economics of Developing Countries has an
updated discussion on China’s recently terminated one-child
policy as well as a new Last Word that reviews the povertyfighting effectiveness of microcredit, conditional cash transfers, and unconditional cash transfers.
Distinguishing Features
Comprehensive Explanations at an Appropriate Level
Economics is comprehensive, analytical, and challenging yet
fully accessible to a wide range of students. The thoroughness
and accessibility enable instructors to select topics for special
classroom emphasis with confidence that students can read
and comprehend other independently assigned material in the
book. Where needed, an extra sentence of explanation is provided. Brevity at the expense of clarity is false economy.
Fundamentals of the Market System Many economies
throughout the world are still making difficult transitions
from planning to markets while a handful of other countries
such as Venezuela seem to be trying to reestablish
government-controlled, centrally planned economies. Our detailed description of the institutions and operation of the market system in Chapter 2 (The Market System and the Circular
Flow) is therefore even more relevant than before. We pay
particular attention to property rights, entrepreneurship, freedom of enterprise and choice, competition, and the role of
profits because these concepts are often misunderstood by
beginning students worldwide.
Extensive Treatment of International Economics We
give the principles and institutions of the global economy extensive treatment. The appendix to Chapter 3 (Demand, Supply, and Market Equilibrium) has an application on exchange
rates. Chapter 20 (International Trade) examines key facts of
international trade, specialization and comparative advantage, arguments for protectionism, impacts of tariffs and subsidies, and various trade agreements. Chapter 21 (The
Balance of Payments, Exchange Rates, and Trade Deficits)
discusses the balance of payments, fixed and floating exchange rates, and U.S. trade deficits. Web Chapter 22 (The
Economics of Developing Countries) takes a look at the special problems faced by developing countries and how developed countries try to help them.
Chapter 20 (International Trade) is constructed such that
instructors who want to cover international trade early in the
course can assign it immediately after Chapter 3. Chapter
20 requires only a good understanding of production possibilities analysis and supply and demand analysis to comprehend.
International competition, trade flows, and financial
flows are integrated throughout the micro and macro sections. “Global Perspective” boxes add to the international flavor of the book.
Early and Extensive Treatment of Government The
public sector is an integral component of modern capitalism.
This book introduces the role of government early. Chapter 4
(Market Failures: Public Goods and Externalities) systematically discusses public goods and government policies toward
externalities. Chapter 5 (Government’s Role and Government
Failure) details the factors that cause government failure.
Step-by-Step, Two-Path Macro As in the previous edition, our macro continues to be distinguished by a systematic
step-by-step approach to developing ideas and building models. Explicit assumptions about price and wage stickiness are
posited and then systematically peeled away, yielding new
models and extensions, all in the broader context of growth,
expectations, shocks, and degrees of price and wage stickiness over time.
Preface xv
In crafting this step-by-step macro approach, we took
care to preserve the “two-path macro” that many instructors
appreciated. Instructors who want to bypass the immediate
short-run model (Chapter 31: The Aggregate Expenditures
Model) can proceed without loss of continuity directly to the
short-run AD-AS model (Chapter 32: Aggregate Demand
and Aggregate Supply), fiscal policy, money and banking,
monetary policy, and the long-run AD-AS analysis.
Emphasis on Technological Change and Economic
Growth This edition continues to emphasize economic
growth. Chapter 1 (Limits, Alternatives, and Choices) uses the
production possibilities curve to show the basic ingredients of
growth. Chapter 8 (Economic Growth) explains how growth is
measured and presents the facts of growth. It also discusses the
causes of growth, looks at productivity growth, and addresses
some controversies surrounding economic growth. Chapter 8’s
Last Word examines whether economic growth can survive demographic decline. Web Chapter 22 focuses on developing
countries and the growth obstacles they confront.
Organizational Alternatives
Although instructors generally agree on the content of principles of economics courses, they sometimes differ on how to
arrange the material. Economics includes 11 parts, and thus
provides considerable organizational flexibility. The two-path
macro enables covering the full aggregate expenditures
model or advancing directly from the basic macro relationships chapter to the AD-AS model.
Finally, Chapter 20 on international trade can easily be
moved up to immediately after Chapter 3 on supply and demand for instructors who want an early discussion of international trade.
Pedagogical Aids
Macroeconomics is highly student-oriented. The 21st edition
is also accompanied by a variety of high-quality supplements
that help students master the subject and help instructors implement customized courses.
Digital Tools
Adaptive Reading Experience SmartBook contains the
same content as the print book, but actively tailors that content
to the needs of the individual through adaptive probing. Instructors can assign SmartBook reading assignments for points
to create incentives for students to come to class prepared.
Extensive Algorithmic and Graphing Assessment
Robust, auto-gradable question banks for each chapter now
include even more questions that make use of the Connect
graphing tool. More questions featuring algorithmic variations have also been added.
Interactive Graphs This new assignable resource within
Connect helps students see the relevance of subject matter by
providing visual displays of real data for students to manipulate. All graphs are accompanied by assignable assessment
questions and feedback to guide students through the experience of learning to read and interpret graphs and data.
Videos New to this edition are videos that provide support
for key economics topics. These short, engaging explanations
are presented at the moment students may be struggling to
help them connect the dots and grasp challenging concepts.
Math Preparedness Tutorials Our math preparedness assignments have been reworked to help students refresh on important prerequisite topics necessary to be successful in
economics.
Digital Image Library Every graph and table in the text is
available in the Instructor’s Resource section in Connect.
Three Reorganized Test Banks The Economics test
banks contain around 14,000 multiple-choice and true-false
questions, many of which were written by the text authors.
While previous editions grouped these questions into two
separate test banks, this edition uses a consolidated test bank
with advanced tagging features that will allow instructors to
choose familiar questions from Test Banks I and II or create
new assignments from the full variety of questions in each
chapter. Each test bank question for Economics also maps to
a specific learning objective. Randy Grant revised Test Bank
I for the 21st edition. Felix Kwan of Maryville University updated Test Bank II. All Test Bank questions are organized by
learning objective, topic, AACSB Assurance of Learning, and
Bloom’s Taxonomy guidelines.
Test Bank III, written by William Walstad, contains
more than 600 pages of short-answer questions and problems
created in the style of the book’s end-of-chapter questions.
Test Bank III can be used to construct student assignments or
design essay and problem exams. Suggested answers to the
essay and problem questions are included. In all, nearly
15,000 questions give instructors maximum testing flexibility
while ensuring the fullest possible text correlation.
Computerized Test Bank Online TestGen is a complete,
state-of-the-art test generator and editing application software that allows instructors to quickly and easily select test
items from McGraw Hill’s test bank content. The instructors
can then organize, edit, and customize questions and answers
to rapidly generate tests for paper or online administration.
Questions can include stylized text, symbols, graphics, and
equations that are inserted directly into questions using builtin mathematical templates. TestGen’s random generator provides the option to display different text or calculated
xvi Preface
number values each time questions are used. With both
quick-and-simple test creation and flexible and robust editing tools, TestGen is a complete test generator system for
today’s educators.
You can use our test bank software, TestGen, or Connect
Economics to easily query for learning outcomes and objectives that directly relate to the learning objectives for your
course. You can then use the reporting features to aggregate
student results in a similar fashion, making the collection and
presentation of assurance-of-learning data simple and easy.
AACSB Statement The McGraw-Hill Companies is a proud
corporate member of the Association to Advance Collegiate
Schools of Business (AACSB) International. Understanding
the importance and value of AACSB accreditation, Economics
has sought to recognize the curricula guidelines detailed in the
AACSB standards for business accreditation by connecting
end-of-chapter questions in Economics and the accompanying
test banks to the general knowledge and skill guidelines found
in the AACSB standards.
