My article is New Perspectives on Income Mobility and Inequality, obviously, it aims to investigate
the various aspects of income mobility and inequality.
Some of these are individual mobility through their peak earnings years, mobility between
generations and persistence of the top 1. Moreover the article also examines the long-term
mobility across the life cycle, the intergenerational mobility, and the persistence of the Greatest
and Silent Generation’s persistence at the top of the income distribution.
The time period of data appeared in this article is between 1987-2010.
The paper uses continuous data. These continuous data is from panel data and cross-sectional
data sets of income tax returns and administrative tax records. For example, The data for 2007
come from tax returns in the LRS Compliance Data Warehouse.
The paper uses data from other sources as methods used. It has made a lot references, like
Journal of Economic Literature. National Tax Journal and so on.
Some of the key findings of the quantitative research paper were: First, about 60% of the 35-40
age group chosen (Greatest Generation, Silent Generation) their income has been increased.
Second, more than 70% children( the Boomers generation) from poor families tend to have a
relatively high income distribution compare to their parents. Third, The current dominant age
group is gradually being replaced by the younger generation, i.e., those that dominated the
earlier generations such as the "Greatest Generation" and "Silent Generation" were gradually
replaced by the “Boomer Generations”.
One of the internal strengths of the research is that it demonstrates the Life-cycle effect
importance such as the Boomers replacing the Greatest Generation and Silent Generation.
Moreover it indicate the changes in the composition of the highest income groups, i.e., By
2010, the combined Baby Boom generations dominated the top 1, rising to a 59% share from
21% in 1987. Similarly, some of the internal weaknesses are that the research only make an
assumption that individuals remain at the top of the income distribution table. Incomes can
change due to life cycle effects and because of hard work or luck.
Therefore, it cannot be assumed that the same individuals remain at the top of the income
distribution from year to year.. In addition, one of the weaknesses is that the research only
examines one period which is too limited, i.e. It only consider the Change in Real Income of
Taxpayers from 1987 to 2007
One of the external strengths is that the research use large samples which make the results to
be generalized, i.e., large data from the various sources was generalized that the high income
earners in 1987 were replaced by another group by 2007. Moreover, the research provides a
macro perspective of larger data. Data gathered shows large data from income distribution for
all the generations for the period from 1987 to 2007. On the other hand, some of the external
weaknesses are that the data are refer to some limited data. For instance, the data only utilizes
data from only the tax payers but not the tax evaders. Besides, the research only answers the
question of what and to what extent but not showing the reason and how. For instance, this
research does not answers the question why and how the Greatest and Silent Generation were
replaced by the Boomers Generation, it only shows that they were replaced and the extent that
they were replaced.
2021/1/15
Why Inequality Matters - The Atlantic
BUSINESS
Inequality Matters
Conservative commentators have been arguing that the uneven distribution of
wealth and income in America isn’t a problem. ey’re wrong.
JARED BERNSTEIN AND BEN SPIELBERG JUNE 5, 2015
DARREN STAPLES / REUTERS
Lately, one argument that’s been making the rounds is that people should worry less
about inequality and more about opportunity. Arthur Brooks, head of the
conservative American Enterprise Institute, said, “I don’t care about income
inequality per se; I care about opportunity inequality.” Senator and presidential
candidate Marco Rubio believes that inequality is but a symptom of immobility
and constrained opportunity. Tyler Cowen argued in the New York Times that what
matters is not the fact that the top 1 percent is capturing a much larger share of
total income growth than they used to, but that the poor are stuck in poverty.
ese individuals have identi ed a worthy goal. Unequal access to opportunity
offends deeply held American values, and poverty is not only a matter of near-term
material deprivation—too often, it also robs low-income children of the chance to
realize their intellectual and economic potential.
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But it’s not possible to effectively address either poverty or inadequate opportunity
if America hives off its opportunity concerns from the broader problem of
inequality (nor, as Senator Rubio intimates, can America reduce inequality by
focusing solely on increasing mobility). Boosting mobility will require reductions in
wage, income, and wealth inequalities.
For many in the opportunity-not-inequality camp, the relationship between the
two concepts is an inconvenient truth. Concerns about inequality smack of “class
warfare,” of “going after” the top 1 percent and Wall Street. Cowen is revealing in
this regard: “e inequality focus tends to draw us to redistribution, whereas a
mobility focus is more conducive to ideas for wealth creation.”
Many politicians and analysts would rather not address the power imbalances that
have channeled so much of our economic growth to the highest-income families.
ey are much more comfortable focusing on the benign-sounding theme of
“wealth creation” or insisting that economic growth alone can improve mobility
without any redistribution of resources or political power, as if “a rising tide can lift
all boats” matters when a few people are in yachts and many are stuck in dinghies.
But a growing body of research shows strong links among inequality, poverty, and
opportunity. For example, new research by Elise Gould of the Economic Policy
Institute reveals that of the factors most commonly cited as driving poverty in
America—education, family structure, race and more (see chart below)—the
number-one factor by far is the growth in inequality, which added seven percentage
points to the poverty rate since the late 1970s.
