Business Finance Masters Program

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Business Finance

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Use the publicly-traded company you chose in Module 1 (Ulta Beauty) and imagine it has made a strategic decision to start doing business in China. Using the discussion, Currency Exchange Rates: A Case in China with Country Risk, (Chapter 7, Global Finance, page 192 of your textbook) as a model for the report you will write, prepare a report in which you:

  1. Develop a brief country risk assessment.
  2. Determine the political, economic, social, and capital risks associated with doing business in China. What are the most important factors to consider? Why?
  3. After years of keeping the Yuan pegged to the US dollar, in 2015 the Chinese allowed it to float freely in international currency exchange rate markets. You may read more about the Yuan reforms here. Many economists believe that keeping the Yuan pegged to the US dollar has caused it to be undervalued by 30 to 50 percent. Discuss what impact a revaluation of the Yuan might have on US multinationals doing business there, on China’s exports, and on Chinese citizens’ standard of living. What impact would a revaluation have on Chinese inflation and on purchasing power parity? Explain.

    Your paper should be about 2,000 words.

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Explanation & Answer

Attached.

Running Head: REVALUATION OF YUAN

1

Doing Business in China: A Case Study of ULTA Beauty Company
Name
Course
Tutor
Date

REVALUATION OF YUAN

2

China has continued to emerge as a global economic and trading powerhouse since it
joined the World Trade Organization 17 years ago. This has been promoted by the country’s
stellar economic growth strategies aimed at empowering prosperity for its people. The rapid
change in of China’s Economic approach for the past decade from developing infrastructure with
the aim of increasing exports to developing infrastructure with the aim of attracting investments
poses challenges and opportunities for any entity planning to do business in China.
The cosmetic industry in China is rapidly growing in tandem with this transition where
total retail sales for skin-care and makeup products was valued at RMB186.7 billion and
RMB34.4 billion in 2017 respectively which was a 10.3 and 21.3 percent growth from the
previous year. This statistics should give an assurance to beauty companies planning market
entry to China such as Ulta Beauty Company of the presence of a huge, ready market for
cosmetic products. However, it is important for companies to assess the business risk of the
country before setting up a business in the most populous nation globally.
CHINA’S RISK ASSESSMENT
China’s risk can be assessed by examining the strengths and weakness of the country in
regards to the country’s major economic indicators that often influence the environment of
operating businesses. These economic indicators include GDP growth, inflation, budget balance,
current account balance and its public debt (Global Edge, 2018). The table below shows China's
macroeconomic indicator performance from 2015-2018.

REVALUATION OF YUAN

3

Indicator

2015

2016

2017

2018 forecast

GDP Growth (%)

6.9

6.7

6.7

6.6

Inflation (annual %)

1.4

2.1

1.6

2.3

Budget Balance (% GDP)

-2.7

-3.0

-3.7

-3.5

Current Account Balance (%GDP)

2.7

1.7

1.7

0.8

Public Debt (%GDP)

41.1

44.3

44.3

50.8

STRENGTHS
i.

China’s sovereign risk presented by the ballooning public debt is domestic and has
been dominated by local currency.

ii.

China's 2025 strategy to improve high-value-added output is gradually pushing the
country's market on an upward trajectory.

iii.

High levels of foreign exchange reserves and a positive current account balance have
insulated the country from severe external risks.

iv.

High development service and infrastructure building.

WEAKNESSES
i.

The credit risk is still a course of concern due to the high cooperate indebtedness that
impacts the potential of growth.

ii.

Financial institutions are exposed to corporate debts and decline of asset quality.

iii.

Some sectors of the economy have overcapacity concerns that will continue to slow
profits

iv.

A steady decrease in cheap labor pool as the aging population is increases

REVALUATION OF YUAN

4

v.

There is a great environmental issue due to extensive industrial expansion

vi.

The government's strategy is uncertain about setting a clear path between change and
growth

1. ECONOMIC RISKS
1.1 Decelerating economy
China has embarked on a process of introducing restrictive policies to minimize financial
vulnerabilities and asset bubble ris...


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Excellent! Definitely coming back for more study materials.

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