Econ 100 Week 7 Discussion and Response

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Economics

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"Using the Rate of Inflation to Make a Decision"

In Chapter 4 of The Little Book of Economics, Ip talks about the natural rate of unemployment as the rate of unemployment that will not lead to an acceleration in inflation. Keep this reading in mind as you respond to this week’s discussion questions.

  • Think about this: If the current unemployment rate is 3.9%, would one expect the rate of inflation to increase or decrease? Explain your answer.
  • Now you face a wonderful decision. Imagine that you just won a lottery jackpot of $100,000. If you expect inflation to accelerate, should you buy that home you’ve been thinking of now? What would you decide if the rate of inflation is negative?

Reply to a peer and share your opinion about their decision.

Please read the course materials for the week before answering the discussion question. This week’s question addresses two issues that required elements of the course materials to support your answer to the question. It is assumed that many families consider owning a home a risky investment since the Great Recession and the bursting of the housing bubble in 2007. You have to test out the impact of inflation on an asset like a home using the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Inflation Calculator and answer the question below

Looking at the government data, would you expect the rate of inflation to increase or decrease assuming that the current unemployment rate is 3.9%?

Imagine that you just won a lottery jackpot of $100,000. If you expect inflation to accelerate, should you buy that home you’ve been thinking of now? What would you decide if the rate of inflation is negative? In other words, does inflation encourage businesses and households to hold physical assets like homes?

When addressing the issue raised by this question, keep in mind that the understanding of the effects of inflation is the best way to go with regard to this question. Inflation refers to rising prices of essentials such as wheat, milk, meat, clothing, medical services, coffee, electricity, etc. or, alternatively, the decline in value of money so that it takes more dollars to buy the same goods and services. Older people often talk about how cheap things were when they were young. A brand new car may have cost only $5,000 compared to $20,000 today, or petrol that cost only a few cents in the 60s costs over a dollar today. Inflation happens when money loses some of its value. We measure the rise of inflation in percent. For example, 2% inflation means that a $1 bottle of milk will cost $1.02 next year.

Class: What do economists mean by this statement: The real value of money or income (purchasing power) is what matters to people, not the face value of money or income.


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