Intrest rate fluctuation

Jun 28th, 2015
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Abilene Christian University
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In each of the five chapters as described above, every chapter has been scheduled in a manner so as to enable the reader to appreciate the contents easily. The report is supported by figures and data wherever necessary with a view to assist the reader in developing a clear cut understanding of the topic.

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Impact of GDP Growth Rate, Inflation Rate &Lending Interest Rate on Sensex Returns"The stock market is filled with individuals who know theprice of everything, but the value of nothing."- Phillip Arthur Fisher(Author Common Stock and Uncommon Profit )Another testament to the fact that investing without aneducation and research will ultimately lead to regrettableinvestment decisions. Research is much more than justlistening to popular opinion.Objectives The study aims to find the relationship between Gross DomesticProduct Growth Rate, Inflation Rate and Lending Interest Rate onSensex Performance & the Level of Significance between them. Tool to understand the behaviour of Stock MarketResearch DesignNature of the Study Analytical Vector Auto Regression Model - Significance Level between variablesCollection of Data Annual Data - 13 Years Sources - Websites of Ministry of Finance, Economic Survey of India,BSE India, World Bank and RBI.Methodology Data about 3 Macro Variables were collected for the period of 19972011. The study was conducted on BSE SENSEX. The Model represents SENSEX Returns, Percentage change in theGDP Growth Rate, change in Inflation Rate, and Percentage changein Interest Rate.Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test Out to check for the stationarity /non-stationarity Based on the model: Yt = Yt-1+ut Reject the null hypothesis, if is significant and negativeVariableSENSEXGDPInfla

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