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“If you're an economist, what about your contribution to vision 2030…
discuss”.
Whitepaper
DESTINATION SAUDI
The Impact of Vision 2030
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Destination Saudi
— Leisure, Culture and Tourism Potential
Accelerating success.
“We will support promising
sectors and foster their success
so that they become new pillars
of our economy…
Seán Young
Head of Destination Consulting | London
sean.young@colliers.com
Imad Damrah
Managing Director | Saudi Arabia
imad.damrah@colliers.com
In the tourism and leisure
sectors, we will create
attractions that are of
the highest international
standards, improve visa
issuance procedures for
visitors, and prepare and
develop our historical and
heritage sites.”
Vision 2030
With Vision 2030 identifying
the potential for entertainment
and cultural development,
and with significant growth
forecast in domestic tourism,
is Saudi Arabia set to see an
unprecedented growth in its
leisure and cultural offer?
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Destination Saudi – Leisure, Culture and Tourism Potential | 2017 | Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Despite slightly lower
projected growth rates than
historical levels, the annual
rate of population growth in
KSA should stay above 2%
for the foreseeable future.
This is expected to be a
boom for the retail sector as
population has a direct effect
on potential market size.
Tourism in KSA
8%
9.2%
Domestic Tourism – Purpose of Visit 2013
Total contribution of 8%
and forecast to rise
to 9.2% in 2026
2015
2026
7%
Leisure
VFR
Religious
Business
Other
35%
30%
Source: MAS, 2014
Domestic tourism forecasts
Domestic Tourism – Purpose of Visit 2020
2015
2020
CAGR
Tourists
46.5m
66.2m
7.4%
Spend (SAR)
47.9bn
82.6bn
11.5%
Source: MAS, 2016
Inbound tourism forecasts
2016
2026
CAGR
Tourists
20.2m
32.3m
4.8%
Spend (SAR)
32.8bn
55.9bn
5.2%
(Source: WTTC, 2016)
13%
15%
of total GDP in 2015
5%
Leisure
VFR
Religious
Business
Other
10%
30%
30%
25%
Source: Colliers International Estimate, 2016
Destination Saudi – Leisure, Culture and Tourism Potential | 2017 | Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
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There is a positive outlook for tourism in Saudi Arabia, with
strong growth forecast and a wave of investment underway.
At a total contribution of SAR 190bn in 2015, Travel & Tourism
is currently the second highest contributor to Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) growth in Saudi Arabia, albeit from a relatively low
base compared to other countries.
Inbound tourism is forecast to grow to over 32m trips per annum
by 2026, driven primarily by growth in religious tourism.
Domestic tourism is forecast to grow to an impressive 66m
trips per annum by 2020, driven by growth in both religious and
leisure tourism.
Travel & Tourism is estimated to have attracted capital investment
of SAR 81.1bn in 2015. This is forecast to rise by 4.2% in 2016,
and by a further 4.4% pa over the next ten years to SAR130.5bn
in 2026.
It is projected that Travel & Tourism’s share of total national
investment will rise from 12.5% in 2016 to 14.3% in 2026.
Initiatives to support the growth of
Tourism include:
• Investment in major transport infrastructure such as the new
Jeddah airport (open 2018) and the Haramain High Speed Rail
line (2018) linking the holy cities of Medina and Mecca via King
Abdullah Economic City, Rabigh, Jeddah, and the new Jeddah
airport
• Increased capacity at the Holy Mosques in both Mecca and
Madinah and new Madinah airport (2015)
• Significant private sector investment in hotels and resorts
• Significant Government investment in parks, attractions,
festivals and other recreational activities
• Government investment of over USD 13 million/year on the
preservation of heritage sites
• Introduction of the ‘Umrah Plus’ Visa which allows Pilgrims to
travel around the KSA for up to 30 days
• Potential introduction of a single Schengen-style visa for all
GCC countries
• Tourism skills training for over 30,000 Saudi citizens within the
‘Takamul’ program
• Gradual opening to new forms of leisure, entertainment and
cultural activities e.g. the successful ILuminate Show in Riyadh
in summer 2016.
If these ambitious plans are delivered, tourism has the potential
to make an important contribution to economic diversification and
job creation, as well as promoting softer benefits such as pride in
Saudi culture and quality of life for Saudi residents.
Source:
Architects: Snøhetta, Visualization: Luxigon
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Destination Saudi – Leisure, Culture and Tourism Potential | 2017 | Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Culture, Leisure & Entertainment
“We are well aware that the cultural and entertainment opportunities
currently available do not reflect the rising aspirations of our
citizens and residents, nor are they in harmony with our prosperous
economy… We will allocate prime areas within cities for educational
institutions, retail and entertainment centers, large areas along our
coasts will be dedicated to tourist projects …..”