This AACSB Statement for Economics is provided only as
a guide for the users of this text. The AACSB leaves content
coverage and assessment within the purview of individual
schools, their respective missions, and their respective faculty.
While Economics and its teaching package make no claim of any
specific AACSB qualification or evaluation, we have, within
Economics labeled selected questions according to the eight
general knowledge and skills areas emphasized by AACSB.
Supplements for Students and Instructors
Study Guide One of the world’s leading experts on economic
education, William Walstad of the University of Nebraska–
Lincoln, prepared the Study Guide. Many students find either the
printed or digital version indispensable. Each chapter contains an
introductory statement, a checklist of behavioral objectives, an
outline, a list of important terms, fill-in questions, problems and
projects, objective questions, and discussion questions.
The Guide comprises a superb “portable tutor” for the
principles student. Separate Study Guides are available for the
macro and micro editions of the text.
Instructor’s Manual Shawn Knabb of Western Washington
University revised and updated the Instructor’s Manual to accompany the 21st edition of the text. The revised Instructor’s
Manual includes:
∙
∙
∙
∙
∙
∙
Chapter summaries.
Listings of “what’s new” in each chapter.
Teaching tips and suggestions.
Learning objectives.
Chapter outlines.
Extra questions and problems.
∙ Answers to the end-of-chapter questions and problems,
plus correlation guides mapping content to learning
objectives.
The Instructor’s Manual is available in the Instructor’s
Resource section, accessible through the Library tab in
Connect.
PowerPoint Presentations A dedicated team of instructors updated the PowerPoint presentations for the 21st edition: Stephanie Campbell of Mineral Area College and Amy
Chataginer of Mississippi Gulf Coast Community College.
Each chapter is accompanied by a concise yet thorough tour
of the key concepts. Instructors can use these presentations in
the classroom, and students can use them on their computers.
Digital Solutions
McGraw-Hill Connect® Economics
Less Managing. More Teaching.
Greater Learning. Connect Economics is an online assignment and assessment solution that
offers a number of powerful tools and features that make
managing assignments easier so faculty can spend more time
teaching. With Connect Economics, students can engage with
their coursework anytime and anywhere, making the learning
process more accessible and efficient.
Learning Management System Integration
McGraw-Hill Campus is a one-stop
teaching and learning experience
available to use with any learning
management system. McGraw-Hill Campus provides single
sign-on to faculty and students for all McGraw-Hill material
and technology from within a school’s website. McGraw-Hill
Campus also allows instructors instant access to all supplements and teaching materials for all McGraw-Hill products.
Blackboard and Canvas users also benefit from McGrawHill’s industry-leading integration, providing single sign-on
access to all Connect assignments and automatic feeding of
assignment results to the Blackboard grade book.
Simple
Seamless
Secure
Tegrity Campus: Lectures 24/7
Tegrity Campus is a service that
makes class time available 24/7 by
automatically capturing every lecture in a searchable format for students to review when
they study and complete assignments. With a simple oneclick start-and-stop process, you capture all computer
screens and corresponding audio. Students can replay any
part of any class with easy-to-use browser-based viewing
on a PC or Mac.
Preface xvii
Educators know that the more students can see, hear, and
experience class resources, the better they learn. In fact, studies prove it. With Tegrity Campus, students quickly recall key
moments by using Tegrity Campus’s unique search feature.
This search function helps students efficiently find what they
need, when they need it, across an entire semester of class
recordings. Help turn all your students’ study time into learning moments immediately supported by your lecture.
To learn more about Tegrity, you can watch a twominute Flash demo at tegritycampus.mhhe.com.
McGraw-Hill Customer Care Contact
Information
Getting the most from new technology can be challenging. So
McGraw-Hill offers a large suite of complementary support
services for faculty using Economics. You can contact our
Product Specialists 24 hours a day to set up online technology
instruction. Or you can contact customer support at any time
by either calling 800-331-5094 or by visiting the Customer
Experience Group (CXG) Support Center at www.mhhe
.com/support. They will put you in touch with a Technical
Support Analyst familiar with Economics and its technology
offerings. And, of course, our online knowledge bank of
Frequently Asked Questions is always available at the justmentioned website for instant answers to the most common
technology questions.
Acknowledgments
We give special thanks to Ryan Umbeck, Peter Staples,
Peggy Dalton, and Matt McMahon for their hard work updating the questions and problems in Connect, as well as the
material they created for the additional Connect
Problems. Thank you Jody Lotz for her dedicated copy editing of the Connect end-of-chapter material. Laura
Maghoney’s expert revision of the SmartBook content and
consultation on many other elements of this project were
invaluable. Thanks to the many dedicated instructors who
accuracy-checked the end-of-chapter content, test banks,
and Instructor’s Manuals: Per Norander, Ribhi Daoud,
Gretchen Mester, Erwin Erhardt, and Xavier Whitacre. We
offer our deepest gratitude to the amazing Laureen Cantwell
for her research assistance. Finally, we thank William
Walstad and Tom Barbiero (the coauthor of our Canadian
edition) for their helpful ideas and insights.
We are greatly indebted to an all-star group of professionals at McGraw-Hill—in particular James Heine, Virgil
Lloyd, Trina Maurer, Harvey Yep, Bruce Gin, Tara
McDermott, Adam Huenecke, and Katie Hoenicke—for their
publishing and marketing expertise.
The 21st edition has benefited from a number of perceptive formal reviews. The reviewers, listed at the end of the
preface, were a rich source of suggestions for this revision. To
each of you, and others we may have inadvertently overlooked, thank you for your considerable help in improving
Economics.