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So why is that? How is it that inequality reduces mobility and deepens poverty?
***
e relationship between childhood family income and life outcomes is wellestablished. Socioeconomic status is unfortunately the strongest predictor of a
child’s academic achievement, as decades of social science research have found. A
child’s income rank—her family’s income relative to the household income of other
families—makes a difference for that child’s future adult-income rank as well.
Research by Raj Chetty of Harvard and his colleagues links every 10-percentilepoint gain in childhood income rank with a 3.4-percentile-point gain in income
rank as an adult. Since inequality by de nition means that less income will reach
poor and middle class Americans for any given rate of economic growth, these facts
alone highlight inequality’s relevance to mobility discussions.
In addition, a large and growing body of evidence, recently reviewed by Katharine
Bradbury and Robert Triest of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, directly
connects inequality of outcomes to inequality of opportunity. As shown in the
gure below, Bradbury and Triest nd a signi cant, negative relationship between
living in an area with greater income inequality and children’s expected upward
mobility.
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e Relationship Between Inequality and Mobility
Commuting zones with greater inequality have reduced expected upward mobility for low-income
children (Center on Budget and Policy Priorities)
It’s critical to understand the fundamental difference between these ndings and the
Cowen, Rubio, et al. view that America can address poverty without addressing
inequality. As just noted, rising inequality implies that the income and wealth
generated by GDP and productivity growth increasingly ow to those at the very
top of the scale. As a result, relatively fewer resources reach everyone else. One thus
would expect to see low-income families less able (relative to the wealthy ones) to
invest in children’s futures, more indebted if they tried to go to college, more likely
to be stuck in neighborhoods that lack opportunity, and more likely to experience
the stressors that do permanent damage to children’s later educational and earnings
outcomes.
And that’s exactly what happens.
Research indicates at least three causal pathways via which inequality constrains
opportunity for those at the lower end of the economic spectrum.
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First, inequality is driving increasing residential segregation by income. e shares
of families in neighborhoods of concentrated poverty and neighborhoods of
concentrated wealth both more than doubled between 1970 and 2009, while the
share of families in middle-income neighborhoods declined from 65 percent to 42
percent. ose high-poverty neighborhoods—where more and more families are
living—create lasting disadvantages for many who grow up there: If a family with
young children (less than age 13) relocates from a high- to a low-poverty
neighborhood, the kids achieve better academic and economic outcomes later in
life, as new work by Chetty et al. indicates.
Second, inequality leads to unequal access to quality educational experiences
throughout a child’s lifetime. Over the period of growing inequality, these
disparities have increased. In 1995, for example, families with education debt in the
bottom half of the net worth distribution (a broader de nition of income,
including assets minus liabilities) had a mean debt-to-income ratio of around 0.26,
meaning that for every dollar of their income, they owed 26 cents in college debt.
For families in the top 5 percent, that ratio was eight cents on the dollar. But by
2013, the debt-to-income ratio had more than doubled to 0.58 for the bottom half
(some of whom are poor but many of whom are middle class) while remaining
unchanged for those at the top.
ird, and most importantly, inequality directly undermines equality of
opportunity, likely through a variety of mechanisms. As the gap between the rich
and poor widens, lower-income families have less ability relative to their rich
counterparts to invest in enrichment goods for their children. Children from
families with less income have relatively less extensive and privileged social
networks and, compared to their rich peers, are more likely to experience the type
of "toxic" stress that can hamper brain development and long term academic,
health, and economic outcomes.
In short, inequality entrenches immobility not just by enabling increasingly
unequal transfers of wealth from one generation to the next, but also through a
number of more subtle pathways that affect opportunity on a daily basis. It may not
yet be possible to explain all of these subtle pathways with great certainty, but the
fact that “rich and poor children score very differently on school readiness tests
before they enter kindergarten” should be viewed as an unsurprising consequence of
the high levels of inequality American society currently tolerates.
Members of the “don’t-mess-with-the-rich-to-help-the-poor” crowd also ignore the
political dimension of inequality. While Rubio, Paul Ryan, and others are
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professing their concern for the poor, they’re busy trying to repeal the estate tax (at
a cost of $270 billion over 10 years) and writing budgets that gut the safety net.
ese policies restrict mobility at both the bottom and top by exacerbating the
burdens of being poor, increasing the privilege of being born into riches, and
eliminating revenue sources for investments that might begin to reverse the
inequality of opportunity. Why do politicians pursue such policies? Because they
are nudged along by the interests of wealthy donors. Inequality begets greater
inequality.
In other words, disadvantages faced by children in low- and middle-income families
and advantages held by their wealthy peers are two sides of the same coin. e lack
of opportunity for those in poverty is not some separate problem from the unequal
distribution of wealth and income across society.
