Company Name
Johnson & Johnson
cell F3 is named "name"
Sub-header
Dollars in Millions, except per share
cell F5 is named "subheader"
COPYRIGHT 2009 © by Training The Street, Inc
For training purposes only!
Assumption Page for Johnson & Johnson
Select a scenario:
Operating Assumptions
Sales growth rate
Gross margin
SG&A expenses (as a % of sales)
Other operating expenses ($ in millions)
Other non-operating income / (expense) ($ millions)
Marginal tax rate
Proj 2014 ######## ######## ########
4.9%
1.1%
3.7%
3.3%
68.7%
68.7%
68.7%
68.7%
28.3%
28.6%
28.5%
31.0%
$8,379.7 $8,379.7 $8,379.7 $8,379.7
($2,478.0) ######## ######## ########
15.5%
13.5%
12.0%
13.7%
Working Capital Assumptions
Accounts receivable, net (collection period in days)
Inventories (days outstanding)
Other current assets (as % of sales)
60.0
103.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
Accounts payable (days outstanding)
Accrued liabilities (as % of cost of goods sold)
Other Current Liabilities (as % of cost of goods sold)
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
Long-Term Asset Assumptions
Capital expenditures (as % of sales)
Depreciation (as % of capex)
4.7%
76.2%
4.7%
77.2%
4.7%
78.2%
4.7%
79.2%
Purchases of definite life intangibles (as % of sales)
Amortization Expense (1)
Equity Assumptions
Stock-based compensation expense ($ in millions)
Dividend payout ratio
`
Base case
Debt Assumptions
Minimum cash balance ($ in millions)
Long-term debt issuance ($ in millions)
Long-term debt Repayment ($ in millions) (2)
% Interest rate (revolver) (3)
% Interest rate (LTD) (3)
% Cash interest rate
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
$1,350.0 $1,350.0 $1,350.0 $1,350.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$3,607.0
$1,769.0
$45.0
$76.0
$4,470.0
$2,096.0
$0.0
$1,007.0
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1) Amortization expense is projected by management to be approximately $1350M, 10-K p.32
2) Long-term obligation maturities are as follows: 2014: $1769M 2015: $76M 2016: $2096M 2017: $1526M 2018: $1526M
3) Interest charged on borrowings under the credit line agreements is based on either bids provided by banks, the prime rate or London Interbank Offered
4) Cash interest rate approximately equals to current prime rate plus 1%
Do not move/edit these (being used for data validation)
Management case
Base case
Downside case 1
Downside case 2
Input assumptions below:
########
3.5%
68.7%
31.0%
$8,379.7
########
13.7%
Management case
Base case
######## ######## ######## ######## Proj 2018
5.4%
1.6%
4.2%
3.8%
4.0%
69.0%
69.0%
69.0%
69.0%
69.0%
27.8%
28.1%
28.0%
30.5%
30.5%
$8,300.0 $8,300.0 $8,300.0 $8,300.0 $8,300.0
######## ######## ######## ######## ($2,450.0)
15.5%
13.5%
12.0%
13.7%
13.7%
######## ######## ########
4.9%
1.1%
3.7%
68.7%
68.7%
68.7%
28.3%
28.6%
28.5%
$8,379.7 $8,379.7 $8,379.7
######## ######## ########
15.5%
13.5%
12.0%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
58.0
100.0
9.3%
58.0
100.0
9.3%
58.0
100.0
9.3%
58.0
100.0
9.3%
58.0
100.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
99.0
30.2%
55.1%