Sean M. Flynn
Stanley L. Brue
Campbell R. McConnell
REVIEWERS
xviii
Richard Agesa, Marshall University
Carlos Aguilar, El Paso Community College, Valle Verde
Yamin Ahmad, University of Wisconsin–Whitewater
Eun Ahn, University of Hawaii, West Oahu
Miki Anderson, Pikes Peak Community College
Giuliana Andreopoulos, William Paterson University
Thomas Andrews, West Chester University of Pennsylvania
Fatma Antar, Manchester Community College
Len Anyanwu, Union County College
Emmanuel Asigbee, Kirkwood Community College
John Atkins, Pensacola State College
Moses Ayiku, Essex County College
Wendy Bailey, Troy University
Dean Baim, Pepperdine University
Herman Baine, Broward College
Tyra Barrett, Pellissippi State Community College
David Barrus, Brigham Young University, Idaho
Jill Beccaris-Pescatore, Montgomery County Community College
Kevin Beckwith, Salem State University
Christian Beer, Cape Fear Community College
Robert Belsterling, Pennsylvania State University, Altoona
Laura Jean Bhadra, Northern Virginia Community College, Manassas
Priscilla Block, Broward College
Augustine Boakye, Essex County College
Stephanie Campbell, Mineral Area College
Bruce Carpenter, Mansfield University
Tom Cate, Northern Kentucky University
Semih Emre Çekin, Texas Tech University
Suparna Chakraborty, University of San Francisco
Claude Chang, Johnson & Wales University
Amy Chataginer, Mississippi Gulf Coast Community College–Gautier
Shuo Chen, State University of New York–Geneseo
Jon Chesbro, Montana Tech of the University of Montana
Amod Choudhary, Lehman College
Constantinos Christofides, East Stroudsburg University
Kathy Clark, Edison College, Fort Myers
Wes Clark, Midlands Technical College
Jane Clary, College of Charleston
Jane Cline, Forsyth Technical Community College
Patricia Daigle, Mount Wachusett Community College
Anthony Daniele, St. Petersburg College–Gibbs
Rosa Lee Danielson, College of DuPage
Ribhi Daoud, Sinclair Community College
Maria Davis, Indian River State College, Central
William L. Davis, University of Tennessee–Martin
Richard Dixon, Thomas Nelson Community College
Tanya Downing, Cuesta College
Scott Dressler, Villanova University
Brad Duerson, Des Moines Area Community College
Mark J. Eschenfelder, Robert Morris University
Maxwell Eseonu, Virginia State University
Michael Fenick, Broward College
Tyrone Ferdnance, Hampton University
Jeffrey Forrest, St. Louis Community College–Florissant Valley
Richard Fowles, University of Utah, Salt Lake City
Mark Frascatore, Clarkson University
Preface xix
Shelby Frost, Georgia State University
Sudip Ghosh, Penn State University–Berks
Daniel Giedeman, Grand Valley State University
Scott Gilbert, Southern Illinois University
James Giordano, Villanova University
Susan Glanz, St. John’s University
Lowell Glenn, Utah Valley University
Terri Gonzales, Delgado Community College
Michael Goode, Central Piedmont Community College
Moonsu Han, North Shore Community College
Charlie Harrington, Nova Southeastern University, Main
Virden Harrison, Modesto Junior College
Richard R. Hawkins, University of West Florida
Kim Hawtrey, Hope College
Glenn Haynes, Western Illinois University
Mark Healy, Harper College
Dennis Heiner, College of Southern Idaho
Michael Heslop, Northern Virginia Community College, Annandale
Calvin Hoy, County College of Morris
Jesse Hoyt Hill, Tarrant County College
Jim Hubert, Seattle Central Community College
Greg W. Hunter, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona
Christos Ioannou, University of Minnesota–Minneapolis
Faridul Islam, Utah Valley University
Mahshid Jalilvand, University of Wisconsin–Stout
Ricot Jean, Valencia Community College–Osceola
Jonatan Jelen, City College of New York
Stephen Kaifa, County College of Morris
Brad Kamp, University of South Florida, Sarasota-Manatee
Gus Karam, Pace University, Pleasantville
Kevin Kelley, Northwest Vista College
Chris Klein, Middle Tennessee State University
Barry Kotlove, Edmonds Community College
Richard Kramer, New England College
Felix Kwan, Maryville University
Ted Labay, Bishop State Community College
Tina Lance, Germanna Community College–Fredericksburg
Sarah Leahy, Brookdale Community College
Yu-Feng Lee, New Mexico State University–Las Cruces
Adam Y.C. Lei, Midwestern State University
Phillip Letting, Harrisburg Area Community College
Brian Lynch, Lake Land College
Zagros Madjd-Sadjadi, Winston-Salem State University
Laura Maghoney, Solano Community College
Vincent Mangum, Grambling State University
Benjamin Matta, New Mexico State University–Las Cruces
Pete Mavrokordatos, Tarrant County College–Northeast Campus
Frederick May, Trident Technical College
Katherine McClain, University of Georgia
Michael McIntyre, Copiah-Lincoln Community College
Robert McKizzie, Tarrant County College–Southeast Campus
Kevin McWoodson, Moraine Valley Community College
Edwin Mensah, University of North Carolina at Pembroke
Randy Methenitis, Richland College
Ida Mirzaie, The Ohio State University
David Mitch, University of Maryland–Baltimore County
Ramesh Mohan, Bryant University
Daniel Morvey, Piedmont Technical College
Shahriar Mostashari, Campbell University
Stefan Mullinax, College of Lake County
Ted Muzio, St. John’s University
Cliff Nowell, Weber State University
Alex Obiya, San Diego City College
Albert Okunade, University of Memphis
Mary Ellen Overbay, Seton Hall University
Tammy Parker, University of Louisiana at Monroe
Alberto Alexander Perez, Harford Community College
David Petersen, American River College
Mary Anne Pettit, Southern Illinois University–Edwardsville
Jeff Phillips, Morrisville State College
Robert Poulton, Graceland University
Dezzie Prewitt, Rio Hondo College
Joe Prinzinger, Lynchburg College
Jaishankar Raman, Valparaiso University
Natalie Reaves, Rowan University
Virginia Reilly, Ocean County College
Tim Reynolds, Alvin Community College
Jose Rafael Rodriguez-Solis, Nova Community College, Annandale
John Romps, Saint Anselm College
Melissa Rueterbusch, Mott Community College
Tom Scheiding, Elizabethtown College
Amy Schmidt, Saint Anselm College
Ron Schuelke, Santa Rosa Junior College
Sangheon Shin, Alabama State University
Alexandra Shiu, McLennan Community College
Dorothy Siden, Salem State University
Robert Simonson, Minnesota State University, Mankato
Timothy Simpson, Central New Mexico Community College
Jonathan Sleeper, Indian River State College
Jose Rodriguez Solis, Northern Virginia Community College
Camille Soltau-Nelson, Oregon State University
Robert Sonora, Fort Lewis College
Maritza Sotomayor, Utah Valley University, Orem
Nick Spangenberg, Ozarks Technical Community College
Dennis Spector, Naugatuck Valley Community College
Thomas Stevens, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Tamika Steward, Tarrant County College, Southeast
Robin Sturik, Cuyahoga Community College Western–Parma
Travis Taylor, Christopher Newport University
Ross Thomas, Central New Mexico Community College
Mark Thompson, Augusta State University
Deborah Thorsen, Palm Beach State College
Michael Toma, Armstrong Atlantic State University
Dosse Toulaboe, Fort Hays State University
Jeff Vance, Sinclair Community College
Cheryl Wachenheim, North Dakota State University–Fargo
Christine Wathen, Middlesex County College
Wendy Wysocki, Monroe County Community College
Edward Zajicek, Winston-Salem State University
Sourushe Zandvakili, University of Cincinnati
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BRIEF CONTENTS
Preface
x
Money, Banking, and Monetary Policy
PART ONE
Introduction to Economics and the Economy
1
2
Limits, Alternatives, and Choices
The Market System and the Circular Flow
1
27
PART TWO
Demand, Supply, and Market Equilibrium
Market Failures: Public Goods and Externalities
Government’s Role and Government Failure
289
308
323
352
18
19
Extending the Analysis of Aggregate Supply
Current Issues in Macro Theory and Policy
373
393
PART SEVEN
International Economics
GDP, Growth, and Instability
An Introduction to Macroeconomics
Measuring Domestic Output and National Income
Economic Growth
Business Cycles, Unemployment, and Inflation
Money, Banking, and Financial Institutions
Money Creation
Interest Rates and Monetary Policy
Financial Economics
Extensions and Issues
47
76
102
PART THREE
6
7
8
9
14
15
16
17
PART SIX
Price, Quantity, and Efficiency
3
4
5
PART FIVE
123
137
158
179
20
21
22
International Trade
The Balance of Payments, Exchange Rates,
and Trade Deficits
The Economics of Developing Countries
Glossary
Index
PART FOUR
410
436
463
G1
IND1
Macroeconomic Models and Fiscal Policy
10
11
12
13
Basic Macroeconomic Relationships
The Aggregate Expenditures Model
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
Fiscal Policy, Deficits, and Debt
201
221
243
266
xxiii
List of Key Graphs
Preface
Reviewers
ix
x
xviii
PART ONE
Introduction to Economics and
the Economy
1
Chapter 1
Limits, Alternatives, and Choices
2
The Economic Perspective
3
Theories, Principles, and Models
Microeconomics and Macroeconomics
4
5
Individual’s Economizing Problem
6
Society’s Economizing Problem
9
Production Possibilities Model
9
Scarcity and Choice / Purposeful Behavior / Marginal
Analysis: Comparing Benefits and Costs
Consider This: Free for All? 3
Consider This: Fast-Food Lines 4
Microeconomics / Macroeconomics / Positive and
Normative Economics
Limited Income / Unlimited Wants / A Budget Line
Consider This: Did Zuckerberg, Seacrest, and Swift Make
Bad Choices? 8
CONTENTS
Scarce Resources / Resource Categories
Production Possibilities Table / Production Possibilities
Curve / Law of Increasing Opportunity Costs / Optimal
Allocation
Consider This: The Economics of War 12
Unemployment, Growth, and the Future
13
Chapter 1 Appendix: Graphs and Their Meaning
21
A Growing Economy / Present Choices and Future
Possibilities / A Qualification: International Trade
Last Word: Pitfalls to Sound Economic Reasoning 16
Chapter 2
The Market System and the Circular Flow
27
Economic Systems
27
Characteristics of the Market System
29
Five Fundamental Questions
32
The “Invisible Hand”
36
Laissez-Faire Capitalism / The Command System /
The Market System
Private Property / Freedom of Enterprise and Choice /
Self-Interest / Competition / Markets and Prices /
Technology and Capital Goods / Specialization / Use of
Money / Active, but Limited, Government
What Will Be Produced? / How Will the Goods and
Services Be Produced? / Who Will Get the
Output? / How Will the System Accommodate
Change? / How Will the System Promote Progress?
