Econ of Developing Countries final project

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PuhpxP

Economics

Description

In the project, the students will be expected to combine their excel data-analysis skills to make a meaningful statement about a provided data-set. In their analysis, students will reference some of concepts and theory discussed during the semester. A 10 – 15-page paper (double – spaced) including graphics should be submitted which discusses a topic of the student’s choice and how the students’ arguments are supported in the data subsample provided by the instructor. The excel file containing all the operations should be submitted as well.

Please read the instruction file to know more about this project.

Here is more specific suggestion about the project: For the final project, please focus on something in particular. Recently, I know there were major political events in the Philippines. Maybe try to show on a line graph how these political events affected GDP, Inequality, health,education and so on. Please email me if you have something else in mind or you are unsure about your final topic for the project due next week.

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Econ-314 Presentation Peilin Cao Instructor: Christo Tarazi Country of Choice: Philippines (Rank 116) Country NHDI Rank Category China 90 High Human Development Turkmenistan 112 Medium Human Development Indonesia 113 Medium Human Development Palestine, State of 114 Medium Human Development Vietnam 115 Medium Human Development Philippines 116 Medium Human Development El Salvador 117 Medium Human Development Bolivia 118 Medium Human Development South Africa 119 Medium Human Development Kyrgyzstan 120 Medium Human Development Sudan 165 Low Human Development Key Characteristics of the Philippines ▪ The population of the country is roughly 106 million as of 2018 ▪ The Philippines population is equivalent to 1.4% of the total world population ▪ 44.4 % of the population is urban (47,278,672 people in 2018) ▪ The economy of the country is the world’s 34th largest economy by nominal GDP and it is the 13th largest in Asia ▪ The Philippines is considered as a newly industrialized country, which has an economy transitioning from one based on agriculture to one based more on services and manufacturing Philippine Economy ▪ The Philippine GDP as of 2017 by Purchasing power parity is estimated to be at $986.98 billion ▪ The GDP of this country is ranked 29th highest in the world ▪ This country is considered to be newly industrialized ▪ The GDP growth is at 6.5% annually which is just second after China ▪ By the year 2050, the country is estimated to be the 16th biggest in the world and will be the 5th largest in Asia Absolute Poverty in the Philippines ▪ In 2014, more than one-quarter of the population fell below the poverty line ▪ Its goal is to eradicate poverty from a level of 33.1% in 1991 to 16.6% by 2015 ▪ Around 90% of Southeast Asia’s poor live in the Philippines and in Indonesia ▪ Around 36 million in this region live below the international poverty line of US$1.90 per day ▪ The government planned to eradicate poverty as stated in the Philippines Development Plan 2011 – 2016 (PDP). For those six years are an annual economic growth of 7 – 8% and the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals (MDG). Under this, the Philippines committed itself to halving poverty level of 33.1% to 16.6%. Education in the Philippines ▪ Elementary school covers the first six years of compulsory education (grades 1–6) informally divided into 3 years of primary level and 3 years of intermediate level ▪ Secondary education consists of four levels largely based on the American schooling system. DepEd (Department of Education) specifies a compulsory curriculum for all secondary schools, public and private ▪ Colleges typically offer 1 or more specialized programs while universities must offer at least 8 different undergraduate degree programs in a wide array of subjects and at least 2 graduate programs. ▪ From the data concerning 6 to 24-year old from the lowest 30% who had not attended school during the year 2010 to 2011, the two highest reasons for not attending were "lack of personal interest" at 28.9% and "high cost of education" at 26.8% ▪ There is a great contrast between the achievement of tertiary education by family heads belonging to the lowest 30% and the highest 70% Health System in the Philippines ▪ Health Care in the Philippines varies with private, public and barangay health centers (many in rural municipalities). Most of the national burden of health care is taken up by private health providers ▪ In 2016, a total of 1,731,289 live births was registered which is equivalent to a crude birth rate (CBR) of 16.8 or about 17 births per thousand population ▪ In 2016, an average of 1,591 persons died daily. This translates to 66 deaths per hour or one (1) per minute ▪ These numbers are just median compared to the neighbor Southeast Asian countries ▪ Every day, 38 Filipinos die from tuberculosis (TB), a highly contagious but preventable disease. According to the 2016 Global Tuberculosis Report, the Philippines ranked eighth among the 30 countries with the largest number of TB cases in the world. State of Inequality in the Philippines ▪ In a study, Brookings Institution’s Laurence Chandy and Brina Seidel created alternative GINI coefficients for 134 countries, including the Philippines, and saw an average of a 9-percentage-point increase in inequality worldwide ▪ In the Philippines the country’s Gini coefficient—a measure of inequality— shot up to as high as 0.6, or 60 percent, from the current estimate of just over 0.4, or 40 percent, when the researchers assigned it alternative GINI ▪ It has similar GINI coefficients as its neighboring countries ▪ Based on the report's wealth estimates, financial assets owned by each adult in the country receded to $3,746 in mid-2017 from $3,971 last year. On the contrary, non-financial wealth per adult climbed to $6,485 from $6,354 State of the environment in the Philippines ▪ According to WHO,the safe level for PM2.5is10 micrograms per cubic meter (μg/m3) of air in a year. In Manila, the annual average of these pollutants is at 17 μg/m3, 70 percent more than the recommended safe level ▪ Globally, over six million deaths are linked to indoor and outdoor pollution due to non-communicable diseases such as heart disease, stroke, lung cancer, and chronic respiratory diseases every year. In the Philippines, about 1 in 4 deaths re attributed to air pollution ▪ Due to water pollution in the Philippines, the