99.0
30.2%
55.1%
99.0
30.2%
55.1%
99.0
30.2%
55.1%
99.0
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
4.7%
80.2%
4.7%
75.7%
4.7%
76.7%
4.7%
77.7%
4.7%
78.7%
4.7%
79.7%
4.7%
76.2%
4.7%
77.2%
4.7%
78.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
$1,350.0 $1,350.0 $1,350.0 $1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
$1,350.0 $1,350.0 $1,350.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$1,526.0
$3,607.0
$1,769.0
$45.0
$76.0
$4,470.0
$2,096.0
$0.0
$1,007.0
$0.0
$1,526.0
$3,607.0
$1,769.0
$45.0
$76.0
$4,470.0
$2,096.0
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
ate or London Interbank Offered Rates (LIBOR), plus applicable margins. 10K p.35
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
######## Proj 2018
3.3%
3.5%
68.7%
68.7%
31.0%
31.0%
$8,379.7 $8,379.7
######## ($2,478.0)
13.7%
13.7%
Downside case 1
Downside case 2
Proj 2014 Proj 2015 Proj 2016 Proj 2017 Proj 2018
4.2%
0.6%
3.2%
2.8%
3.0%
68.0%
68.0%
68.0%
68.0%
68.0%
28.8%
29.1%
29.3%
31.5%
31.5%
$8,400.0 $8,400.0 $8,400.0 $8,400.0 $8,400.0
($2,500.0) ($2,500.0) ($2,500.0) ($2,500.0) ($2,500.0)
15.5%
13.5%
12.0%
13.7%
13.7%
Proj 2014 Proj 2015
3.7%
0.1%
67.5%
67.5%
28.8%
29.1%
$8,400.0 $8,400.0
($2,500.0) ($2,500.0)
15.5%
13.5%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
63.0
105.0
9.3%
63.0
105.0
9.3%
63.0
105.0
9.3%
63.0
105.0
9.3%
63.0
105.0
9.3%
65.0
108.0
9.3%
65.0
108.0
9.3%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
103.0
30.2%
55.1%
103.0
30.2%
55.1%
103.0
30.2%
55.1%
103.0
30.2%
55.1%
103.0
30.2%
55.1%
105.0
30.2%
55.1%
105.0
30.2%
55.1%
4.7%
79.2%
4.7%
80.2%
4.7%
76.7%
4.7%
77.7%
4.7%
78.7%
4.7%
79.7%
4.7%
80.7%
4.7%
77.2%
4.7%
78.2%
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$1,007.0
$0.0
$1,526.0
$3,607.0
$1,769.0
$45.0
$76.0
$4,470.0
$2,096.0
$0.0
$1,007.0
$0.0
$1,526.0
$3,607.0
$1,769.0
$45.0
$76.0
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
Proj 2016 Proj 2017 Proj 2018
2.7%
2.3%
2.5%
67.5%
67.5%
67.5%
29.3%
31.5%
31.5%
$8,400.0 $8,400.0 $8,400.0
($2,500.0) ($2,500.0) ($2,500.0)
12.0%
13.7%
13.7%
65.0
108.0
9.3%
65.0
108.0
9.3%
65.0
108.0
9.3%
105.0
30.2%
55.1%
105.0
30.2%
55.1%
105.0
30.2%
55.1%
4.7%
79.2%
4.7%
80.2%
4.7%
81.2%
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
0.5%
$1,350.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$4,470.0
$2,096.0
$0.0
$1,007.0
$0.0
$1,526.0
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
1.3%
4.2%
4.3%
Income Statement for Johnson & Johnson
Dollars in Millions, except per share
2011A
Sales
COGS
Gross profit
Actual
2012A
2013A
2014P
2015P
Projected
2016P
2018 Year
CAGR
2017P
2018P
$65,030.0
20,360.0
44,670.0
$67,224.0
21,658.0
45,566.0
$71,312.0
22,342.0
48,970.0
$74,782.0
23,406.8
51,375.2
$75,635.9
23,674.0
51,961.9
$78,407.9
24,541.7
53,866.2
$80,995.3
25,351.5
55,643.8
$83,830.2
26,238.8
57,591.3
SG&A expenses
Other operating expenses
EBIT
20,969.0
7,548.0
16,153.0
20,869.0
8,828.0
15,869.0
21,830.0
8,763.0
18,377.0
21,163.3
8,379.7
21,832.2
21,643.2
8,379.7
21,939.0
22,322.7
8,379.7
23,163.8
25,108.6
8,379.7
22,155.5
25,987.4
8,379.7
23,224.3