Consider This: McHits and McMisses 33
The Demise of the Command Systems / The Incentive
Problem
Consider This: The Two Koreas 37
xxiv
Contents xxv
The Circular Flow Model
37
How the Market System Deals with Risk
39
Households / Businesses / Product Market / Resource
Market
The Profit System / Shielding Employees and Suppliers
from Business Risk / Benefits of Restricting Business Risk
to Owners
Consider This: Insurance 40
Last Word: Shuffling the Deck 41
46
Chapter 3
Demand, Supply, and Market Equilibrium
47
Markets
Demand
48
48
Law of Demand / The Demand Curve / Market Demand /
Changes in Demand / Changes in Quantity Demanded
Supply
53
Market Equilibrium
56
Changes in Supply, Demand, and Equilibrium
58
Law of Supply / The Supply Curve / Market
Supply / Determinants of Supply / Changes in
Supply / Changes in Quantity Supplied
Equilibrium Price and Quantity / Rationing Function of
Prices / Efficient Allocation
Consider This: Uber and Dynamic Pricing 58
Changes in Demand / Changes in Supply / Complex Cases
Consider This: Salsa and Coffee Beans 60
Application: Government-Set Prices
Price Ceilings on Gasoline / Rent Controls / Price Floors
on Wheat
Last Word: Student Loans and Tuition Costs 62
Chapter 3 Appendix: Additional Examples of
Supply and Demand
60
69
76
Market Failures in Competitive Markets
77
Efficiently Functioning Markets
77
Public Goods
82
Private Goods Characteristics / Public Goods
Characteristics / Optimal Quantity of a Public
Good / Demand for Public Goods / Comparing MB and
MC / Cost-Benefit Analysis / Quasi-Public Goods / The
Reallocation Process
Consider This: Street Entertainers 84
Consider This: Responding to Digital Free Riding 85
91
Chapter 4 Appendix: Information Failures
98
Chapter 5
Government’s Role and Government Failure
102
Government’s Economic Role
102
Government Failure
104
Chapter 5 Appendix: Public Choice Theory and
Voting Paradoxes
115
Government’s Right to Coerce / The Problem of Directing
and Managing Government
Consider This: Does Big Government Equal Bad
Government? 103
Representative Democracy and the Principal-Agent
Problem / Clear Benefits, Hidden Costs / Unfunded
Liabilities / Chronic Budget Deficits / Misdirection of
Stabilization Policy / Limited and Bundled Choice /
Bureaucracy and Inefficiency / Inefficient Regulation and
Intervention / Corruption / Imperfect Institutions
Consider This: Mohair and the Collective Action Problem 105
Consider This: Government, Scofflaw 108
Last Word: “Government Failure” in the News 112
PART THREE
GDP, Growth, and Instability
Market Failures: Public Goods and
Externalities
Consumer Surplus / Producer Surplus / Efficiency
Revisited / Efficiency Losses (or Deadweight Losses)
Society’s Optimal Amount of Externality Reduction
Consider This: Voter Failure 118
Chapter 4
Demand-Side Market Failures / Supply-Side Market
Failures
88
Negative Externalities / Positive Externalities /
Government Intervention /
Consider This: The Fable of the Bees 90
MC, MB, and Equilibrium Quantity / Shifts in Locations of
the Curves / Government’s Role in the Economy
Last Word: Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Cap and Trade, and
Carbon Taxes 93
PART TWO
Price, Quantity, and Efficiency
Externalities
122
Chapter 6
An Introduction to Macroeconomics
123
Performance and Policy
The Miracle of Modern Economic Growth
Saving, Investment, and Choosing between
Present and Future Consumption
123
125
Uncertainty, Expectations, and Shocks
127
How Sticky Are Prices?
Categorizing Macroeconomic Models Using
Price Stickiness
131
Banks and Other Financial Institutions
Consider This: Economic versus Financial
Investment 127
The Importance of Expectations and Shocks / Demand
Shocks and Sticky Prices / Example: A Single Firm Dealing
with Demand Shocks and Sticky Prices / Generalizing
from a Single Firm to the Entire Economy
Consider This: The Great Recession 131
Last Word: Debating the Great Recession 133
126
132
xxvi Contents
Chapter 7
Is Growth Desirable and Sustainable?
Measuring Domestic Output and
National Income
137
Assessing the Economy’s Performance
137
Gross Domestic Product / A Monetary
Measure / Avoiding Multiple Counting / GDP Excludes
Nonproduction Transactions / Two Ways of Looking at
GDP: Spending and Income
The Expenditures Approach
Personal Consumption Expenditures (C ) / Gross Private
Domestic Investment (Ig ) / Government Purchases (G ) / Net
Exports (Xn) / Putting It All Together: GDP = C + Ig + G + Xn
Consider This: Stocks versus Flows 143
140
The Income Approach
144
Other National Accounts
145
Compensation of Employees / Rents / Interest /
Proprietors’ Income / Corporate Profits / Taxes on
Production and Imports / From National Income to GDP
Net Domestic Product / National Income / Personal
Income / Disposable Income / The Circular Flow Revisited
Nominal GDP versus Real GDP
Adjustment Process in a One-Product Economy / An
Alternative Method / Real-World Considerations and Data
Shortcomings of GDP
Nonmarket Activities / Leisure / Improved Product
Quality / The Underground Economy / GDP and the
Environment / Composition and Distribution of
Output / Noneconomic Sources of Well-Being / The
Importance of Intermediate Output
Last Word: Magical Mystery Tour 153
147
151
The Antigrowth View / In Defense of Economic Growth
Last Word: Can Economic Growth Survive Population
Decline? 174
Chapter 9
Business Cycles, Unemployment,
and Inflation
179
The Business Cycle
179
Unemployment
182
Inflation
188
Redistribution Effects of Inflation
191
Does Inflation Affect Output?
