Internet-Field-Trip

Apr 30th, 2015
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Strayer University
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Delphi is a method of soliciting and aggregating individual opinions or judgments, typically of a group of experts, to arrive at consensus views concerning such things as what may happen in the future. Also known as the Delphi technique, this method seeks to rectify the problems of face-to-face confrontation in the group, so the responses and respondents remain anonymous. The classical technique proceeds in well-defined sequence. In the first round, the participants are asked to write their predictions.

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Assignment 2: Internet Field TripPamela L. WilliamsQuantitative Methods MAT 540Strayer UniversityDr. Albert YinFebruary 3, 2013Forecasting Methods The Delphi Method Delphi is a method of soliciting and aggregating individual opinions or judgments, typically of a group of experts, to arrive at consensus views concerning such things as what may happen in the future. Also known as the Delphi technique, this method seeks to rectify the problems of face-to-face confrontation in the group, so the responses and respondents remain anonymous. The classical technique proceeds in well-defined sequence. In the first round, the participants are asked to write their predictions. Their responses are collated and a copy is given to each of the participants. The participants are asked to comment on extreme views and to defend or modify their original opinion based on what the other participants have written. Again, the answers are collated and fed back to the participants. In the final round, participants are asked to reassess their original opinion in view of those presented by other participants. The Delphi method general produces a rapid narrowing of opinions. It provides more accurate forecasts than group discussions. Furthermore, a face-to-face discussion following the application of the Delphi method generally degrades accuracy. (Methods and Approaches of Futures Studies) Environmental Scanning Environmental scanning refers to the process of scanning the media

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