Description
PART1
Forecast Determination
A company is considering what forecasting method to use for coming time periods. The company has used something of a qualitative (consensus-based) forecasting method in the past, and wants to know if a more formal, quantitative forecasting method would be appropriate for them. Consider the following data from recent time periods:
Briefly address each of the following bullets:Time Period Forecast Actual Demand Three quarters ago 225 230 Two quarters ago 240 270 Last quarter 275 295 This quarter You will determine ? - Discuss what method of forecasting you view to be most appropriate given the data given above. Explain why you believe your chosen forecasting method to be the most appropriate.
- Select an appropriate value for alpha, and calculate an exponential smoothing forecast for this quarter. Discuss the relationship between the alpha value that you selected and the forecast value that you calculated. In other words, if you had selected a lower value for alpha, how would the calculated value be different, and if you had selected a higher value for alpha, how would the calculated value be different?
- Assume that, at the end of this quarter, we could report that the demand for this quarter was actually 275 (just like last quarter). Would this information cause you to rethink the alpha value that you selected? If so, how would it impact the value that you would have selected for alpha?
NO COVER PAGE. 3 REFERENCES WITH URL PLEASE
PART2
Procurement/Supply Chain
This week, focus your analysis on the procurement or acquisition practices of the company you selected for the final project and the types of materials that the company uses. Also, analyze where those materials are sourced, how they are delivered, and what the overall supply chain operations of the company are.Submit a report detailing the following:- Coordination of acquisition practices with actual product demand
- Procurement practices
- Inventory management (including whether the use of MRP would be appropriate)
- Scheduling of production or service provision
- Supply chain operations
Submission Details:
- Submit your report in a two- to three-page Word document, using APA style.
- Submit it to the Submissions Area by the due date assigned.
- Name your documents SU_MBA6012_W5_LastName_FirstInitial.docx
- PUT EACH PART ON DIFFERENT WORD DOCUMENTS PLEASE