4.8%
Depreciation
Amortization
Stock-based compensation
EBITDA
2,310.0
852.0
0.0
19,315.0
2,520.0
1,150.0
0.0
19,539.0
2,740.0
1,360.0
0.0
22,477.0
2,649.7
1,350.0
0.0
25,832.0
2,744.4
1,350.0
0.0
26,033.3
2,881.8
1,350.0
0.0
27,395.6
3,015.0
1,350.0
0.0
26,520.5
3,159.9
1,350.0
0.0
27,734.2
4.3%
Interest (expense)
Interest income
Other non-operating income / (expense)
Pretax income
(571.0)
91.0
(3,312.0)
12,361.0
(532.0)
64.0
(1,626.0)
13,775.0
(482.0)
74.0
(2,498.0)
15,471.0
(559.8)
899.9
(2,478.0)
19,694.3
(637.0)
1,371.9
(2,478.0)
20,195.9
(635.7)
1,687.8
(2,478.0)
21,737.9
(735.4)
2,136.7
(2,478.0)
21,078.9
(693.1)
2,423.6
(2,478.0)
22,476.8
Income taxes
Net income (loss) from dis. operation
Net income
2,689.0
0.0
$9,672.0
3,261.0
339.0
$10,853.0
1,640.0
0.0
$13,831.0
3,052.6
113.0
$16,754.7
2,726.4
113.0
$17,582.5
2,608.6
113.0
$19,242.4
2,887.8
113.0
$18,304.1
3,079.3
113.0
$19,510.5
2,775.300
2,812.600
2,877.000
2,877.000
2,877.000
2,877.000
2,877.000
2,877.000
$3.49
$3.86
$4.81
$5.82
$6.11
$6.69
$6.36
$6.78
Diluted weighted average shares in millions
Earnings per share
Ratios & assumptions
Sales growth rate
Gross margin
SG&A expenses (as a % of sales)
Other operating expenses ($ amount)
Other non-operating income / (expense) ($ amount)
Marginal tax rate (1)
68.7%
32.2%
$7,548.0
(3,312.0)
21.8%
3.4%
67.8%
31.0%
$8,828.0
(1,626.0)
23.7%
6.1%
68.7%
30.6%
$8,763.0
(2,498.0)
10.6%
4.9%
68.7%
28.3%
$8,379.7
($2,478.0)
15.5%
1.1%
68.7%
28.6%
$8,379.7
($2,478.0)
13.5%
3.7%
68.7%
28.5%
$8,379.7
($2,478.0)
12.0%
3.3%
68.7%
31.0%
$8,379.7
($2,478.0)
13.7%
3.3%
3.3%
7.1%
7.1%
3.5%
68.7%
31.0%
$8,379.7
($2,478.0)
13.7%
1) Effective tax rates are given as follows: 2011: 21.8%,2012: 23.7%, 2013: 10.6%. 10-K p. 36
COPYRIGHT 2010 © by Training The Street, Inc
For training purposes only!
Balance Sheet for Johnson & Johnson
Dollars in Millions, except per share
2011A
Cash&Cash Equivalents
Short-term Investments
Accounts Receivable, net
Inventories
Other Current Assets
Total Current Assets:
PP&E, net
Definite Life Intangibles
Indefinite Life Intangibles
Goodwill
Other Long-term Assets
Total Assets:
$24,542.0
$7,719.0
10,581.0
6,285.0
5,189.0
54,316.0
Actual
2012A
$14,911.0
$6,178.0
11,309.0
7,495.0
6,223.0
46,116.0
2013A
$20,927.0
$8,279.0
11,713.0
7,878.0
7,610.0
56,407.0
2014P
$31,905.4
$8,279.0
12,292.9
6,605.2
6,954.7
66,037.2
2015P
$39,251.3
$8,279.0
12,433.3
6,680.6
7,034.1
73,678.4
Projected
2016P
$49,691.4
$8,279.0
12,889.0
6,925.5
7,291.9
85,076.7
2017P
$56,362.9
$8,279.0
13,314.3
7,154.0
7,532.6
92,642.8
2018P
$63,009.5
$8,279.0
13,780.3
7,404.4
7,796.2
100,269.4
14,739.0
16,097.0
16,710.0
17,537.6
18,348.1
19,151.5
19,943.3
20,723.4
18,138.0
28,752.0
27,947.0
26,970.9
25,999.1
25,041.1
24,096.1
23,165.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
16,138.0
22,424.0
22,798.0
22,798.0
22,798.0
22,798.0
22,798.0
22,798.0
10,313.0
7,958.0
8,821.0
8,821.0
8,821.0
8,821.0
8,821.0
8,821.0
$113,644.0 $121,347.0 $132,683.0 $142,164.7 $149,644.6 $160,888.4 $168,301.2 $175,777.1
Accounts Payable
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities:
