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2. According tohttp://espn.go.com/college-
football/team/fpi/_/id/213/penn-state-nittany-lions(as of
November 3, 2015) the probability that Penn State will win
the football game against Michigan is 39.4%. The probability
that Penn State will win the football game against Michigan
State is 23.0%. (16 points)
A. What are the odds that Penn State will beat Michigan?
B. What are the odds that Penn State will beat Michigan
State?
C. What is the odds ratio for Penn State beating Michigan
compared to beating Michigan State?
D. How would you explain the odds ratio that you calculated
in part C to a friend with no knowledge of statistics?
SCHEDULE DATE OPPONENT RESULT/PROJ OPP FPI (RK)
GAME SCORE
Solution
Probability = Chances for / Total chances
Odds = Chances for : Chances against
A.) Total chances = 100%
Chances for = 39.4%
Chances against = 100-39.4 = 60.6%
Odds(A) = 39.4 : 60.6
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Simplify into simples form
B.) Similar to previous one
Total chances = 100%
Chances for = 23%
Chances against = 100-23 = 77%
Odds(B) = 23 : 77
Simplify into simples form
C.) Odds ratio = Odds(A):Odds(B)
D.) If odds ratio is greater than 1 then Penn State has more
chances of beating Michigan compared to beating Michingan
State

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