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Simple Linear Regression Paper

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Part 11 Regression
1
Introduction:
Simple Linear Regression:
A simple linear regression uses the presence of a linear relationship to predict the value of a
dependent variable based on the value of an independent variable. The dependent variable is also
referred to as the outcome, target or criterion variable and the independent variable as the
predictor, explanatory or regressor variable. A simple linear regression is also referred to as a
bivariate linear regression or simply as a linear regression.
In order to run a simple linear regression, you require the following:
» One independent variable that is continuous (e.g., height, exam performance, etc.).
» One dependent variable that is continuous (e.g., height, weight, etc.).
Simple linear regression can be used to answer the following problems:
1. Predict new values for the dependent variable given the independent variable
You can use simple linear regression to predict the value of one variable when you know the
value of another variable. The value you are predicting is the dependent variable and the value
you know is the independent variable. For example, you might have last year’s student's mid-
term and final exam results for a biomechanics course. Using this data you construct a linear
regression equation. When this year’s class sits the mid-term biomechanics exam, you use the
linear regression equation to predict their performance in their final exam based on their mid-
term exam results (even though they have not yet sat this final exam).
2. Determine how much of the variation in the dependent variable is explained by the
independent variable
Often, your goal is not to make predictions, but to determine whether differences in your
independent variable can help explain the differences in your dependent variable. This approach
is more common in theory building, where you have proposed that your independent variable can
help explain some of the variation of your dependent variable. Furthermore, you want to be able
to quantify the degree to which your independent variable explains your dependent variable. For
example, how much does the amount of time spent exercising influence cholesterol
concentration (a fat in the blood linked to heart disease)?
Multiple Regression
A standard multiple regression allows you to predict a dependent variable based on multiple
independent variables and is an extension to simple linear regression. The dependent variable is
also referred to as the outcome, target or criterion variable and the independent variables as
predictor, explanatory or regressor variables. This method also allows you to determine the

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Part 11 Regression
2
overall fit (variance explained) of the model and the relative contribution of each of the
predictors to the total variance explained.
Y = b
0
+ b
1
X
1
+ b
2
X
2
+ e
Where β
0
is the intercept (also known as the constant), β
1
is the slope parameter (also known as
the slope coefficient) for X
1
, and so forth, and ε represents the errors. This type of statistical test
relies on the initial assumption that there is, in fact, a linear relationship between each
independent variable and the dependent variable and a linear relationship between the
"composite" of the independent variables and the dependent variable. This assumption can be
examined, as you will do in this guide. Confidence intervals can be calculated for the sample
intercept and slope parameters to estimate the likely range of values that these parameters might
take in the population. Furthermore, predictions can be made based on the regression equation
calculated. You will calculate all these statistical measures in this guide.
What is required
In order to run a multiple regression, you require the following:
1. Two or more independent variables that can be either continuous or categorical (e.g.,
height, exam performance, gender, etc.).
2. One dependent variable that is continuous (e.g., height, weight, etc.).
Multiple regression can be used to answer the following problems:
1. Predict new values for the dependent variable given the independent variables
You can use multiple regression to predict the value of one variable when you know the value of
other variables. For example, you might have individuals' heights, weights, age and gender, and
you want to predict running performance. Using this data you construct a multiple regression
equation, which you then use to predict new individuals' running performance based on their
measured physical properties (i.e., their height, weight, age and gender).
2. Determine how much of the variation in the dependent variable is explained by the
independent variables
Often, your goal is not to make predictions, but to determine how much of the variation in the
dependent variable can be explained by all the independent variables. In addition, you can use
multiple regression to understand the relative, unique contribution of each independent variable
towards this total. For example, you might have individuals' heights, weights, age and gender,
and you want to predict running performance. You want to know how much of the variation in
running performance can be explained by the predictor variables. Additionally, you want to
know the relative contribution of each predictor to the explanation of variance.
Assumptions of the Regression:

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Part 11 Regression Introduction: Simple Linear Regression: A simple linear regression uses the presence of a linear relationship to predict the value of a dependent variable based on the value of an independent variable. The dependent variable is also referred to as the outcome, target or criterion variable and the independent variable as the predictor, explanatory or regressor variable. A simple linear regression is also referred to as a bivariate linear regression or simply as a linear regression. In order to run a simple linear regression, you require the following: » One independent variable that is continuous (e.g., height, exam performance, etc.). » One dependent variable that is continuous (e.g., height, weight, etc.). Simple linear regression can be used to answer the following problems: 1. Predict new values for the dependent variable given the independent variable You can use simple linear regression to predict the value of one variable when you know the value of another variable. The value you are predicting is the dependent variable and the value you know is the independent variable. For example, you might have last year’s student's midterm and final exam results for a biomechanics course. Using this data you construct a linear regression equation. When this year’s class sits the mid-term biomechanics exam, you use the linear regression equation to predict their performance in their final exam based on their midterm exam results (even though they have not ...
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