$5,727.0
4,608.0
12,476.0
22,811.0
$5,831.0
7,299.0
11,132.0
24,262.0
$6,266.0
7,685.0
11,724.0
25,675.0
$6,483.4
7,068.8
12,897.1
26,449.3
$6,557.4
7,149.6
13,044.4
26,751.3
$6,797.7
7,411.6
13,522.5
27,731.7
$7,022.0
7,656.2
13,968.7
28,646.9
$7,267.8
7,924.1
14,457.6
29,649.5
Revolver
Long-Term Debt
Deferred Income Taxes
Other Long-term Liabilities
Total Liabilities:
0.0
12,969.0
1,800.0
18,984.0
56,564.0
0.0
11,489.0
3,136.0
17,634.0
56,521.0
0.0
13,328.0
3,989.0
15,638.0
58,630.0
0.0
15,166.0
3,989.0
15,638.0
61,242.3
0.0
15,135.0
3,989.0
15,638.0
61,513.3
0.0
17,509.0
3,989.0
15,638.0
64,867.7
0.0
16,502.0
3,989.0
15,638.0
64,775.9
0.0
14,976.0
3,989.0
15,638.0
64,252.5
Common Stock
Additional Paid-in Capital
Treasury Stock
Retained Earnings
Other Equity-related
Total Equity:
3,120.0
0.0
(21,659.0)
81,251.0
(5,632.0)
57,080.0
3,120.0
0.0
(18,476.0)
85,992.0
(5,810.0)
64,826.0
3,120.0
0.0
(15,700.0)
89,493.0
(2,860.0)
74,053.0
3,120.0
0.0
(15,700.0)
96,362.4
(2,860.0)
80,922.4
3,120.0
0.0
(15,700.0)
103,571.2
(2,860.0)
88,131.2
3,120.0
0.0
(15,700.0)
111,460.6
(2,860.0)
96,020.6
3,120.0
0.0
(15,700.0)
118,965.3
(2,860.0)
103,525.3
3,120.0
0.0
(15,700.0)
126,964.6
(2,860.0)
111,524.6
Total Liabilities and Equity:
Check
COPYRIGHT 2010 © by Training The Street, Inc
$113,644.0 $121,347.0 $132,683.0 $142,164.7 $149,644.6 $160,888.4 $168,301.2 $175,777.1
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
For training purposes only!
Cash Flow Statement for Johnson & Johnson
Dollars in Millions, except per share
2014P
Operating activities
Net income
Stock-based compensation expense
Depreciation
Amortization
(Increase) / decrease in working capital
Change in other long-term assets and liabilities
Cash Flow from Operating Activities:
$16,754.7
0.0
2,649.7
1,350.0
2,122.5
0.0
22,876.9
2015P
$17,582.5
0.0
2,744.4
1,350.0
6.8
0.0
21,683.6
Projected
2016P
$19,242.4
0.0
2,881.8
1,350.0
22.1
0.0
23,496.3
2017P
$18,304.1
0.0
3,015.0
1,350.0
20.6
0.0
22,689.7
2018P
$19,510.5
0.0
3,159.9
1,350.0
22.6
0.0
24,043.0
Investing activities
Capital expenditures
Additions to definite life intangibles
Cash Flow from Investing Activities:
(3,477.4)
(373.9)
(3,851.3)
(3,554.9)
(378.2)
(3,933.1)
(3,685.2)
(392.0)
(4,077.2)
(3,806.8)
(405.0)
(4,211.8)
(3,940.0)
(419.2)
(4,359.2)
Cash flow available for financing activities
19,025.7
17,750.6
19,419.1
18,477.9
19,683.8
Financing activities
Issuance / (repayment) of revolver
Issuance of long-term debt
(Repayment) of long-term debt
Repurchase of equity
Dividends
Other Equity-related
Cash Flow from Financing Activities:
0.0
3,607.0
(1,769.0)
0.0
(9,885.3)
0.0
(8,047.3)
0.0
45.0
(76.0)
0.0
(10,373.7)
0.0
(10,404.7)
0.0
4,470.0
(2,096.0)
0.0
(11,353.0)
0.0
(8,979.0)
0.0
0.0
(1,007.0)
0.0
(10,799.4)
0.0
(11,806.4)
0.0
0.0
(1,526.0)
0.0
(11,511.2)
0.0
(13,037.2)
7,345.9
31,905.4
$39,251.3
10,440.1
39,251.3
$49,691.4
6,671.5
49,691.4
$56,362.9
6,646.6
56,362.9
$63,009.5
Net change in cash
Beginning cash balance
Ending cash balance
COPYRIGHT 2010 © by Training The Street, Inc
10,978.4
20,927.0
$31,905.4
For training purposes only!
