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Free Cash Flow and Payback Periods Worksheet

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Exhibit 2 VICTORIA CHE Revised DCF Analysis o (Reflects charge for FULL EROSION (Financial values in millio Assumptions Annual Output (metric tons) Output Gain/Original Output Price/ton (pounds sterling) Inflation Rate (prices and costs) Gross Margin (ex. Deprec.) Old Gross Margin Energy Savings/Sales Year 1. Estimate of Incremental Gross Profit New Output (tons) Lost Output--Construction New Sales (Millions) New Gross Margin New Gross Profit Old Output 250,000 5.6% 675 3.0% 12.50% 11.5% Yr. 1-5 1.25% Yr. 6-10 0.75% Yr. 11-15 0.0% Now 1 2008 Discount rate Tax Rate Investment Outlay (mill.) Depreciable Life (years) Salvage Value WIP Inventory/Cost of Goods Months Downtime, Construction Preliminary Engineering Costs (mill.) Overhead/Investment 2 2009 264,000 (33,000) 155.93 13.8% 21.44 264,000 250,000 250,000 183.55 13.8% 25.24 3 2010 264,000 189.05 13.8% 25.99 250,000 4 2011 264,000 194.72 13.8% 26.77 250,000 Old Sales Old Gross Profit 168.75 19.41 173.81 19.99 179.03 20.59 184.40 21.21 Erosion Lost Rotterdam Output (MT) Lost Rotterdam Revenue Lost Rotterdam Gross Profit Incremental Gross Profit 2. Estimate of Incremental WIP inventory New WIP inventory Old WIP inventory Lost Rotterdam WIP inventory Incremental WIP inventory 3. Estimate of Incremental Depreciation New Depreciation New Depreication, Tank cars Old Depreication, Tank cars Incremental Depreication Pretax Incremental Profit 6. Cash Flow Adjustments Less Capital Expenditures Add back Depreciation ...
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