194
Phases of the Business Cycle / Causation: A First
Glance / Cyclical Impact: Durables and Nondurables
Measurement of Unemployment / Types of
Unemployment / Definition of Full Employment /
Economic Cost of Unemployment / Noneconomic
Costs / International Comparisons
Consider This: Downwardly Sticky Wages and
Unemployment 183
Meaning of Inflation / Measurement of Inflation / Facts of
Inflation / Types of Inflation / Complexities / Core Inflation
Consider This: Clipping Coins 190
Nominal and Real Income / Anticipations / Who Is Hurt
by Inflation? / Who Is Unaffected or Helped by
Inflation? / Anticipated Inflation / Negative Nominal
Interest Rates / Other Redistribution Issues
Consider This: The Specter of Deflation 194
Cost-Push Inflation and Real Output / Demand-Pull
Inflation and Real Output / Hyperinflation
Last Word: Unemployment after the Great Recession 195
Chapter 8
Economic Growth
158
PART FOUR
Economic Growth
159
Macroeconomic Models and
Fiscal Policy
Growth as a Goal / Arithmetic of Growth / Growth in
the United States
Modern Economic Growth
The Uneven Distribution of Growth / Catching Up Is
Possible / Institutional Structures That Promote Modern
Economic Growth
Consider This: Economic Growth Rates Matter! 163
Consider This: Patents and Innovation 164
160
Determinants of Growth
165
Accounting for Growth
167
Supply Factors / Demand Factor / Efficiency
Factor / Production Possibilities Analysis
Labor Inputs versus Labor Productivity / Technological
Advance / Quantity of Capital / Education and
Training / Economies of Scale and Resource Allocation
Consider This: Women, the Labor Force, and Economic
Growth 168
Recent Fluctuations in the Average Rate of
Productivity Growth
Reasons for the Rise in the Average Rate of Productivity
Growth between 1995 and 2010 / Implications for
Economic Growth / The Recent Productivity Slow Down
200
Chapter 10
Basic Macroeconomic Relationships
201
The Income-Consumption and Income-Saving
Relationships
201
Nonincome Determinants of Consumption
and Saving
206
The Interest-Rate–Investment Relationship
208
Shifts of the Investment Demand Curve
211
The Consumption Schedule / The Saving
Schedule / Average and Marginal Propensities
Other Important Considerations
Consider This: The Great Recession and the
Paradox of Thrift 208
Expected Rate of Return / The Real Interest
Rate / Investment Demand Curve
170
173
Instability of Investment
Consider This: The Great Recession and the
Investment Riddle 213
Contents xxvii
The Multiplier Effect
Rationale / The Multiplier and the Marginal
Propensities / How Large Is the Actual Multiplier Effect?
Last Word: Toppling Dominoes 216
213
Fiscal Policy, Deficits, and Debt
The Aggregate Expenditures
Model
221
Assumptions and Simplifications
Consumption and Investment Schedules
Equilibrium GDP: C + Ig = GDP
222
222
223
Other Features of Equilibrium GDP
226
Saving Equals Planned Investment / No Unplanned
Changes in Inventories
Changes in Equilibrium GDP and the Multiplier
Adding International Trade
Net Exports and Aggregate Expenditures / The Net
Export Schedule / Net Exports and Equilibrium
GDP / International Economic Linkages
227
228
Adding the Public Sector
231
Equilibrium versus Full-Employment GDP
234
Government Purchases and Equilibrium GDP / Taxation
and Equilibrium GDP
Recessionary Expenditure Gap / Inflationary
Expenditure Gap / Application: The Recession of
2007–2009
Last Word: Say’s Law, the Great Depression, and
Keynes 237
266
Built-In Stability
270
Evaluating How Expansionary or Contractionary
Fiscal Policy Is Determined
271
Recent and Projected U.S. Fiscal Policy
273
Problems, Criticisms, and Complications
of Implementing Fiscal Policy
275
The U.S. Public Debt
278
Automatic or Built-In Stabilizers
Cyclically Adjusted Budget
Fiscal Policy from 2000 to 2007 / Fiscal Policy during
and after the Great Recession / Past and Projected
Budget Deficits and Surpluses
Problems of Timing / Political Considerations / Future Policy
Reversals / Offsetting State and Local Finance / CrowdingOut Effect / Current Thinking on Fiscal Policy
Ownership / Debt and GDP / International
Comparisons / Interest Charges / False
Concerns / Bankruptcy / Burdening Future
Generations / Substantive Issues / Income
Distribution / Incentives / Foreign-Owned Public
Debt / Crowding-Out Effect Revisited
Last Word: The Social Security and Medicare
Shortfalls 282
PART FIVE
Chapter 12
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate
Supply
266
Fiscal Policy and the AD-AS Model
Expansionary Fiscal Policy / Contractionary Fiscal
Policy / Policy Options: G or T ?
Chapter 11
Tabular Analysis / Graphical Analysis
Chapter 13
Money, Banking, and Monetary Policy
243
288
Chapter 14
Aggregate Demand
244
Money, Banking, and Financial Institutions
Changes in Aggregate Demand
245
The Functions of Money
The Components of the Money Supply
290
290
What “Backs” the Money Supply?
293
Aggregate Demand Curve
Consumer Spending / Investment Spending /
Government Spending / Net Export Spending
Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Supply in the Immediate Short Run /
Aggregate Supply in the Short Run / Aggregate
Supply in the Long Run / Focusing on the Short Run
248
Money Definition M 1 / Money Definition M 2
Consider This: Are Credit Cards Money? 293
Money as Debt / Value of Money / Money and
Prices / Stabilizing Money’s Purchasing Power
289
Changes in Aggregate Supply
251
The Federal Reserve and the Banking System
295
Equilibrium in the AD-AS Model
Changes in Equilibrium
253
253
Fed Functions, Responsibilities, and Independence
298
The Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008
299
The Policy Response to the Financial Crisis
301
The Postcrisis U.S. Financial Services Industry
302
Input Prices / Productivity / Legal-Institutional
Environment
Increases in AD: Demand-Pull Inflation / Decreases
in AD: Recession and Cyclical Unemployment / Decreases
in AS: Cost-Push Inflation / Increases in AS: Full
Employment with Price-Level Stability
Consider This: Ratchet Effect 256
Last Word: Stimulus and the Great Recession 258
Chapter 32 Appendix: The Relationship of the
Aggregate Demand Curve to the Aggregate
Expenditures Model
Historical Background / Board of Governors / The 12
Federal Reserve Banks / FOMC / Commercial Banks
and Thrifts
Federal Reserve Independence
The Mortgage Default Crisis / Securitization / Failures
and Near-Failures of Financial Firms
The Treasury Bailout: TARP / The Fed’s Lender-of- LastResort Activities
263
Last Word: Extend and Pretend 304
xxviii Contents
Chapter 15
Money Creation
308
The Fractional Reserve System
308
A Single Commercial Bank
309
Illustrating the Idea: The Goldsmiths / Significant
Characteristics of Fractional Reserve Banking
Transaction 1: Creating a Bank / Transaction 2: Acquiring
Property and Equipment / Transaction 3: Accepting
Deposits / Transaction 4: Depositing Reserves in a
Federal Reserve Bank / Transaction 5: Clearing a Check
Drawn against the Bank
Transaction 6: Granting a Loan / Transaction 7: Buying
Government Securities / Profits, Liquidity, and the Federal
Funds Market
The Banking System: Multiple-Deposit Expansion
316
The Monetary Multiplier
318
Reversibility: The Multiple Destruction of Money
Last Word: Banking, Leverage, and Financial
Instability 319
Interest Rates
The Demand for Money / The Equilibrium Interest
Rate / Interest Rates and Bond Prices
323
323
Tools of Monetary Policy
327
Targeting the Federal Funds Rate
Expansionary Monetary Policy / Restrictive Monetary
Policy / The Taylor Rule
Monetary Policy, Real GDP, and the Price Level
Cause-Effect Chain / Effects of an Expansionary
Monetary Policy / Effects of a Restrictive
Monetary Policy
333
338
Monetary Policy: Evaluation and Issues
342
The “Big Picture”
345
Recent U.S. Monetary Policy / Problems and
Complications
Last Word: Less Than Zero 344
Financial Investment
Present Value
Compound Interest / The Present Value
Model / Applications
359
359
Comparing Risky Investments
361
The Security Market Line
363
Average Expected Rate of Return / Beta / Relationship of
Risk and Average Expected Rates of Return / The RiskFree Rate of Return
Security Market Line: Applications
Last Word: Index Funds versus Actively Managed
Funds 367
PART SIX
372
Extending the Analysis of Aggregate
Supply
373
From Short Run to Long Run
374
Applying the Extended AD-AS Model
376
The Inflation-Unemployment Relationship
380
The Long-Run Phillips Curve
384
Taxation and Aggregate Supply
385
Demand-Pull Inflation in the Extended AD-AS Model /
Cost-Push Inflation in the Extended AD-AS Model /
Recession and the Extended AD-AS Model / Economic
Growth with Ongoing Inflation
The Phillips Curve / Aggregate Supply Shocks and the
Phillips Curve
Short-Run Phillips Curve / Long-Run Vertical Phillips
Curve / Disinflation
Taxes and Incentives to Work / Incentives to Save and
Invest / The Laffer Curve / Criticisms of the Laffer
Curve / Rebuttal and Evaluation
Consider This: Sherwood Forest 387
Last Word: Do Tax Increases Reduce Real GDP? 388
Chapter 19
Chapter 17
Financial Economics
Arbitrage
Risk
Short-Run Aggregate Supply / Long-Run Aggregate
Supply / Long-Run Equilibrium in the AD-AS Model
326
Open-Market Operations / The Reserve Ratio / The
Discount Rate / Interest on Reserves / Relative
Importance
Consider This: Repo, Man 331
358
Percentage Rates of Return / The Inverse
Relationship between Asset Prices and Rates
of Return
Consider This: Corporate Ownership 358
Chapter 18
The Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal
Reserve Banks
Assets / Liabilities
Calculating Investment Returns
Extensions and Issues
Chapter 16
Interest Rates and Monetary Policy
356
Stocks / Bonds / Mutual Funds
Diversification
Money-Creating Transactions of a
Commercial Bank313
The Banking System’s Lending Potential
Some Popular Investments
352
353
353
Current Issues in Macro Theory and Policy
393
What Causes Macro Instability?