Working Capital Schedule for Johnson & Johnson
Dollars in Millions, except per share
2011A
Actual
2012A
2013A
2014P
2015P
Projected
2016P
2017P
2018P
Sales
COGS
$65,030.0
20,360.0
$67,224.0
21,658.0
$71,312.0
22,342.0
$74,782.0
23,406.8
$75,635.9
23,674.0
$78,407.9
24,541.7
$80,995.3
25,351.5
$83,830.2
26,238.8
Working Capital Balances
Accounts Receivable, net
Inventories
Other Current Assets
Total Non-Cash Current Assets:
$10,581.0
6,285.0
5,189.0
$22,055.0
$11,309.0
7,495.0
6,223.0
$25,027.0
$11,713.0
7,878.0
7,610.0
$27,201.0
$12,292.9
6,605.2
6,954.7
$25,852.8
$12,433.3
6,680.6
7,034.1
$26,148.1
$12,889.0
6,925.5
7,291.9
$27,106.4
$13,314.3
7,154.0
7,532.6
$28,000.9
$13,780.3
7,404.4
7,796.2
$28,980.9
$5,727.0
4,608.0
12,476.0
$22,811.0
$5,831.0
7,299.0
11,132.0
$24,262.0
$6,266.0
7,685.0
11,724.0
$25,675.0
$6,483.4
7,068.8
12,897.1
$26,449.3
$6,557.4
7,149.6
13,044.4
$26,751.3
$6,797.7
7,411.6
13,522.5
$27,731.7
$7,022.0
7,656.2
13,968.7
$28,646.9
$7,267.8
7,924.1
14,457.6
$29,649.5
$765.0
$1,526.0
Accounts Payable
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Non-Debt Current Liabilities:
NET WORKING CAPITAL / (DEFICIT)
($756.0)
(Increase)/Decrease in Working Capital
($1,521.0)
($761.0)
($596.5)
($603.3)
($625.4)
($646.0)
($668.6)
$2,122.5
$6.8
$22.1
$20.6
$22.6
Ratios and Assumptions
Numbers of days in the period
365
Accounts receivable, net (collection period in days)
Inventories (days outstanding)
Other current assets (as % of sales)
59.4
112.7
8.0%
61.4
126.3
9.3%
60.0
128.7
10.7%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
60.0
103.0
9.3%
Accounts payable (days outstanding)
Accrued liabilities (as % of cost of goods sold)
Other current liabilities (as % of cost of goods sold)
102.7
22.6%
61.3%
98.3
33.7%
51.4%
102.4
34.4%
52.5%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
101.1
30.2%
55.1%
COPYRIGHT 2010 © by Training The Street, Inc
For training purposes only!
Amortization Schedule for Johnson & Johnson
Dollars in Millions, except per share
2011A
Sales
Purchases of definite life intangibles
Purchases as % of sales
Amortization expense
Amortization as % of definite life intangibles
Beginning definite life intangibles, net
Purchases of definite life intangibles
(Amortization expense)
(Write-offs)
Ending definite life intangibles, net
COPYRIGHT 2010 © by Training The Street, Inc
$65,030.0
778.0
1.2%
$852.0
4.7%
$18,138.0
Actual
2012A
2013A
$67,224.0 $71,312.0
(38.0)
266.0
(0.1%)
0.4%
$1,150.0
4.0%
$28,752.0
$1,360.0
4.9%
$27,947.0
2014P
2015P
Projected
2016P
2017P
2018P
$74,782.0
373.9
0.5%
$75,635.9
378.2
0.5%
$78,407.9
392.0
0.5%
$80,995.3
405.0
0.5%
$83,830.2
419.2
0.5%
$1,350.0
5.0%
$1,350.0
5.2%
$1,350.0
5.4%
$1,350.0
5.6%
$1,350.0
5.8%
$27,947.0 $26,970.9 $25,999.1 $25,041.1 $24,096.1
373.9
378.2
392.0
405.0
419.2
(1,350.0)
(1,350.0)
(1,350.0)
(1,350.0)
(1,350.0)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
$26,970.9 $25,999.1 $25,041.1 $24,096.1 $23,165.3
For training purposes only!
