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Investment Finance

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Asked: Nov 13th, 2016
Question description
This exercise requires data from yahoo finance and please provide short note on the side how you come up with numbers?
Exercise 1: The day of the week effect
One of the calendar anomalies we discussed in class is the weekend effect, which refers to the
surprisingly low (and in fact negative) average returns earned on Mondays relative to the other
days of the week. The original study on which the graph on p. 23 of the notes on “Additional
Evidence on Efficiency” is based used data on NYSE stocks for the period 1928-1982 (Donald B.
Keim and Robert F. Stambaugh, 1984, “A Further Investigation of the Weekend Effect in Stock
Returns,” Journal of Finance 39, pp. 819-835).
In this exercise, you will update this analysis using returns on the S&P 500 index for the period
January 3, 1950 to the present. You will learn how to obtain this type of data yourself from
Yahoo! Finance.
a. Go to the Yahoo! Finance website and download historical closing levels on the S&P 500
index from January 3, 1950 to the present. In the document you submit, please include a partial
screen shot of the spreadsheet.
Hint: Go to http://finance.yahoo.com/ and search ^GSPC. This will open a webpage that
shows you the recent performance of the index, its current level, the 52-week range,
etc. Towards the middle of the page, click on Historical Data, enter 1/3/1950 as the start
date and 11/4/2016 as the end date, click Apply and then Download Data. This will give
you a csv file, which you can open in Excel. Delete columns B through F, since you only
need the date and the adjusted close. Finally, sort the observations from oldest to
newest, so that the first observation is 1/3/1950, then 1/4/1950, etc.
b. Compute daily returns on the index. In the document you submit, please include a partial
screen shot of the spreadsheet showing the result and the equations used.
Hint: the first return you will compute is the 1/4/1950 return which can be calculated as
(1/4/1950 price – 1/3/1950 price) / (1/3/1950 price).
c. For each date, determine the day of the week. In the document you submit, please include a
partial screen shot of the spreadsheet showing the result and the equations used.
Hint: use the Excel function WEEKDAY. Google it if you need help with it. Note that
=WEEKDAY(cell_reference)-1 will produce a 1 for Monday, 2 for Tuesday, etc.
d. Compute the average return on the index separately for each day of the week. In the
document you submit, please explain the approach you followed, and include a partial screen
shot of the spreadsheet showing the result and the equations used.
Hint: Think about a logical way to set this up in Excel so that you do not need to do any
calculations by hand, since you have thousands of observations. There are several ways
of doing this. For example, using IF statements (Google this too if needed) you can
1
create dummy variables that equal 1 on Monday and 0 on all other days. You can do
this for each weekday. Doing this will allow you to create 5 columns, one per day,
where in each column the entry is the return on the corresponding day and zero
otherwise.
e. Present the result in a graph similar to the one on p. 23 of the notes. (Please look at the
bottom of this assignment to find what page no. 23 looks like)
f. Is the pattern you find similar to what was found for the NYSE over the period 1928-1982?
Exercise 2: Event study methodology
Announcements of upcoming stock splits tend to be viewed as positive news. The spreadsheet
splits.xlsx has daily returns for 100 firms that announced stock splits as well as the market
returns on those announcement days.
a. Compute the average abnormal announcement return.
b. Is the average abnormal return significantly different from zero?
Example: Page No 23 for Question No 1 look like this:
2
stock id
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
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39
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41
42
43
44
45
46
Ri
0,038975
0,021532
-0,0142
0,057068
0,031509
0,017145
0,047209
0,020947
0,002691
0,02355
0,011054
0,034938
-0,00624
0,014784
0,021303
0,003918
0,01752
0,017849
0,022761
0,020847
0,029755
0,00514
0,018496
0,006605
0,028167
0,03144
0,000875
0,029821
-0,02075
0,005957
0,0408
0,008868
0,048236
0,014995
0,033757
0,016929
0,008206
0,009072
0,034386
0,002575
0,019079
0,035725
0,016446
0,002174
0,006833
0,038292
Rm
0,003117
0,00797
-0,0008
0,000861
-0,0004
-0,00782
-0,00237
-0,00143
0,008296
-0,00561
-0,00108
-0,00026
-0,00021
0,000853
0,004134
0,005806
0,000292
-0,00371
0,001232
0,000378
-0,00217
-0,00104
0,002865
0,002312
0,005703
0,003354
0,006711
0,002855
-0,00354
0,004404
-0,00491
0,000343
-0,00202
0,006261
0,000254
0,000715
0,003479
-0,00058
0,000143
0,003911
-0,00046
0,001634
0,005721
0,00464
0,004276
-0,00032
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
0,004959
0,016167
0,02255
0,018211
0,028428
0,017868
0,019868
0,031068
0,023924
0,040613
0,036636
-0,0015
0,037563
0,031908
0,030073
0,00641
0,003666
0,015246
0,011522
0,008851
0,000555
0,041985
0,012366
0,026751
0,056457
0,012769
0,028055
0,01571
-0,00993
0,048512
0,030005
0,036881
0,014668
0,037977
0,001262
0,009034
0,028376
0,012389
0,03709
0,011627
0,034783
0,043811
0,017213
0,002209
0,014416
0,032278
0,014101
-0,00089
0,001643
-0,00455
-0,00383
0,003123
0,004556
0,006428
0,002479
0,001195
-0,00552
-0,00018
0,003159
-0,00361
-0,00189
0,000591
0,000826
0,004852
-5,4E-05
5,76E-05
-0,00251
-0,00064
0,000288
-0,00621
0,001631
0,002158
-0,00279
0,002573
0,005536
0,00344
0,00797
-0,00729
-0,00207
-0,00612
-0,0038
-0,00905
-0,00196
7,26E-05
0,000744
0,000138
0,000475
0,000693
0,00094
-0,0012
0,00035
0,001958
-0,00129
-0,00068
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
0,018445 0,002515
0,005307 -0,00077
0,009612 0,005829
0,002735 -0,00751
0,025959 -0,00365
0,016982 0,001629
0,037887 -0,00355

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