Integrated Communications and Research Integrated Communications and Research TENDANCE-HAITI Risk and Security Report Integrated Communications and Research TENDANCE-HAITI RSR ABOUT TENDENCES • Cette Tendence-Haïti est complété toutes les deux semaines. La surveillance des médias, l'analyse et l'indice présenté dans le présent rapport, permet à l'équipe de communication à la Primature d'agir rapidement et prendre les mesures appropriées sur les questions pertinentes. • La Tendence-Haiti surveille quatre variables générales et chacun a un ensemble d'indicateurs qui reflètent la tendance générale pour la semaine. 1. Situation politique 2. Situation économique. 3. Situation sociale. 4. Coopération internationale. • Chaque élément de nouvelles est évalué sur une échelle de 0 à 100. Selon cette méthodologie, zéro (0) est le degré de risque élevé et cent (100) le degré de risque plus faible. ICR Consultants effectuer la classification des nouvelles, les résultats sont la moyenne de chaque indicateur. Le score Tendence représente la moyenne des quatre variables. Integrated Communications and Research 4 TENDANCE-HAITI RSR RSR RISK SCALE A. Sustainable 76-100 B. Caution 51-75 C. Warning 26-50 D. Alert 0-25 Integrated Communications and Research 5 SUMMARY RISK AND SECURITY ANALYSIS VARIABLES Social Situation INDICATORS • • • Social conflict Strikes and demonstrations Citizen security • • • State services delivery (water, electricity) State response to natural events (floods, hurricanes, earthquakes) Unexpected factor • A • Bi Integrated Communications and Research 6 TENDANCE-HAITI RSR SOCIAL Social Situation Social Conflict 18 Strikes/Demonstrations Citizens Security State Services Delivery Natural Events Mathias Pierre works for democratic elections The minister responsible for electoral affairs, Mr. Mathias Pierre, wants to create an environment conducive to the holding of elections in 2021. The president promises that 2021 will be the year of the electricity. Conflict between the executive and the employees of the Electricity of Haiti who protested, on July 20, 2020, against its nomination of Michel Presume as head of the institution since July 6. Hundreds of people marched through Haiti’s capital Wednesday 27, 2021. Opposition leaders are calling for nationwide protests in the days leading up to Feb. 7, 2021 Integrated Communications and Research Rise in cases of kidnapping at Carrefour During this week 8 cases of kidnapping were reported. 4 of them took place in the Diquini district, known to be peaceful. Unexpected Factor Beyond the expense for the COVID test. The decision, which took effect immediately, caught everyone by surprise. Listening to the radio on the morning of Wednesday, January 27, 2021. 7 TENDANCE-HAITI RSR SOCIAL ANALYSIS SOCIAL – messaging The unending political and institutional crises in Haiti have negatively impacted the society. Social life in the country has become risky due to bad governance and bad management of the country’s economy. The nomination of Mr. Michel Presume, who has been accused of one of the dilapidators of the fund of Petro Caribe, is not only an explanation of this phenomenon but also a testimony that the regime does not care about the socio-economic and political development of the country. Another explanation of this bad governance is the penal code published by President Moise. This penal code is anticonstitutional and contrary to the Haitian culture. The implementation of this penal code could lead to violent protests throughout the country. effective instructions to the bodies concerned with a view to guaranteeing the exercise of civil political rights and protecting the right to life, Haiti will become a great threat for the region. Conflict between the armed gangs close to the executive has engendered two rival organized crime groups: G-9 and GPèp. If the executive does not stop supporting these criminal organizations to start adopting necessary measures enabling to disarm those dangerous individuals, Haiti could face a civil war. There is a shortage of clean water supply and electricity across the country. This situation makes life very difficult for the Haitian people, especially those who live in the popular neighborhoods. Social protests, violence, and the activities of the organized crime groups undermine the national security in which the well-being of the population has deteriorated every day. The rights of the citizens are not guaranteed and protected by Police. If the First Minister Joseph Jouthe does not issue Integrated Communications and Research 8 TENDANCE-HAITI RSR SOCIAL TRENDS SOCIAL • The killing of an eight-month-old baby, Merry Djouna Fleurimont, in a district of Site Solèy (Belekou), controlled by a gang leader close to the government, received media attention. • According to the Ministry of public Health, on July 30, 2020, there were 34 new cases of COVID-19 would have been confirmed in Haiti in 24 hours the day before (+7), for a total of 7,412 cases throughout the national territory (41.16% of women 58.84% men) since the first case on March 19, 2020. • Reports over doubts of the willingness of the Haitian National Police within the framework of arresting the armed gangs. • The Haitian Observatory on Trafficking and Trafficking in Persons urged the competent authorities to take significant actions to combat trafficking in Haiti, in a note sent to the online agency AlterPresse. • It made this appeal on July 30, 2020, the seventh World Day for the Dignity of Victims of Human Trafficking. Integrated Communications and Research Approximatively 300,000 children are in domestic servitude in Haiti. This figure could increase after the COVID-19 pandemic, without the intervention of the National Committee to Combat Human Trafficking at this level, warns the Haitian Observatory on Trafficking and Trafficking in Persons. Reports of the phenomenon of trafficking that tends to jeopardize the figure of young people in the country. Traffickers and senior complicit officials must stop this shameful, degradant, and criminal activity. No trafficker is convicted. There is no budget available to combat this scourge and not enough action against child domesticity. Authorities are also involved in cases of trafficking and smuggling. The immunity of senior officials makes it difficult to prosecute accomplice officials in this practice. 9 TENDANCE-HAITI RSR SOCIAL TRENDS • The crossing of the Haitian-Dominican border by Haitian migrants during the COVID-19 pandemic received media attention. • The Refugee and Repatriate Support Group (GARR), in its last report published on July 15, 2020, presented the migratory situation between Haiti and Dominican Republic for the first semester in the context of COVID19. • The COVID-19 pandemic caused a high number of Haitian migrants at the Haitian-Dominican border. According to a report by the Refugee and Repatriate Support Group (GARR), nearly 100,000 Haitian migrants crossed the border during the first half of 2020. rights. Violence of all kinds, threats, thefts, fraud, and dispossessions of their belongings are among the cases reported. • At the Haitian-Dominican border, migrants were forced to pay money to be able to cross the border by back roads or in the woods. They were also forced to pay more for transportation. • With this new reality marked by the COVID-19 pandemic, GARR encourages the island states to continue working together to curb the spread of the virus for the well-being of the two neighboring peoples and respect of the human rights of migrants. • The repatriated or spontaneously returned migrants have testified to having been victims of violations of their Integrated Communications and Research 10
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