Prophecies and probability

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Question description

#1 = Give a probability for each of the eight events in the chart below and *describe your reasoning behind the number you choose. 

#2 =Given the new probabilities you associated with each prophecy, what is the probability that all eight happened at once? Hint: What’s the probability that you flip a coin and it comes up tails? 50%. What if you flip the coin twice and it comes up tails both times? 1/2*1/2 = 25%. What if three times? 1/2*1/2*1/2 = 1/8. What if four? Five? Now think about the probability of just two prophecies coming to pass at the same time. What would the probability be? What about three prophecies? Eight? Show your work.

Old Testament Prophecy

New Testament Fulfillment


Christ to be born in Bethlehem

Micah 5:2

And Herod asked where Christ had been born ... they answered Bethlehem

Matt 2:1

A voice of one calling: "In the wilderness prepare the way for the LORD; make straight in the desert a highway for our God.

Isaiah 40:3

Now in those days John the Baptist came, preaching in the wilderness of Judea, saying, "Repent, for the kingdom of heaven is at hand."

For this is the one referred to by Isaiah the prophet when he said, "THE VOICE OF ONE CRYING IN THE WILDERNESS, MAKE READY THE WAY OF THE LORD, MAKE HIS PATHS STRAIGHT!'"

Matt 3:1-3

Christ to enter Jerusalem riding on a donkey

Zech 9:9

Christ enters Jerusalem riding on a donkey

Luke 19:35-37

Christ to be betrayed by a friend

Psalm 41:9

Judas betrayed Jesus

Matt 10:4

Christ to be betrayed for 30 pieces of silver

Zech 11:12

Judas sold out Jesus for 30 pieces of silver

Matt 26:15

30 pieces of silver casted down and used to buy a potter's field

Zech 11:13

30 pieces of silver used to buy a potter's field

Matt 27:5-7

He was oppressed and He was afflicted, Yet He did not open His mouth; Like a lamb that is led to slaughter, And like a sheep that is silent before its shearers, So He did not open His mouth.

Isaiah 53:7

And while He was being accused by the chief priests and elders, He did not answer. Then Pilate said to Him, "Do You not hear how many things they testify against You?" And He did not answer him with regard to even a [single] charge, so the governor was quite amazed.

Now at [the] feast the governor was accustomed to release for the people [any] one prisoner whom they wanted. At that time they were holding a notorious prisoner, called Barabbas. So when the people gathered together, Pilate said to them, "Whom do you want me to release for you? Barabbas, or Jesus who is called Christ?" For he knew that because of envy they had handed Him over.

While he was sitting on the judgment seat, his wife sent him [a message], saying, "Have nothing to do with that righteous Man; for last night I suffered greatly in a dream because of Him.

Matt 27:12-19

(Mark 14:60-61)

For dogs have surrounded me; A band of evildoers has encompassed me; They pierced my hands and my feet.

Psalm 22:16

When they came to the place called The Skull, there they crucified Him and the criminals, one on the right and the other on the left

Luke 23:33

(John 19:17, 18)

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