country is likely to face a shortage of water for sanitation, drinking, agriculture and industrial purposes in the next ten years ▪ Water conservation efforts in the Philippines by many local and international companies have protected the water supplies for future use. Coca-Cola has pledged nearly $1.4 million for a five-year project with the World Wildlife Fund to protect the capital’s drinking water source, the Ipo Watershed Gender Inequality in the Philippines ▪ There were approximately 38.5 million employed persons in the country in October 2013. Of the total employed, 57.6 percent or 22.2 million were wage and salary workers. Of this number, 8.3 million or 37.5 percent were women while 13.9 million or 62.5 percent were men ▪ The Philippines ranked ninth out of 142 countries in terms of gender equality, according to the recent World Economic Forum (WEF) Global Gender Gap Report 2014 ▪ When it comes to progress in closing gender gaps across industry talent pools and occupations, the Philippines ranked first among ASEAN member-states with a score of 0.790, WEF said in its 2017 Global Gender Gap Report ▪ The Philippines Commission on Women (PCW) promotes gender equality through a comprehensive strategy of gender mainstreaming and good governance ▪ The Philippines (8 out of 135) is the only country from the region that has closed the educational attainment and health and survival gender gaps. The Philippines also performs in the top 10 globally in terms of the number of female legislators, senior officials and managers, as well as in its female literacy rate, enrolment in secondary education and years with female head of state Natural Resource Extraction in the Philippines ▪ The mining industry plays a very important role in the country’s economic development due to its rich natural resources ▪ The Philippines is the fifth most mineral-rich country in the world for gold, nickel, copper, and chromite. It is home to the largest copper-gold deposit in the world. The Mines and Geosciences Bureau has estimated that the country has an estimated $840 billion worth of untapped mineral wealth, as of 2012 ▪ Gold reserves at the beginning of 1988 was estimated at 101.6 million metric tons (MT), equivalent to about 240 MT of gold metal. Between 1988 and 1994, a total of 27.7 million MT of gold ore, containing about 36 MT of metal was extracted. On the average, this is equivalent to an annual extraction of 3.9 million MT of gold ore ▪ The reported stock of copper in ore form increased from 4,106 million MT in 1988 to 4,597 million MT in 1994 (Figure 2). However, copper reserves suffered a setback in 1990, when it declined by 7.2 percent from the previous year’s level before resuming its increasing trend ▪ From 1988 to 1990 -- on the average -- most of the chromite-producing companies experienced a relative boom, as reflected by the increases in their extraction. For the said period, the total chromite ore extraction grew at an annual average of 30.1 percent, despite the earthquake that jolted Luzon island in July 1990 Agriculture in the Philippines ▪ Agriculture grew by 1.47 percent in the first quarter of 2018. Contributing to the sector’s performance were the production gains in the crops, livestock and poultry subsectors ▪ Although many still think of the Philippines as an agricultural economy, strictly speaking, it is not. Agriculture, fishery and forestry directly account for just one-fifth (20 percent) of the economy’s aggregate domestic output (GDP) ▪ The Philippines is third to the last in terms of land area among its ASEAN neighbors ▪ A study by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) suggested that agricultural growth contributes to a country's overall poverty reduction ▪ The rural poverty incidence is two to five times higher than in our comparable South East Asian neighbors—Vietnam has only 17 percent, Thailand and Indonesia 14 percent, and Malaysia 8 percent Manufacturing in the Philippines ▪ Manufacturing grew by 8.0 percent in the first quarter of 2018, higher than the previous year’s growth of 7.7 percent ▪ The Philippine Statistics Authority’s Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries (MISSI) reports that the Volume of Production Index (VoPI) for manufacturing grew by 9.3 percent in January 2017, slower than the 35.8 percent growth recorded in the same month last year ▪ The Philippines is too far in global ranking in terms of global competitiveness ▪ It is also significantly behind its neighbors like Thailand, Malaysia, Vietnam and Indonesia ▪ The manufacturing sector is the third top performing sector for the year led by new power and energy projects, infrastructure, real estate, transportation, and logistics Political Climate and History ▪ "Challenging" is how political analyst and former Dean of the Ateneo School of Government Tony Lavina described the Philippines' political landscape of the past year ▪ The Philippines - a Spanish colony for more than three centuries and named after a 16th century Spanish king - was taken over by the US in the early 20th century after a protracted rebellion against rule from Madrid ▪ Spanish and US influences remain strong, especially in terms of language, religion and government. Self-rule in 1935 was followed by full independence in 1946 under a US-style constitution ▪ Currently, the Philippines is being led by a very pragmatic and very brave leader who is allegedly responsible for the killing of many people under his War on Drugs ▪ The Philippines is undergoing massive taxation reform and aiming for very big infrastructure projects which will potentially improve its economy Most Interesting fact about the Country ▪ The country is unique in terms of its history since it was colonized many times ▪ Currently, the country is facing a major political issue with the current President in this country ▪ Despite of the current issues that the country is facing, it is still projected to be one of the top 5 biggest economies in Asia by 2050 ▪ It has a very low manufacturing rating among its Asian neighbors but has a competitive economy Conclusion ▪ The current economy of the Philippines may be linked to its history of being a colony of a couple of countries for hundreds of years ▪ Being an agricultural country and rich in natural resources, it is now shifting to a larger type of economy (manufacturing and service) but it still falls behind from its neighbors in terms of size of economy ▪ It currently has a very interesting political environment which may be a make or break for the country
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Explanation & Answer