PP&E and Depreciation Schedule for Johnson & Johnson
Dollars in Millions, except per share
Hist 2011
Actual
Hist 2012
Hist 2013
Proj 2014
Proj 2015
Projected
Proj 2016
Proj 2017
Proj 2018
Sales
Capital Expenditures
Capital Expenditures as % of Sales
$65,030.0
3,670.0
5.6%
$67,224.0
2,930.0
4.4%
$71,312.0
3,860.0
5.4%
$74,782.0
3,477.4
4.7%
$75,635.9
3,554.9
4.7%
$78,407.9
3,685.2
4.7%
$80,995.3
3,806.8
4.7%
$83,830.2
3,940.0
4.7%
Depreciation expense
Depreciation as % of capex
Depreciation as % of PP&E, net
$2,310.0
62.9%
15.7%
$2,520.0
86.0%
15.7%
$2,740.0
71.0%
16.4%
$2,649.7
76.2%
15.1%
$2,744.4
77.2%
15.0%
$2,881.8
78.2%
15.0%
$3,015.0
79.2%
15.1%
$3,159.9
80.2%
15.2%
Beginning PP&E, net
Capital expenditures
(Depreciation expense)
(Asset sales and write-offs)
Ending PP&E, net
COPYRIGHT 2010 © by Training The Street, Inc
$14,739.0
$16,097.0
$16,710.0
$16,710.0 $17,537.6 $18,348.1 $19,151.5 $19,943.3
3,477.4
3,554.9
3,685.2
3,806.8
3,940.0
(2,649.7)
(2,744.4)
(2,881.8)
(3,015.0)
(3,159.9)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
$17,537.6 $18,348.1 $19,151.5 $19,943.3 $20,723.4
For training purposes only!
Retained Earnings Schedule for Johnson & Johnson
Dollars in Millions, except per share
2011A
Beginning Retained Earnings Balance
Net income
Dividends
Ending Retained Earnings Balance
Dividend payout ratio
COPYRIGHT 2010 © by Training The Street, Inc
Actual
2012A
2013A
9,672.0
6,156.0
$81,251.0
81,251.0
10,853.0
6,614.0
$85,992.0
85,992.0
13,831.0
7,286.0
$89,493.0
63.6%
60.9%
52.7%
2014P
2015P
Projected
2016P
2017P
2018P
$89,493.0 $96,362.4 $103,571.2 $111,460.6 $118,965.3
16,754.7
17,582.5
19,242.4
18,304.1
19,510.5
(9,885.3) (10,373.7) (11,353.0) (10,799.4) (11,511.2)
$96,362.4 ######### $111,460.6 $118,965.3 $126,964.6
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
59.0%
For training purposes only!