393
Does the Economy “Self-Correct”?
397
Mainstream View / Monetarist View / Real-BusinessCycle View / Coordination Failures
Consider This: Too Much Money? 396
New Classical View of Self-Correction / Mainstream View
of Self-Correction
Contents xxix
Rules or Discretion?
In Support of Policy Rules / In Defense of Discretionary
Stabilization Policy / Policy Successes
Consider This: On the Road Again 401
Summary of Alternative Views
Last Word: Market Monetarism 405
401
Chapter 21
The Balance of Payments, Exchange
Rates, and Trade Deficits
404
International Financial Transactions
The Balance of Payments
436
437
Flexible Exchange Rates
440
Fixed Exchange Rates
445
Current Account / Capital and Financial
Account / Why the Balance?
Depreciation and Appreciation / Determinants of Exchange
Rates / Disadvantages of Flexible Exchange Rates
PART SEVEN
International Economics
409
Chapter 20
International Trade
410
Some Key Trade Facts
The Economic Basis for Trade
411
412
Comparative Advantage / Two Isolated
Nations / Specializing Based on Comparative
Advantage / Terms of Trade / Gains from Trade / Trade
with Increasing Costs / The Case for Free Trade
Consider This: A CPA and a House Painter 413
Consider This: Misunderstanding the Gains from
Trade 418
Supply and Demand Analysis of Exports
and Imports
Supply and Demand in the United States / Supply
and Demand in Canada / Equilibrium World Price,
Exports, and Imports
Trade Barriers and Export Subsidies
Economic Impact of Tariffs / Economic Impact of
Quotas / Net Costs of Tariffs and Quotas
Consider This: Buy American? 423
The Case for Protection: A Critical Review
Military Self-Sufficiency Argument / Diversificationfor-Stability Argument / Infant Industry Argument /
Protection-against-Dumping Argument / Increased
Domestic Employment Argument / Cheap Foreign Labor
Argument
Multilateral Trade Agreements and
Free-Trade Zones
General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade / World Trade
Organization / The European Union / North American
Free Trade Agreement / Recognizing Those Hurt by Free
Trade / Trade Adjustment Assistance / Offshoring of Jobs
Last Word: Petition of the Candlemakers, 1845 431
436
Foreign Exchange Market / Official Reserves / The Sizes
of Currency Purchases and Sales / Small and Alternating
Changes in FX Reserves and the Domestic Money Supply /
Large and Continuous Changes in FX Reserves and the
Domestic Money Supply / Confusing Payments Terminology
Consider This: China’s Inflationary Peg 448
The Current Exchange Rate System: The Managed Float 450
Recent U.S. Trade Deficits
452
Causes of the Trade Deficits / Implications of U.S.
Trade Deficits
Last Word: Are Common Currencies Common Sense? 454
Chapter 21 Appendix Previous International
Exchange-Rate Systems
419
423
425
Chapter 22
The Economics of Developing Countries
463
The Rich and the Poor
463
Obstacles to Economic Development
466
The Vicious Circle
The Role of Government
472
473
The Role of Advanced Nations
475
Classifications / Comparisons / Growth, Decline, and
Income Gaps / The Human Realities of Poverty
Natural Resources / Human Resources / Capital
Accumulation / Technological Advance / Sociocultural
and Institutional Factors
A Positive Role / Public-Sector Problems
428
459
Expanding Trade / Admitting Temporary
Workers / Discouraging Arms Sales / Foreign Aid: Public
Loans and Grants / Flows of Private Capital
Last Word: Microfinance and Cash Transfers
Glossary
Index
G1
IND1
Selected Economics Statistics for Various Years, 1929–1990
Statistics in rows 1–5 are in billions of dollars in the year specified. Numbers may not add to totals because of rounding.