Please write your name in this paper and convert to PDFALso, submit this Excel file together with the paper since it is required.

Country Name
China
Turkmenistan
Indonesia
Vietnam
Philippines
El Salvador
Bolivia
South Africa
Sudan

1990
2.393612
31.77945
5.348576
2.863288
0.449736
3.454263
2.603
-2.49304
-7.88824

Data from database: World Development Indicators
Last Updated: 07/25/2018

1991
7.812958
-7.25421
5.070917
3.738392
-3.02223
0.128698
3.214992
-3.27744
4.750557

1992
12.82495
-17.3788
4.710823
6.416708
-2.07854
5.558053
-0.33729
-4.43038
3.836297

1993
12.56603
2.870529
4.759345
5.942896
-0.29642
4.395121
2.232051
-1.12759
1.861663

1994
11.78157
-19.3962
5.840056
6.829816
1.96139
3.350327
2.621064
0.933127
-1.63573

1995
9.750279
-9.24536
6.564724
7.684829
2.28118
3.499855
2.632867
0.985944
3.19005

1996
8.782185
4.72136
6.223426
7.659614
3.460112
-0.26321
2.323067
2.336369
3.078096

1997
8.118548
-12.7787
3.196881
6.643164
2.855114
2.129655
2.908531
0.863427
7.566942

1998
6.807806
5.68373
-14.3468
4.416919
-2.74496
1.749069
2.995844
-1.10255
1.452488

1999
6.73927
15.12648
-0.60856
3.535069
0.864444
1.345346
-1.49333
0.798245
0.263779

2000
7.640002
4.301395
3.467898
5.597963
2.194577
0.394639
0.58045
2.629546
3.406862

2001
7.555802
3.247637
2.210344
5.074743
0.732213
0.222517
-0.19352
1.281028
3.547289

2002
8.401915
-0.74152
3.057409
5.261489
1.49692
0.993621
0.626497
2.254363
3.471838

2003
9.352364
2.254293
3.337426
5.876981
2.846619
1.031046
0.88017
1.603998
4.75742

2004
9.459175
3.936495
3.589173
6.532191
4.622932
0.399175
2.345783
3.257226
1.048059

