Thinking Traps Reflection Paper: Reflect on the most recent decision you had to make that had significant impact, and identify any thinking traps you made in the process. (If you are struggling to come up with an idea, consider the decision you had to make to attend an MBA program.)If you have not written a reflections paper before review this resource at http://www.sophia.org/tutorials/reflection-papers and the handouts in your course resources folder located the Getting Started link on the left side of your classroom screen.The following videos will be helpful for this assignment:Reflection in Learning: A Brief IntroductionEmbedded Video Player: How to apply resilience thinkingHow to Apply Resilience ThinkingClick on the link directly above entitled “Week 3 Written Assignment” to submit your Week 3 Written Assignment to receive a grade. You have 3 chances to upload your assignment, return to check the SafeAssign score, make corrections if needed, and press START NEW for the next upload. When you are satisfied with the last upload, stop submitting. The last submission will be graded. When you select START NEW, you will lose access to the previous versions and their SafeAssign scores. So, copy these if you need them while you are making corrections.

ONE PAGE ONLY ONE PAGE ONLY ONE PAGE ONLY ONE PAGE ONLY ONE PAGE ONLY ONE PAGE ONLY ONE Deterrence is based on some key assumptions, most importantly, actors are rational. From there it is a cost-benefit calculation—an attack is deterred if the costs outweigh the benefits. States determine the capability of the state actor, the credibility of the threat, communications and calculation—the 4 C’s. What makes a deterrent capability credible? In our age of nuclear weapons, France and Great Britain decided to attain their own nuclear arsenals based on doubts about the United States extending its nuclear umbrella to defend them if they are attacked. They questioned whether the United States would willingly invite an attack on itself by coming to the defense of France or Great Britain? A new concern for deterrence is the rogue state/non-state actors, or nuclear aspirants gaining a credible nuclear capability.http://previous.presstv.ir/photo/20130215/programs20130215110751933.jpgNorth Korea Parades Nuclear MissileFormer President George W. Bush confirmed North Korea’s nuclear strike capability in his book, ‘Decision Points:”“Kim also maintained a nuclear weapons program and a ballistic missile capability that threatened two U.S. allies – South Korea and Japan- and could potentially reach America’s west coast” (page 423)In response, the West Coast defense system consists of 14 additional ground-based missile interceptors on the West Coast deployed by the Obama Administration adding to the 30 interceptors deployed since 2004 in California and Alaska. These missiles are capable of shooting down incoming missiles in space.North Korea (officially the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea or DPRK) stated officially in 2009 it developed a nuclear weapon, and stockpiled a small number of nuclear weapons.NOTE: North Korea may also have a chemical and/or biological weapons capability.Directions1. Review the “Report to Congress on Military and Security Development Involving the DPRK.”http://archive.defense.gov/pubs/Report_to_Congress_on_Military_and_Security_Developments_Involving_the_DPRK.pdf2. If deterrence worked during the Cold War, could it now work against a new nuclear state like North Korea? In the cost-benefit calculation, do the costs of a U.S. deterrent strategy outweigh the benefits of North Korea‘s nuclear strike capability? 3. Use information from your text to address the “Security Dilemma” states like North Korea face as they build arms to become more secure, and Henry Kissinger’s “Absolute Security Theory” - “Absolute security for one power means absolute insecurity for all others.” 4. Write a one-page response focusing on Deterring North Korea.