Debt and Interest Schedule for Johnson & Johnson
Dollars in Millions, except per share
2011A
Actual
2012A
2013A
Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Cash Flow from Investing Activities
Repurchase of equity
Dividends
Other Equity-related
Plus: beginning cash balance
Less: minimum cash balance
Cash available for debt repayment
Long-term debt issuance
Long-term debt (repayment)
Excess cash available for revolver
Revolver
Beginning balance
Issuance / (repayment) of revolver
Ending balance
Long-term debt
Beginning balance
Issuance
(Repayment)
Ending balance
2014P
2015P
Projected
2016P
2017P
2018P
$22,876.9 $21,683.6 $23,496.3 $22,689.7 $24,043.0
(3,851.3)
(3,933.1)
(4,077.2)
(4,211.8)
(4,359.2)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
(9,885.3) (10,373.7) (11,353.0) (10,799.4) (11,511.2)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
20,927.0
31,905.4
39,251.3
49,691.4
56,362.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
$30,067.4 $39,282.3 $47,317.4 $57,369.9 $64,535.5
3,607.0
45.0
4,470.0
0.0
0.0
(1,769.0)
(76.0)
(2,096.0)
(1,007.0)
(1,526.0)
$31,905.4 $39,251.3 $49,691.4 $56,362.9 $63,009.5
$0.0
$12,969.0
$0.0
$11,489.0
$0.0
$13,328.0
$0.0
0.0
$0.0
$0.0
0.0
$0.0
$0.0
0.0
$0.0
$0.0
0.0
$0.0
$0.0
0.0
$0.0
$13,328.0 $15,166.0 $15,135.0 $17,509.0 $16,502.0
3,607.0
45.0
4,470.0
0.0
0.0
(1,769.0)
(76.0)
(2,096.0)
(1,007.0)
(1,526.0)
$15,166.0 $15,135.0 $17,509.0 $16,502.0 $14,976.0
Revolver
Beginning Balances
Interest Rate
Interest Expense
$0.0
1.30%
$0.0
$0.0
1.30%
$0.0
$0.0
1.30%
$0.0
$0.0
1.30%
$0.0
$0.0
1.30%
$0.0
Long-term debt
Beginning Balances
Interest Rate
Interest Expense
$13,328.0
4.20%
$559.8
$15,166.0
4.20%
$637.0
$15,135.0
4.20%
$635.7
$17,509.0
4.20%
$735.4
$16,502.0
4.20%
$693.1
$559.8
$637.0
$635.7
$735.4
$693.1
$20,927.0
4.30%
$899.9
$31,905.4
4.30%
$1,371.9
$39,251.3
4.30%
$1,687.8
$49,691.4
4.30%
$2,136.7
$56,362.9
4.30%
$2,423.6
Total Interest Expense
Cash Balances:
COPYRIGHT 2010 © by Training The Street, Inc
Beginning Balances
Interest Rate
Interest (Income)
For training purposes only!
Johnson & Johnson
Dollars in Millions, except per share
2011A
Actual
2012A
2013A
2014P
2015P
Projected
2016P
2017P
2018P
2018 Year
CAGR
Profitability Ratios
Sales
% growth
$65,030.0
$67,224.0
3.4%
$71,312.0
6.1%
$74,782.0
4.9%
$75,635.9
1.1%
$78,407.9
3.7%
$80,995.3
3.3%
$83,830.2
3.5%
3.3%
Gross profit
% margin
$44,670.0
68.7%
$45,566.0
67.8%
$48,970.0
68.7%
$51,375.2
68.7%
$51,961.9
68.7%
$53,866.2
68.7%
$55,643.8
68.7%
$57,591.3
68.7%
3.3%
EBITDA
% margin
% growth
$16,153.0
24.8%
$15,869.0
23.6%
(1.8%)
$18,377.0
25.8%
15.8%
$21,832.2
29.2%
18.8%
$21,939.0
29.0%
0.5%
$23,163.8
29.5%
5.6%
$22,155.5
27.4%
(4.4%)
$23,224.3
27.7%
4.8%
4.8%
EBIT
% margin
% growth
$19,315.0
29.7%
$19,539.0
29.1%
1.2%
$22,477.0
31.5%
15.0%
$25,832.0
34.5%
14.9%
$26,033.3
34.4%
0.8%
$27,395.6
34.9%
5.2%
$26,520.5
32.7%
(3.2%)
$27,734.2
33.1%
4.6%
4.3%
Net income
% margin
% growth
$9,672.0
14.9%
$10,853.0
16.1%
12.2%
$13,831.0
19.4%
27.4%
$16,754.7
22.4%
21.1%
$17,582.5
23.2%
4.9%
$19,242.4
24.5%
9.4%
$18,304.1