2005
10.74255
11.82207
4.248258
6.550767
2.839681
2.2273
2.617251
4.041078
4.606154

2006
12.09184
9.687564
4.066289
5.990107
3.402986
3.868824
3.014237
4.439916
7.16839

2007
13.63634
9.690321
4.906815
6.13794
4.844678
1.408546
2.813308
4.256749
8.637284

2008
9.093872
13.17497
4.590606
4.664703
2.479032
1.678857
4.396899
2.11651
5.04604

2009
8.85703
4.570602
3.238193
4.365642
-0.46289
-2.51376
1.674131
-2.61734
0.614039

2010
10.10310072
7.498636766
4.82944014
5.332085165
5.903121687
1.653208362
2.452273858
1.813628664
0.834792441

2011
9.012854035
12.7746632
4.794247841
5.095026372
1.971962894
3.34353038
3.53285763
1.942602704
7.889471189

2012
7.332031
9.122199
4.67712
4.066065
4.934106
2.340002
3.472793
0.796403
12.81521

2013
7.226936
8.178512
4.238373
4.216882
5.308934
1.891536
5.140099
1.019058
1.959133

2014
6.755778
8.282886
3.731245
4.784399
4.426211
1.485498
3.844088
0.405051
0.263306

2015
6.358383356
4.604664561
3.645003674
5.508820999
4.38340689
1.870174729
3.267949173
-0.097301741
2.436229194

2016 [YR2016]
2017 [YR2017]
6.123804 6.303967
4.375906 4.733081
3.845302 3.923073
5.090511 5.725878
5.216659 5.059747
2.059261 1.791063
2.701313 2.651663
-0.73489 0.066568
2.23711 1.827354

Country Name
China
Turkmenistan
Indonesia
Vietnam
Philippines
El Salvador
Bolivia
South Africa
Sudan

1990
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

1991
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

1992
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

1993
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

1994
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..
..
38.4 ..
..
..

Data from database: Health Nutrition and Population Statistics by Wealth Quintile
Last Updated: 04/09/2018

1995

1996
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..

..
..
..
..
..

1997

1998

..
..
23.3 ..
16.9 ..

..
..
..
..
20.9 ..
..
25.5 ..
17 ..
..

..

..

1999

2000
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
58.4 ..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

2001

2002
..
..
..

2003
..
..

13.8 ..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..

..
..
17.1 ..
..
19.5 ..
..
32.3 ..
..
..

2004

2005
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

2006
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

2007
..
..

..
..
..
..
..
65 ..

2008

..
..
26 ..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
15 ..
..
26.3 ..
..
..

2009

2010
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
37 ..

2011

2012
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

2013

..
..
17 ..
..
..
..
..
..

2014

..
..
..
..
13 ..
15
..
..
33.9

..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

2015 2016 [YR2016]
2017 [YR2017]
..
..
14 ..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

Country Name
China
Turkmenistan
Indonesia
Vietnam
Philippines
El Salvador
Bolivia
South Africa
Sudan

