DBA assignment

User Generated

trr930

Business Finance

bmgt 8130

Description

The following below is what is required. Attached will be required reading sources

  • Scenario and Mega-Trend Model

    In this assignment, you are expected to create a scenario and trend convergence, or mega-trend, model using the assigned readings coupled with your own research and experience. The research findings are to be presented first, followed by a description of your model, and how you propose it should work. Please create a graphic or figure to illustrate your proposed model and how it would function in a for-profit organization of your choice. If you "ran the zoo" at a publicly traded organization of your choice (not one used for BMGT8130), how might you deploy this scenario and trend convergence model?
    • Written communication: Must be free of errors, scholarly, professional, and consistent with expectations for members of the business profession.
    • APA formatting: Your essay should be formatted according to APA (6th edition) style and formatting.
    • Length: A minimum of 1800 words, Times New Roman, 12-point font.
    • Structure: Please include the following sections using APA headings (no abstract required):
      1. Introduction.
      2. Body headings as appropriate.
      3. Conclusions.
    • References: A minimum of two PRJ or PJ references (in addition to the required course readings).

Unformatted Attachment Preview

Reading sources below • • • • • Anthony and Christensen's 2005 article, "How You Can Benefit by Predicting Change" from Financial Executive, volume 21, issue 2, pages 36–41. Cornelius, Van de Putte, and Romani's 2005 article, "Three Decades of Scenario Planning in Shell" from the California Management Review, volume 48, issue 1, pages 92–109. Stout's 1998 article, "Use and Abuse of Scenarios" from the Business Strategy Review, volume 9, issue 2, pages 27–36. Ovanessoff and Purdy's 2011 article, "Global Competition 2021: Key Capabilities for Emerging Opportunities" from Strategy & Leadership, volume 39, issue 5, pages 46–55.
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Explanation & Answer

Attached.

Running head: SCENARIO AND MEGA-TREND MODEL

Scenario and Mega-Trend Model
Name
Institution
Class
Date

1

SCENARIO AND MEGA-TREND MODEL

2

Introduction
Technology has been the dream of modern man, and it is one thing that has made man
today to be different from the other species millions of years ago. The continued growth and
expansion of technology are not new to man, but the great revolution of technology came during
the industrialization age. This technique was however not as advances in the technology that came
with the advent of computer science (Kuivanen, 2008). Today, through the use of computer
technology, many manufacturing companies have changed from the use of the older machines that
were operated by human to devices that are performed by robots. Consequently, the mega trend in
the manufacturing industry has been the use of robots that can increase productivity and reduce
cost due to the reduced number of laborers. This pattern, however, has, yet, converged and led to
specific impacts in the industrial sector (Kuivanen, 2008). In this research, the study looks into the
effects of technology (robotics) as a megatrend on jobs, productivity, and consumer behavior.
Therefore, statistics relating the mega-trend with the effects has shown that increased use
of robotics in the manufacturing industry is causing loss of jobs. In fact, the use of robots in the
manufacturing company has created a loss of approximately 28% of jobs for every ten years since
2000. When it comes to productivity, robotics has increased the productivity of companies. In this
case, statistics collected from the automobile industry reveals that by 1990, Unites States alone
produced about 12.5 million vehicles and ten years later it built 17.5 million cars (Kuivanen, 2008).
This means that there was an increase of 5million more vehicles produced. Following the same
trend by 2016, America alone was producing almost 18.5 cars. By 2020, it is expected that the
nation will manufacture about 22 million vehicles. Finally, consumer behavior reveals that people
are getting attached to products due to their comfort as a result of increased production using
technology. For instance, assuming new vehicle registration reveals new-vehicle ownership. Then

SCENARIO AND MEGA-TREND MODEL

3

by 1990 about 175,000 new vehicles were registered, in 2000 about 225,000 were registered and
by 2010, 250,000 were registered (Kuivanen, 2008). This shows more people are buying cars.
Mega Trend Model and Description

18,000,000

CHART TITLE
1990

2000

2010

PRODUCTIVITY

NUMBER OF
EMPLOYEES

250,000

225,000

175,000

1,440,000

2,000,000

2,560,000

12,500,000

17,500,000

A chart representing the effects of technology as a mega-trend

VEHICLE OWNERSHIP

The model represents a histogram that presen...


Anonymous
This is great! Exactly what I wanted.

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