***
Boosting mobility therefore requires directly addressing residential segregation,
educational access, and other barriers described above. Here are some ideas that
hold promise:
One conclusion that stems from the Chetty et al. ndings regarding the bene ts of
moving from high- to low-poverty areas is to improve the Department of Housing
and Urban Development’s Housing Choice Vouchers (HCV) program. Housing
analysts Barbara Sard and Doug Rice recently detailed a number of speci c,
straightforward changes that could eliminate barriers for voucher recipients to move
into low-poverty areas, including tying voucher subsidies to rent in speci c zip
codes instead of entire metropolitan areas. Importantly, such a change could be
implemented without signi cant funding or even congressional action, and HUD
has just announced that it is considering doing so.
To balance the educational playing eld beginning at the starting gate, America
needs a robust, publicly funded pre-K program. A 2013 proposal from the Center
for American Progress that would make pre-school free for kids in low-income
families and partially fund tuition for higher-income kids would be a good start,
though at $10 billion a year, it’s not cheap. Still, research summarized by the
Council of Economic Advisers suggests that the economic gains, higher tax
revenues, and lower public costs from the children who would bene t from this
investment would offset part of these costs in the long run.
America also needs more equitable funding for K-12 education at both the federal
and state levels. at means both funding increases—real overall state and local per
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pupil funding has declined in 35 states since 2007—and changes in the distribution
of funding, which is inequitable in part because of the reliance on local property tax
revenue, and because of the political power that affluent communities have.
Evidence also shows that college enrollment and completion can be boosted by
providing students with relief from the rapidly-escalating costs of tuition and other
school-related expenses. It is thus important to at the very least protect recent
improvements in Pell grant awards and eligibility (which are under attack by
Republican budgets), and to potentially consider more ambitious ideas for free
college along the lines of what Bernie Sanders has proposed.
While the above recommendations are important, growing up with less income
signi cantly inhibits mobility even after taking educational access into account. As
research by the Pew Economic Mobility Project indicates, children born into the
bottom quintile who obtain a college degree are 2.5 times less likely to end up in
the top quintile of the income distribution as adults than children who grew up in
wealthy families but did not graduate college. In addition, changes to HUD’s
voucher program, while extremely valuable for the roughly 250,000 children who
could bene t in the near-term, do not get at the root causes of neighborhoods of
concentrated disadvantage. Policies that directly address inequality and poverty by
boosting the incomes of poor and middle-class families are essential for maximizing
mobility.
One proven way to do so is through safety-net programs like the Earned Income
Tax Credit (EITC), Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (food stamps), and
Medicaid. ese are redistributive programs (just as Cowen feared) and the added
income they provide do not simply reduce poverty now: An important new line of
quasi-experimental research on these programs also shows that they function as
longer-term investments over children’s lifecycles. As summarized by Marr et al.,
research has suggested, for example, that “a $3,000 increase in family income (in
2005 dollars) between a child’s prenatal year and fth birthday is associated with an
average 17 percent increase in annual earnings and an additional 135 hours of work
when the children become adults, compared to similar children whose families did
not receive the added income.”
at evidence and similar evidence for food stamps and Medicaid reinforces the
importance of maintaining and in many cases strengthening safety-net programs. In
terms of the EITC, both President Obama and Representative Paul Ryan have
recommended expanding the bene ts for childless workers, who currently receive
very little of the credit. Key provisions of the EITC and the Child Tax Credit are
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also set to expire in 2017, and these provisions should be made permanent as well.
In addition, states that haven’t yet done so should adopt the Affordable Care Act’s
Medicaid expansion, especially since the federal government shoulders almost all of
the costs. SNAP should be expanded, too, as a recent estimate by the Urban
Institute suggests that a 30 percent increase in SNAP bene ts “would reduce child
poverty by 16 percent, lifting 1.8 million children out of poverty.”
More progressive taxation of inheritances and returns of wealth (capital gains)
would be sensible, just, inequality-reducing, and mobility-enhancing ways to
nance such initiatives.
Finally, since most working families depend on paychecks that have been hurt by
diminished job quantity and quality, improving job-market outcomes for low- and
moderate-income households is another essential strategy to offset the direct effects
of inequality on opportunity. at means ideas like raising the minimum wage,
protecting collective bargaining, and getting to full employment are integral parts
of the effort to expand the opportunity set for kids of low- and middle-wage
working parents.
***
at inequality and immobility are intimately linked—and that we can’t effectively
reduce the latter without also reducing the former—should not be surprising. As
more of the bene ts of growth ow to a narrower slice of households at the top of
the wealth scale, it becomes increasingly more challenging for the majority on the
wrong side of the inequality divide to make the investments in themselves, their
children, and their neighborhoods that can foster their mobility. Once political
power is added to the mix—the established fact that the bene ciaries of high
inequality are disproportionately in uencing public policy on their behalf—the
opportunities for the middle class and poor to build better lives become even more
limited.
Attacking immobility means attacking inequality. To pretend otherwise will only
preserve the unfairness that’s at the heart of the American economy today.
We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to the editor or write
to letters@theatlantic.com.
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Why Inequality Matters - The Atlantic
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