The supplement to Chapter 5 in textbook(Stevenson, W. (2018). Operations management (13th ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin.) describes and develops several decision trees.Address the following requirements:Develop a decision tree for the case described.Explain the process of developing a decision tree, draw the decision tree (include the decision tree in an appendix showing chance nodes, probabilities, outcomes, expected values, and net expected value).Defend your final decision based on your decision tree. Case for consideration—An operations manager for a cereal producer is faced with a choice of:1.A large-scale investment (A) to purchase a new cooker which could produce a substantial pay-off in terms of increased revenue net of costs but requires an investment of 3,750,000 Saudi Riyal. After extensive market research it is thought that there is a 40% chance that a pay-off of 9,375,000 Saudi Riyal will be realized, but there is a 60% chance that it will be only 3,000,000 Saudi Riyal.2.A smaller scale project (B) to refurbish an existing cooker. At 1,875,000 Saudi Riyal, this option is less costly but produces a lower pay-off. Again, extensive research data suggests a 30% chance of a gain of 3,750,000 Saudi Riyal but a 70% chance of it being only 1,875,000 Saudi Riyal.3.Continuing the present operation without change (C) which cost nothing, but produces no pay-off.________________________________________________________________the paper should meet the following requirements:4-5 pages in length, which does not include the title page and reference pages.Follow (APA) style.3 to 4 references are enough.

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Discussion Question #1Personal Experience:Think of an organizational change that you experienced. Describe how you were impacted by the change. What could the leadership have done to make the transition more successful? Cite one or more change models to support your assertion.Your initial post should be at least 100 words in length. Support your claims with examples from required material(s) and/or other scholarly resources, and properly cite any references.Discussion Question #2Failures of Change:Organizational change is not always successful. Identify factors that can cause change initiatives to fail and the five pillars that can cause them to succeed. Highlight an organization that failed to adapt and evaluate which of these factors and pillars were demonstrated by this organization.Your initial post should be at least 100 words in length. Support your claims with examples from required material(s) and/or other scholarly resources, and properly cite any references.