Vision 2030
Demographic Structure of KSA
Gen – Z
Gen – Y
Gen – X
Baby Boomers
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
Saudis
Non-Saudis
1,000,000
500,000
0
1
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80+
Years
Source: SAMA, Colliers Analysis
Destination Saudi – Leisure, Culture and Tourism Potential | 2017 | Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
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Recent Leisure Projects:
• KidZania Jeddah
• Snow City Riyadh
Pipeline Leisure Projects:
• Theme Park, Safari Park & Water Park, King Abdullah
Economic City
• Theme Park & Adventure Park, Wadi Al Asla, Jeddah
• Indoor Waterpark, Jubail
• Six Flags Theme Park, Riyadh
• KidZania Riyadh
• KidzMondo Riyadh
• Knowledge Economic City Leisure Park, Madinah
Recent Cultural Projects:
• King Abdulaziz Centre for World Culture,
Dhahran
• Saudi Aramco Oil Museum refurbishment
• Mishkat Science Centre, Riyadh
• Old Dir'aiyah Heritage Park, Riyadh
Pipeline Cultural Projects:
• National Park development, Riyadh
• Islamic Faith Museum, Mecca
• National Museum redevelopment, Riyadh
• Natural History & Science Museum, Riyadh
• Number of new cultural attractions proposed
for the Financial District, Riyadh
In addition to the projected growth in domestic leisure
tourism, there are a number of additional factors
supporting the development of culture, leisure and
entertainment offers in the Country:
• A large and fast growing population: The population
is forecast to grow from 31.5m in 2015 to 37.6m in
20251
• A young population: 57% of Saudi Nationals are
under the age of 252 with increasing aspirations for
quality leisure and entertainment experiences
• An increasingly affluent population: average monthly
expenditure of a Saudi household in 2013 was SAR
15,367, a 16% increase on 20073.
• Increasing spend on leisure: 2030 Vision is targeting
an increase of household spend on culture and
entertainment from the current level of 2.9% to 6%4.
• A significant lack of out-of-home culture, leisure
and entertainment: the existing offer is on the whole
limited to public parks, malls, festivals and traditional
museums. This is now changing with the recent
opening of commercial attractions such as KidZania
in Jeddah and Snow City in Riyadh, together with
the world class King Abdulaziz Centre for World
Culture in Dhahran.
• A competitive and open business environment:
the government is primed to engage and partner
with international leisure and tourism investors,
developers and operators e.g. Six Flags partnership
for up to 3 theme parks.
• Education and training: ‘Experience Saudi Arabia’
is a program that aims at educating Saudi Arabian
youth about the heritage and culture of the country.
New courses and training to support employment in
leisure and hospitality are also being introduced.
The large-scale leisure, culture and entertainment
projects now emerging in Saudi Arabia are expected
to encourage Saudis to spend more of their disposable
income within the country rather than overseas. With
other GCC countries also investing heavily in new
tourism attractions and infrastructure, the region is
becoming increasingly competitive. Nonetheless the
prospects for growth in Saudi Arabia are bright.
1, 2, 3, 4 Source: General Authority for Statistics, 2015
• King Salman Science Oasis, Riyadh
• Madinah Welcome Center
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Destination Saudi – Leisure, Culture and Tourism Potential | 2017 | Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Conclusion, Opportunities
and Key Issues
In conclusion, it is apparent that the Cultural, Leisure and Tourism landscape in
Saudi Arabia is changing quite rapidly and the scale of opportunity, particularly
from domestic tourism growth, is significant. Expectations in terms of the variety
and quality of entertainment provision within the Country are rising and the new
Entertainment Authority has high aspirations to meet these expectations.
We believe that the overarching market opportunity is to provide ‘Family Fun’
experiences in safe, controlled and culturally appropriate environments.
Key Development
Opportunities
Key Considerations
for Developers and Operators
• Theme Parks
• Cultural Fit
• Zoos and Safari Parks
• Climate
• Indoor and Outdoor Adventure Activities
• Day vs Stay Visitors
• Commercial Family Attractions
• Repeatability
• Touring Exhibitions
• Religious Pilgrims
• Retail, Dining and Entertainment (RDE) Zones
• Physical and/or Temporal Visitor Segregation
• Festivals
• Staff Recruitment and Training
• The Power of Social Media and Word of Mouth
Marketing
Destination Saudi – Leisure, Culture and Tourism Potential | 2017 | Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
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Colliers International
Destination Consulting
BUSINESS
SUPPORT
TRANSPORT
PLACES
ACCOMODATION
RETAIL
THE
CUSTOMER
EVENTS
ATTRACTIONS
ECONOMICS
ENTERTAINMENT
FOOD
& DRINK
ENVIRONMENT
MANAGEMENT
& FUNDING
MARKETING
& PROMOTION
CONFERENCE
& EVENTS
The Colliers International Destination
Consulting team understands all parts of the
complex tourism industry and is currently
working on a number of leisure, cultural and
tourism development initiatives all across the
Kingdom.
We advise on the key ingredients of success in
delivering a destination that meets the needs
of both destination creators (developers,
investors, government stakeholders) and the
destination consumers (residents and visitors).
We combine 10 years of local experience in the
Saudi market with over 20 years of experience
in international destination development to
advise our clients throughout all stages of the
destination development lifecycle:
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• Destination concept, strategy
and product development
• Market & Financial Feasibility Study
• Development Consultancy & Highest
and Best Use Analysis
• Operator Search & Contract Negotiation
• Project Monitoring
(Assistance with Pre-Opening Expenses
and Business Plan)
• Asset Management/Operational
& Financial Performance Review
• Site and Asset Investment Strategy/
Brokerage
Destination Saudi – Leisure, Culture and Tourism Potential | 2017 | Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
554 offices in
66 countries on
6 continents
$2.5 billion
in annual revenue
16,140
over
professionals
1.9 billion
over
square feet under management
(excluding residential properties)
For further information,
please contact:
Seán Young
Head of Destination Consulting | London
MAIN
+44 20 7935 4499
sean.young@colliers.com
Imad Damrah
Managing Director | Saudi Arabia
MAIN
+966 11 273 7775
MOBILE +966 50 417 2178
imad.damrah@colliers.com
Colliers International
Al Faisalah Tower
Riyadh | Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
MAIN
+966 11 273 7775
Jameel Square
Jeddah | Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
MAIN
+966 12 610 5900
Colliers International Middle East
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Copyright © 2017 Colliers International.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to
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Accelerating success.