22.6%
(4.9%)
$19,510.5
23.3%
6.6%
7.1%
Interest Coverage
Interest expense
Capital expenditures
($571.0)
3,670.0
($532.0)
2,930.0
($482.0)
3,860.0
($559.8)
3,477.4
($637.0)
3,554.9
($635.7)
3,685.2
($735.4)
3,806.8
($693.1)
3,940.0
-33.8x
-28.3x
-21.9x
-36.7x
-29.8x
-24.3x
-46.6x
-38.1x
-30.1x
-46.1x
-39.0x
-32.8x
-40.9x
-34.4x
-28.9x
-43.1x
-36.4x
-30.6x
-36.1x
-30.1x
-25.0x
-40.0x
-33.5x
-27.8x
$19,315.0
2,689.0
$19,539.0
3,261.0
$22,477.0
1,640.0
$25,832.0
3,052.6
$26,033.3
2,726.4
$27,395.6
2,608.6
$26,520.5
2,887.8
$27,734.2
3,079.3
$12,969.0
57,080.0
70,049.0
23.7%
$11,489.0
64,826.0
76,315.0
21.3%
$13,328.0
74,053.0
87,381.0
23.8%
$15,166.0
80,922.4
96,088.4
23.7%
$15,135.0
88,131.2
103,266.2
22.6%
$17,509.0
96,020.6
113,529.6
21.8%
$16,502.0
103,525.3
120,027.3
19.7%
$14,976.0
111,524.6
126,500.6
19.5%
0.2x
0.8x
0.2x
0.7x
0.2x
0.7x
0.2x
0.7x
0.1x
0.7x
0.2x
0.8x
0.1x
0.7x
0.1x
0.6x
Cash&Cash Equivalents
Accounts receivable
Quick assets
$24,542.0
10,581.0
35,123.0
$14,911.0
11,309.0
26,220.0
$20,927.0
11,713.0
32,640.0
$31,905.4
12,292.9
44,198.3
$39,251.3
12,433.3
51,684.6
$49,691.4
12,889.0
62,580.4
$56,362.9
13,314.3
69,677.2
$63,009.5
13,780.3
76,789.8
Inventory
Current assets
$6,285.0
54,316.0
$7,495.0
46,116.0
$7,878.0
56,407.0
$6,605.2
66,037.2
$6,680.6
73,678.4
$6,925.5
85,076.7
$7,154.0
92,642.8
$7,404.4
100,269.4
PP&E, net
Total assets
$14,739.0
113,644.0
$16,097.0
121,347.0
$16,710.0
132,683.0
$17,537.6
142,164.7
$18,348.1
149,644.6
$19,151.5
160,888.4
$19,943.3
168,301.2
$20,723.4
175,777.1
Accounts payable
Current liabilities
$5,727.0
22,811.0
$5,831.0
24,262.0
$6,266.0
25,675.0
$6,483.4
26,449.3
$6,557.4
26,751.3
$6,797.7
27,731.7
$7,022.0
28,646.9
$7,267.8
29,649.5
$31,505.0
2.4x
1.5x
$21,854.0
1.9x
1.1x
$30,732.0
2.2x
1.3x
$39,587.9
2.5x
1.7x
$46,927.0
2.8x
1.9x
$57,345.0
3.1x
2.3x
$63,995.9
3.2x
2.4x
$70,619.9
3.4x
2.6x
59.4
112.7
102.7
4.4x
0.6x
69.4
61.4
126.3
98.3
4.2x
0.6x
89.4
60.0
128.7
102.4
4.3x
0.5x
86.3
60.0
103.0
101.1
4.3x
0.5x
61.9
60.0
103.0
101.1
4.1x
0.5x
61.9
60.0
103.0
101.1
4.1x
0.5x
61.9
60.0
103.0
101.1
4.1x
0.5x
61.9
60.0
103.0
101.1
4.0x
0.5x
61.9
14.9%
0.6x
2.0x
16.9%
16.1%
0.6x
1.9x
16.7%
19.4%
0.5x
1.8x
18.7%
22.4%
0.5x
1.8x
20.7%
23.2%
0.5x
1.7x
20.0%
24.5%
0.5x
1.7x
20.0%
22.6%
0.5x
1.6x
17.7%
23.3%
0.5x
1.6x
17.5%
EBIT / Interest expense
EBITDA / Interest expense
EBITDA - Capital expenditures / Interest expense
Capitalization*
EBIT
Taxes
Total debt
Total stockholders' equity
Total capitalization
Return on Invested Capital
*all recorded at book value
Leverage*
Total debt / Total capitalization
Total debt / EBITDA
*all recorded at book value
Liquidity
Working capital
Current ratio
Quick ratio
Activity
Accounts receivable (collection period)
Inventories (days outstanding)
Accounts payable (days outstanding)
Net fixed asset turnover
Asset turnover
Cash Conversion Cycle
DuPont Analysis
Return on sales
Asset turnover
Asset leverage
Return on equity
COPYRIGHT 2010 © by Training The Street, Inc
For training purposes only!
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