1990
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

1991
32.446
15.186
12.854
7.812
13.882
21.399
13.34
13.448
33.908

1992
32.646
18.427
12.826
8.396
13.738
22.438
13.389
13.046
33.467

1993
33.635
19.643
14.464
8.767
13.181
24.254
13.099
20.5857
33.304

1994
32.969
30.845
16.311
8.752
13.457
26.149
12.78
12.932
33.032

1995
32.711
39.268
15.975
8.75
13.189
25.847
12.989
13.329
31.372

1996
32.494
31.981
15.899
8.788
12.523
24.207
13.048
12.638
33.761

1997
31.915
29.36
16.281
10.398
12.737
20.848
12.336
12.438
33.354

1998
30.782
24.188
13.948
9.142
12.522
25.029
12.476
12.315
33.729

1999
30.383
22.844
13.978
9.852
12.9
24.266
11.775
11.936
33.729

2000
30.472
17.986
14.978
10.112
13.287
24.329
9.73
12.03
35.44

2001
30.039
19.335
16.122
11.149
12.571
22.126
8.973
14.024
34.548

2002
29.637
20.024
15.766
11.706
11.778
23.521
10.706
13.978
35.106

2003
30.686
21.487
15.152
12.973
11.982
21.873
10.905
13.473
35.02

2004
30.128
23.097
14.203
13.733
11.957
21.65
10.919
14.608
36.048

2005
29.952
22.165
15.887
14.904
11.98
20.074
11.233
13.531
35.623

2006
29.81
21.4
15.356
15.898
11.6
18.966
10.443
13.539
35.242

2007
29.229
21.6
15.032
16.663
11.123
20.349
9.33
13.43
35.287

2008
28.811
29.144
14.585
16.347
10.448
20.586
10.914
13.133
34.148

2009
28.253
30.821
14.42
16.849
9.902
18.317
10.583
13.131
34.345

2010
27.772
28.964
14.953
16.891
9.913
18.395
10.515
13.039
34.333

2011
27.086
29.26
15.06
16.604
9.948
18.577
10.716
12.964
34.464

2012
26.18
28.171
15.77
16.642
10.063
18.367
10.793
12.275
31.612

2013
25.088
27.566
15.731
16.964
10.126
17.501
10.023
12.425
30.992

2014
23.852
27.258
15.42
17.499
10.159
17.967
9.683
12.056
31.047

2015
22.597
27.161
15.749
19.276
10.027
19.501
10.998
11.754
31.013

2016 [YR2016]
2017 [YR2017]
22.014
21.632
26.831
26.691
15.994
15.862
20.773
21.034
9.991
9.884
17.053
17.136
10.991
10.867
11.933
12.036
31.209
31.766

Country Name 1990
China
2.180863
Turkmenistan
..
Indonesia 0.275743
Vietnam
0.334229
Philippines 0.260106
El Salvador 0.162734
Bolivia
0.350442
South Africa 1.330973
Sudan
0.178808

1991
2.028511
..
0.299948
0.305894
0.266331
0.195949
0.33614
1.355786
0.150786

1992
1.820954
1.945535
0.310373
0.275605
0.288005
0.187296
0.358263
1.251922
0.123809

1993
1.671308
1.605131
0.307186
0.266826
0.279605
0.197717
0.39478
1.28545
0.079811

1994
1.53783
2.250676
0.283294
0.273679
0.290454
0.223875
0.407372
1.288041
0.106195

Data from database: Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Last Updated: 07/30/2018

1995
1.474086
2.40874
0.260514
0.271426
0.301122
0.229106
0.434796
1.306907
0.101697

1996
1.373551
1.999905
0.267197
0.290532
0.286073
0.202826
0.408242
1.237757
0.09727

1997
1.238609
2.215798
0.276038
0.343592
0.306087
0.23168
0.425806
1.256249
0.105738

1998
1.088714
2.144972
0.241626
0.338571
0.296349
0.237025
0.402811
1.209454
0.086916

1999
0.994057
2.128994
0.266747
0.319479
0.282826
0.224046
0.375412
1.15611
0.090028

2000
0.919391
1.966385
0.270596
0.329019
0.280732
0.218294
0.379454
1.095215
0.089924

2001
0.849783
1.868813
0.28578
0.345254
0.258551
0.21914
0.28422
1.024071
0.095027

2002
0.846669
1.927071
0.280145
0.370383
0.246673
0.215743
0.329364
0.932619
0.112087

2003
0.889632
2.041774
0.270729
0.377899
0.230683
0.225975
0.335471
1.007289
0.113985

2004
0.906353
1.974811
0.267369
0.393169
0.218195
0.211765
0.314035
1.043635
0.134931

2005
0.888193
1.75788
0.248245
0.383887
0.203842
0.202517
0.319433
0.88944
0.116519

2006
0.846457
1.574237
0.230376
0.364476
0.169985
0.19975
0.365407
0.877856
0.112346

2007
0.777233
1.562855
0.229617
0.338261
0.165575
0.194701
0.278801
0.845448
0.11538

2008
0.746806
1.355145
0.235625
0.353258
0.170364
0.175384
0.276519
0.855542
0.11083

2009
0.717673
1.122835
0.239519
0.36264
0.164425
0.174977
0.280599
0.873363
0.111177

2010
0.702929
1.156055
0.213957
0.37355
0.165127
0.169686
0.289325
0.789082
0.108729

2011
0.697348
1.076757
0.277992
0.367258
0.157228
0.164877
0.286153
0.742984
0.106743

2012
0.654102
0.988295
0.27169
0.320235
0.154376
0.157811
0.311115
0.711
0.097505

2013
0.611031
0.907909
0.194909
0.309466
0.15267
0.141848
0.288589
0.679246
0.097141

2014
0.561283
0.829054
0.172653
0.32519
0.15213
0.137849
0.29003
0.688035
0.092277

2015
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..

2016 [YR20...


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