GDP AND INCOME DATA
1929
1933
1940
1942
1944
1946
1948
1950
1958
1960
1962
104.6
57.2
102.9
166.0
224.6
227.8
247.8
300.2
482.0
543.3
605.1
1A Personal consumption
expenditures
77.4
45.9
71.3
89.0
108.6
144.3
175.0
192.2
296.0
331.6
363.1
1B Gross private domestic
investment
17.2
2.3
14.6
11.8
9.2
33.1
50.3
56.5
70.9
86.5
97.0
1C Government purchases
9.6
8.9
15.6
65.5
108.7
43.2
44.0
50.7
114.5
121.0
140.9
1D Net exports of goods and services
0.4
0.1
1.5
−0.3
−2.0
7.2
5.5
0.7
0.5
4.2
4.1
2 Net domestic product
94.2
49.2
92.3
151.1
203.2
202.0
243.4
266.8
419.6
475.4
531.0
3 National income
94.2
49.0
91.5
152.4
201.1
201.5
245.1
267.1
421.7
479.9
535.2
51.4
29.8
52.8
88.1
124.4
122.6
144.5
158.5
265.1
301.9
332.9
3B Rent
6.1
2.9
3.8
5.5
6.3
6.9
7.5
8.8
14.8
16.5
18
3C Interest
4.6
4
3.3
3.2
2.4
1.9
2.6
3.2
9.6
10.7
14.3
1 Gross domestic product
3A Wages and salaries
3D Profits
10.8
−0.2
9.9
20.8
25
18.2
31.4
36.1
43.9
54.7
64
3E Proprietor’s income
14.0
5.3
12.2
23.3
29.3
35.7
39.3
37.5
50.2
50.6
55.2
3F Taxes on production
and imports*
7.3
7.2
9.5
11.5
13.7
16.2
19.8
23.0
38.1
45.5
50.8
4 Personal income
85.3
47.2
79.4
126.7
169.7
182.7
213.7
233.9
379.5
422.5
469.1
5 Disposable income
83.5
46.4
77.7
121.8
152.0
165.5
194.5
215.0
340.9
376.5
6 Disposable income per capita
685
7 Personal saving as percent of DI
4.7
OTHER STATISTICS
8 Real GDP (billions of
2009 dollars)
1929
1,055.6
369
−0.8
1933
588
6.8
903
26.2
1,099
27.9
1,170
11.8
1,326
8.9
1,417
9.3
1,958
11.4
2,083
10.0
417.5
2,238
11.1
1940
1942
1944
1946
1948
1950
1958
1960
1962
777.6
1,265.0
1,770.3
2,237.5
1,959.0
2,018.0
2,181.9
2,832.6
3,105.8
3,379.9
9 Economic growth rate
(change in real GDP)
—
−1.3
8.8
18.9
8.0
−11.6
4.1
8.7
−0.7
2.6
6.1
10 Consumer Price Index
(1982–1984 = 100)
17.1
13.0
14.0
16.3
17.6
19.5
24.1
24.1
28.9
29.6
30.2
0.0
−5.1
0.7
10.9
1.7
8.3
8.1
1.3
2.8
1.7
1.0
112.5
114.1
134.8
140.7
147.8
11 Rate of inflation (percent
change in CPI)
12 Money supply, M1 (billions of $)
26.6
19.9
39.7
55.4
85.3
106.5
13 Federal funds interest rate (%)
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.75
2.07
1.57
3.22
14 Prime interest rate (%)
5.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.75
2.07
3.83
4.82
15 Population (millions)
2.71
4.50
121.8
125.6
132.1
134.9
138.4
141.4
146.6
152.3
174.9
180.7
186.5
16 Civilian labor force
(millions)
49.2
51.6
55.6
56.4
54.6
57.5
60.6
62.2
67.6
69.6
70.6
16A Employment
(millions)
47.6
38.8
47.5
53.8
54.0
55.3
58.3
58.9
63.0
65.8
66.7
1.6
12.8
8.1
2.7
0.7
2.3
2.3
3.3
4.6
3.9
3.9
17 Unemployment rate (%)
3.2
24.9
14.6
4.7
1.2
3.9
3.8
5.3
6.8
5.5
5.5
18 Productivity growth,
business sector (%)
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.4
8.2
2.9
1.8
4.6
19 After-tax manufacturing profit
per dollar of sales (cents)
—
—
—
—
—
—
7.0
7.1
4.2
4.4
4.5
20 Price of crude oil (U.S. average,
dollars per barrel)
1.27
0.67
1.02
1.19
1.21
1.41
2.60
2.51
3.01
2.88
2.90
21 Federal budget surplus (+) or deficit
(−) (billions of dollars)
0.7
−2.6
−2.9
−20.5
−47.6
−15.9
11.8
−3.1
−2.8
0.3
−7.1
16.9
22.5
50.7
79.2
204.1
271.0
252.0
256.9
279.7
290.5
302.9
—
—
—
—
—
4.9
2.4
−1.8
0.8
2.8
3.4
16B Unemployment
(millions)
22 Public debt (billions of dollars)
23 Trade balance on current account
(billions of dollars)
*Combines items from other smaller accounts.
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
685.8
815.0
942.5
1,075.9
1,282.4
1,548.8
1,877.6
2,356.6
2,862.5
3,345.0
4,040.7
4,590.1
5,252.6
5,979.6
411.2
480.6
557.4
647.7
769.4
932.0
1,150.2
1,426.2
1,754.6
2,073.9
2,498.2
2,898.4
3,346.9
3,825.6
112.2
144.2
156.9
170.1
228.1
274.5
323.2
478.4
530.1
581.0
820.1
849.1
937.0
993.5
155.5
186.4
226.8
254.2
288.2
343.1
405.8
477.4
590.8
710.0
825.2
974.5
1,078.2
1,238.4
6.9
3.9
1.4
4.0
−3.4
−0.8
−1.6
−25.4
−13.1
−20.0
−102.7
−131.9
−109.4
−77.9
603.4
719.7
829.2
939.1
1,121.5
1,342.6
1,618.4
2,031.5
2,436.5
2,810.7
3,446.4
3,907.9
4,470.2
5,092.8
608.3
719.7
832.1
940.2
1,123.0
1,350.7
1,614.8
2,029.9
2,426.8
2,840.4
3,444.0
3,848.1
4,493.3
5,036.1
376.8
450.3
532.1
625.1
733.6
890.3
1,051.2
1,320.2
1,626.2
1,894.3
2,217.4
2,543.8
2,950
3,342.7
18.8
19.9
20.1
20.7
22.8
23.3
20.6
16.9
19.7
26.1
27.9
21.9
25.1
31.4
17.5
22.5
27.6
40.5
49.3
73.5
89.9
118.8
186.2
277.5
336.1
365.2
394.7
450.1
77.7
96.1
101.7
86.2
117.2
125.7
174.3
238.6
223.6
229.9
337.9
324.4
414.9
417.2
59.1
67.9
73.8
77.8
95.1
112.2
131
166
171.6
171.2
228.2
256.5
325.8
354.4
58.4
63.0
76.8
89.9
105.0
125.7
147.8
169.4
199.5
241.4
296.5
336.3
382.8
440.3
528.4
620.6
730.7
864.6
1,023.6
1,249.3
1,498.1
1,859.5
2,316.8
2,778.8
3,281.3
3,725.1
4,275.3
4,904.5
476.3
554.2
643.8
761.5
899.9
1,098.3
1,325.8
1,630.1
2,018.0
2,424.7
2,903.9
3,287.9
3,770.4
5,135
6,079
7,322
8,861
2,482
11.5
2,819
11.1
3,207
11.2
3,713
12.6
4,287
12.1
12.9
11.1
10.2
10.6
10,442
11.5
12,284
10.7
13,661
8.2
15,386
7.8
4,311.8
17,235
7.8
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
3,730.5
4,234.9
4,564.7
4,717.7
5,128.8
5,390.2
5,669.3
6,260.4
6,443.4
6,484.3
7,277.2
7,852.1
8,465.4
8,945.4
5.8
6.6
4.9
0.2
5.2
−0.5
5.4
5.6
−0.2
−1.9
7.3
3.5
4.2
1.9
31.0
32.4
34.8
38.8
41.8
49.3
56.9
65.2
82.4
96.5
103.9
109.6
118.3
130.7
1.3
2.9
4.2
5.7
3.2
11.0
5.8
7.6
13.5
6.2
4.3
1.9
4.1
5.4
160.3
172.0
197.4
214.4
249.2
274.2
306.2
357.3
408.5
474.8
551.6
724.7
786.7
824.7
3.50
5.11
5.66
7.18
4.43
10.50
5.05
7.93
13.36
12.26
10.23
6.81
7.57
8.10
4.50
5.63
6.31
7.91
5.25
10.80
6.84
9.06
15.27
14.86
12.04
8.33
9.32
10.01
191.9
196.6
200.7
205.1
209.9
213.9
218.0
222.6
227.2
231.7
235.8
240.1
244.5
249.5
73.1
75.8
78.7
82.8
87.0
91.9
96.2
102.3
106.9
110.2
113.5
117.8
121.7
125.8
69.3
72.9
75.9
78.7
82.2
86.8
88.8
96.0
99.3
99.5
105.0
109.6
115.0
118.8
3.8
2.9
2.8
4.1
4.9
5.2
7.4
6.2
7.6
10.7
8.5
8.2
6.7
7.0
5.2
3.8
3.6
4.9
5.6
5.6
7.7
6.1
7.1
9.7
7.5
7.0
5.5
5.6
3.4
4.1
3.4
2.0
3.2
−1.7
3.2
1.1
−0.2
−0.8
2.7
2.9
1.5
2.1
5.4
5.6
5.2
4.5
4.4
6.4
5.5
5.3
5.6
4.4
4.8
4.6
6.6
4.8
2.88
2.88
2.94
3.18
3.39
6.87
8.19
9.00
21.59
28.52
25.88
12.51
12.58
20.03
−5.9
−3.7
−25.2
−2.8
−23.4
−6.1
−73.7
−59.2
−73.8
−128.0
−185.4
−221.2
−155.2
−221.0
316.1
328.5
368.7
380.9
435.9
483.9
6.8
3.0
0.6
2.3
−5.8
2.0
629.0
776.6
909.0
1,137.3
1,564.6
2,120.5
2,601.1
3,206
4.3
−15.1
2.3
−5.5
−94.3
−147.2
−121.2
−79.0
Selected Economics Statistics for Various Years, 1991–2015
Statistics in rows 1–5 are in billions of dollars in the year specified. Numbers may not add to totals because of rounding.
