Homework Assignment 9 Due in week 10 and worth 30 points Suppose that there are two (2) candidates (i.e., Jones and Johns) in the upcoming presidential election. Sara notes that she has discussed the presidential election candidates with 15 friends, and 10 said that they are voting for candidate Jones. Sara is therefore convinced that candidate Jones will win the election because Jones gets more than 50% of votes. Answer the following questions in the space provided below:Based on what you now know about statistical inference, is Sara’s conclusion a logical conclusion? Why or why not?How many friend samples Sara should have in order to draw the conclusion with 95% confidence interval? Why?How would you explain your conclusion to Sara without using any statistical jargon? Why?Download the homework below, type your answers into the document and submit it using the link located above.

Do you use probability in your profession or real life? You most likely do. For example, the chance of rain tomorrow is 27%. We hear similar probabilities in the media all the time. Similar probabilities could be found in other professions. Complete one of the following:(i) Find an example of probability involving “A or B” that is used in your chosen profession or real life. Explain the example. Are the events A and B in your example mutually exclusive? Which Addition Rule formula for P(A or B) applies? Be sure to cite the source of the information clearly.(ii) Using a search engine, find an example of probability involving “A and B” that is used in your chosen profession or real life. Explain the example. Are the events A and B in your example independent? Which Multiplication Rule formula for P(A and B) applies? Be sure to cite the source of the information clearly.(iii) Find an example involving conditional probability that is used in your chosen profession or real life. Explain the example. Be sure to cite the source of the information clearly.

To prepare for this Assignment:Review this week’s Learning Resources and media program related to regression and correlation.Using the SPSS software, open the Afrobarometer dataset or the High School Longitudinal Study dataset (whichever you choose) found in the Learning Resources for this week.Based on the dataset you chose, construct a research question that can be answered with a Pearson correlation and bivariate regression.Once you perform your correlation and bivariate regression analysis, review Chapter 11 of the Wagner text to understand how to copy and paste your output into your Word document.For this Assignment:Write a 2- to 3-paragraph analysis of your correlation and bivariate regression results for each research question. In your analysis, display the data for the output. Based on your results, provide an explanation of what the implications of social change might be.Use proper APA format, citations, and referencing for your analysis, research question, and display of output.