GDP AND INCOME DATA
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
6,174.0
6,539.3
6,878.7
7,308.7
7,664.0
8,100.2
8,608.5
9,089.1
9,665.7
10,289.7
10,625.3
3,960.2
4,215.7
4,471.0
4,741.0
4,984.2
5,268.1
5,560.7
5,903.0
6,316.9
6,801.6
7,106.9
Gross private domestic
investment
944.3
1,013.0
1,106.8
1,256.5
1,317.5
1,432.1
1,595.6
1,735.3
1,884.2
2,033.8
1,928.6
1C Government purchases
1,298.2
1,345.4
1,366.1
1,403.7
1,452.2
1,496.4
1,554.2
1,613.5
1,726.0
1,834.4
1,958.8
−28.6
−34.8
−65.2
−92.5
−89.8
−96.4
−102.0
−162.7
−261.4
−380.1
−369.0
2 Net domestic product
5,242.9
5,579.6
5,875.1
6,253.1
6,541.2
6,924.2
7,368.5
7,778.8
8,264.8
8,775.5
9,021.3
3 National income
5,186.1
5,499.8
5,754.8
6,140.1
6,479.4
6,899.5
7,380.3
7,857.3
8,324.3
8,907.0
9,184.7
3,452
3,671.1
3,820.7
4,010.1
4,202.6
4,422.1
4,714.7
5,077.8
5,410.3
5,856.6
6,046.5
1 Gross domestic product
1A Personal consumption
expenditures
1B
1D Net exports of goods and services
3A
Wages and salaries
3B
Rent
3C
Interest
42.0
64.3
93.6
117.5
129.2
147.0
152.0
169.9
183.1
187.7
207.5
408.5
383.7
371.4
365.9
376.5
381.9
414.7
477.8
488.0
565.0
566.4
3D Profits
451.3
475.3
522.0
621.9
703.0
786.1
865.8
804.1
830.2
781.2
754.0
3E
Proprietor’s income
356.0
402.4
430.5
459.5
484.5
547.4
587.9
644.2
700.4
757.8
836.8
3F
Taxes on production
and imports*
476.3
503.0
516.6
565.2
583.6
615.0
645.2
683.5
712.3
758.7
773.5
4 Personal income
5,071.1
5,410.8
5,646.8
5,934.7
6,276.5
6,661.9
7,075.0
7,587.7
7,983.8
8,632.8
8,987.1
5 Disposable income
4,484.5
4,800.3
5,000.2
5,244.2
5,532.6
5,829.9
6,148.9
6,561.3
6,876.3
7,400.5
6 Disposable income per capita
17,688
7 Personal saving as percent of DI
18,684
19,211
19,906
8.2
8.9
7.4
1991
1992
1993
1994
8,938.9
9,256.7
9,510.8
9 Economic growth rate
(change in real GDP)
−0.1
3.6
10 Consumer Price Index
(1982–1984 = 100)
136.2
OTHER STATISTICS
8 Real GDP (billions of
2009 dollars)
11 Rate of inflation (percent
change in CPI)
12 Money supply, M1 (billions of $)
6.3
20,753
21,615
22,527
6.4
5.9
1995
1996
5.7
9,894.7
10,163.7
10,549.5
11,022.9
2.7
4.0
2.7
3.8
140.3
144.5
148.2
152.4
4.2
3.0
3.0
2.6
897.0
1,024.9
1,129.8
1,150.8
23,759
26,206
7,752.3
27,179
4.3
4.0
1999
2000
2001
11,513.4
12,071.4
12,565.2
12,684.4
4.5
4.4
4.8
4.1
1.0
156.9
160.5
163.0
166.6
172.2
177.1
2.8
3.0
2.3
1.6
2.2
3.4
2.8
1,127.5
1,081.3
1,072.8
1,096.1
1,122.9
1,087.9
1,182.9
1997
6.2
24,617
1998
13 Federal funds interest rate (%)
5.69
3.52
3.02
4.20
5.84
5.30
5.46
5.35
4.97
6.24
14 Prime interest rate (%)
8.46
6.25
6.00
7.14
8.83
8.27
8.44
8.35
7.99
9.23
4.3
3.89
6.92
15 Population (millions)
252.2
255.0
257.8
260.3
262.8
265.2
267.8
270.2
272.7
282.2
285.0
16 Civilian labor force
(millions)
126.3
128.1
129.2
131.1
132.3
133.9
136.3
137.7
139.4
142.6
143.7
16A Employment
(millions)
117.7
118.5
120.3
123.1
124.9
126.7
129.6
131.5
133.5
136.9
136.9
16B Unemployment
(millions)
8.6
9.6
8.9
8.0
7.4
7.2
6.7
6.2
5.9
5.7
6.8
17 Unemployment rate (%)
6.8
7.5
6.9
6.1
5.6
5.4
4.9
4.5
4.2
4.0
4.7
18 Productivity growth,
business sector (%)
1.5
4.2
0.5
0.9
0.0
2.9
1.8
3.0
3.5
3.5
3.0
19 After-tax manufacturing profit
per dollar of sales (cents)
4.1
3.1
3.7
5.5
6.0
6.5
6.7
6.0
6.4
6.9
5.7
16.54
15.99
14.25
13.19
14.62
18.46
17.23
10.87
15.56
26.72
21.84
20 Price of crude oil (U.S. average,
dollars per barrel)
21 Federal budget surplus (+) or
deficit (−) (billions of dollars)
−269.2
−290.3
−255.1
−203.2
−164.0
−107.4
−21.9
69.3
125.6
236.2
128.2
22 Public debt (billions of dollars)
3,598.2
4,001.8
4,351.0
4,643.3
4,920.6
5,181.5
5,369.2
5,478.2
5,605.5
5,628.7
5,769.9
2.9
−51.6
−84.8
−121.6
−113.6
−124.8
−140.7
−215.1
−301.7
−416.3
−396.6
23 Trade balance on current
account (billions of dollars)
*Combines items from other smaller accounts.
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015**
10,980.2
11,512.2
12,277.0
13,095.4
13,857.9
14,480.3
14,720.3
14,417.9
14,958.3
15,517.9
16,155.3
16,691.5
17,393.1
18,036.6
7,385.3
7,764.4
8,257.8
8,790.3
9,297.5
9,744.4
10,005.5
9,842.9
10,201.9
10,689.3
11,050.6
11,361.2
11,863.4
12,283.7
1,925.0
2,027.9
2,276.7
2,527.1
2,680.6
2,643.7
...
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